Alert archive / Texas / Flash Flood Warnings in 2002

Flash Flood Warning 81, NWS San Angelo, TX

October 24, 2002Crockett County, Texas

NWS San Angelo, TX issued this flash flood warning at Oct 24, 2002, 7:08 AM CDT for Crockett County, Texas. It was in force for 5 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Oct 24, 2002, 7:08 AM CDT (12:08 UTC)
Expired
Oct 24, 2002, 12:00 PM CDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
NWS San Angelo, TX
Area
Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Crockett County, TX

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this flash flood warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 12:00Z, 0.1 hours before the alert went out and 144 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Midland Regional, TX at 12:00Z on 2002-10-24Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Midland Regional, TX at 12:00Z on 2002-10-24The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 546 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
468 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
87 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
546 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
750 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
1.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WGUS54 KSJT 241208
FFWSJT
TXC105-241700-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
705 AM CDT THU OCT 24 2002

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN ANGELO HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  CROCKETT COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST TEXAS

* UNTIL 1200 PM CDT

* AT 703 AM CDT...WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED VERY HEAVY
  RAIN OVER EXTREME NORTHEASTERN TERRELL COUNTY...OR ABOUT 31 MILES
  WEST OF OZONA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

* RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH IS EXPECTED THROUGH 1200 PM CDT

DO NOT DRIVE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD. THE WATER DEPTH
MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS SAFELY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO
DRIVE AROUND BARRICADES. MOST FLASH FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES.

ALSO...MANY DEATHS OCCUR AT NIGHT BECAUSE MOTORTISTS HAVE DIFFICULTY 
SEEING FLOODED LOW WATER CROSSINGS.  BE CAREFUL AND AVOID ALL LOW 
WATER CROSSINGS.

LAT...LON 3060 10187 3047 10171 3102 10101 3106 10167
1 follow-up statement
000 
WGUS74 KSJT 241612
FFSSJT
TXC105-241700-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1109 AM CDT THU OCT 24 2002

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CROCKETT COUNTY UNTIL
NOON CDT...

THE MAIN AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAS MOVED EAST OUT OF 
CROCKETT COUNTY. A FEW SHOWERS WILL OCCUR THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON.
HEAVY RAINFALL EARLIER THIS MORNING ON SATURATED GROUND MAY HAVE
CAUSED FLOODING OF LOW WATER CROSSINGS AND POOR DRAINAGE PLACES. 

MOST DEATHS IN FLASH FLOODING OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. DO NOT 
ATTEMPT TO CROSS BRIDGES...DIPS...OR LOW SPOTS IF WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY.
NEVER TRY TO CROSS A FLOWING STREAM...EVEN A SMALL ONE...ON FOOT.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS San Angelo, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Oct 24, 6:05 AM CDT, 1 hour 3 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 24, 6:05 AM CDT, 1 hour 3 minutes before
WEST CENTRAL TEXAS FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
605 AM CDT THU OCT 24 2002

BASED ON METAR DATA AND CALLS TO LAW ENFORCEMENT...DECIDED TO ISSUE
A DENSE FOG ADVISORY FOR THE BIG COUNTRY AND THE CONCHO VALLEY.
OTHERWISE...NO OTHER CHANGES.

.SJT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH CROCKETT COUNTY TODAY.
       DENSE FOG ADVISORY BIG COUNTRY AND CONCHO VALLEY THIS MORNING.

23/HUBER

****  345 AM CDT THU OCT 24 2002  ****

CURRENT...WSR-88D AND SATELLITE DATA INDICATES SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP WEST AND SOUTHWEST OF OUR CWFA.
SURFACE DEWPOINTS RANGE FROM 50 ACROSS THE BIG COUNTRY...TO THE MID
50S ACROSS THE CONCHO VALLEY...AND AROUND 60 THROUGHOUT OUR SOUTHERN
ZONES. IN ADDITION...SURFACE ANALYSIS PLACES FRONT ACROSS OUR
SOUTHERN ZONES IN AN EAST TO WEST LINE.

DAYS 1-3...MODEL DATA INDICATES THE MAIN SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY WILL DEVELOP OR MOVE ACROSS WEST CENTRAL TEXAS TODAY.
ISENTROPIC ANALYSIS OF THE 300K AND 310K THETA E SURFACES SHOWS MAIN
UPGLIDE WILL DEVELOP AROUND NOON TODAY. ALSO...BEST THETA E RIDGE ON
THE 700 MB SURFACE DEVELOPS AROUND NOON. BEST SURFACE AND 925 MB
MOISTURE CONVERGENCE DEVELOPS ALONG THE SURFACE FRONT TODAY. AS FOR
POPS...WILL GO CLOSE TO GUIDANCE TODAY WITH A DOWNWARD TREND FOR
TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. BASED ON LATEST COORDINATION CALL WITH
SPC...WILL INCLUDE CROCKETT COUNTY IN A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
FOR TODAY. AS FOR HIGHS TODAY...APPEARS ETA AND AVN MOS TOO HIGH.
LATEST RUC SUGGESTS TEMPERATURES ACROSS WEST CENTRAL TEXAS WILL
CHANGE LITTLE IF ANY TODAY. FOR TONIGHT AND BEYOND...NUMBERS CLOSE
TO GUIDANCE LOOK GOOD.

DAYS 4-7...NO CHANGES HERE.

CCF PRELIMS...

ABI 050/048/060/048 8311
SJT 057/053/063/050 8322
JCT 065/058/065/053 8433

.SJT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH CROCKETT COUNTY TODAY.

23/HUBER
Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 24, 6:00 AM CDT, 1 hour 8 minutes before
TXZ049-054-064>066-071>073-076>078-098-099-113-114-127-128-139-140-
154-155-168>170-241500-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
600 AM CDT THU OCT 24 2002

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...
THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR ACROSS WEST CENTRAL TEXAS TODAY AS AN UPPER
LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVES ACROSS WEST TEXAS. THE GREATEST THREAT FROM
THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE FLASH FLOODING...MAINLY ACROSS SOUTHERN
SECTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL TEXAS...ALONG AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM
OZONA...TO MENARD AND MASON. A FEW OF THE THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE
SMALL HAIL.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NECESSARY ACROSS SOUTHERN SECTIONS OF WEST
CENTRAL TEXAS TODAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...
ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN IS POSSIBLE SUNDAY.

The office that day

Everything else NWS San Angelo, TX issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 24, 3:48 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningSJTKimble, Sutton5 hr
Oct 24, 4:43 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningSJTMason5 hr
Oct 24, 9:55 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningSJTKimble, Sutton3 hr
Oct 24, 1:16 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningSJTKimble, Sutton6 hr

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Texas, 2002Every flash flood warning in 2002

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.