Alert archive / Michigan / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2002

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 620

August 17, 200230 counties in Michigan

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Aug 17, 2002, 10:10 AM EDT for 30 counties in Michigan. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 17, 2002, 10:10 AM EDT (14:10 UTC)
Expired
Aug 17, 2002, 4:00 PM EDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 30 counties

Alcona County, MI, Alpena County, MI, Antrim County, MI, Arenac County, MI, Bay County, MI, Benzie County, MI, Cheboygan County, MI, Clare County, MI, Crawford County, MI, Gladwin County, MI, Grand Traverse County, MI, Iosco County, MI, Isabella County, MI, Kalkaska County, MI, Lake County, MI, Leelanau County, MI, Manistee County, MI, Mecosta County, MI, Midland County, MI, Missaukee County, MI, Montcalm County, MI, Montmorency County, MI, Newaygo County, MI, Ogemaw County, MI, Osceola County, MI, Oscoda County, MI, Otsego County, MI, Presque Isle County, MI, Roscommon County, MI, Wexford County, MI

The radar

The NCL Michigan radar (KAPX), 40 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:13 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Alpena, MI (KAPX), launched 12:00Z, 2.2 hours before the alert went out and 210 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Alpena, MI at 12:00Z on 2002-08-17Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Alpena, MI at 12:00Z on 2002-08-17The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 175 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1705 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
43 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
175 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
213 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WWUS20 KWNS 171411
SEL0  
SPC WW 171410
MIZ000-LMZ000-LHZ000-172000-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 620
STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1010 AM EDT SAT AUG 17 2002

THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

   LOWER MICHIGAN                           
   LAKE MICHIGAN                      
   LAKE HURON                         

EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 1010 AM UNTIL
400 PM EDT.

HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS ALONG AND 75 STATUTE MILES
NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 10 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF MANISTEE
MICHIGAN TO 30 MILES NORTHEAST OF OSCODA MICHIGAN.

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. 
PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING
WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS.  SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE
TORNADOES.


DISCUSSION...PRE-FRONTAL SQUALL LINE OVER LM WILL MOVE RAPIDLY EWD
AS WARM FRONT MOVES NWD THRU LWR MI.  WITH INCRESINGLY
MOIST/UNSTABLE AIRMASS AHEAD OF LINE...STORMS ALONG LINE EXPECTED
TO INTENSIFY WITH PRIMARY THREAT BEING DAMAGING WINDS. STRONG
MID/UPPER LEVEL WINDS WILL ENHANCE WIND DAMAGE POTENTIAL.


AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1 INCH EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. 
A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500.  MEAN STORM MOTION
VECTOR 25040.


...HALES

451,0861 455,0825 434,0825 430,0861

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Michigan, 2002Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2002

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.