Flash Flood Warning 70, NWS San Angelo, TX

000 
WGUS74 KSJT 290054
FFSSJT
TXC451-290215-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
752 PM CDT SUN JUL 28 2002

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR TOM GREEN COUNTY UNTIL 1030 
PM CDT...

AT 750 PM CDT...THE SAN ANGELO FIRE DEPARTMENT REPORTED STREET 
FLOODING OCURRING IN DOWNTOWN SAN ANGELO. RADAR INDICATES THAT 2 
INCHES HAS FALLEN IN THE PAST 30 MINUTES OVER THE EASTERN AND 
NORTHERN SECTIONS OF SAN ANGELO. 

DO NOT GO THROUGH LOW WATER CROSSINGS THESE PLACES ARE VERY 
DANGEROUS IN HEAVY RAINS.

WEST CENTRAL TEXAS FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
145 PM CDT SUN JUL 28 2002

...FORECAST CHALLENGE WILL BE THUNDERSTORM CHANCES THROUGH TUESDAY...

.CURRENT...LATEST RADAR TRENDS INDICATE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
DEVELOPING OVER THE WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON AS SHORT WAVE BEGINS TO WORK ITS WAY INTO THE AREA.
MOISTURE IS STILL HERE WITH DEWPOINTS AT 1 PM REMAINING IN THE UPPER
60S TO LOWER 70S WITH WELL MIXED ATMOSPHERE.

.SHORT TERM...SHORT WAVE TROUGH WORKS INTO THE AREA. THUS EXPECT
THUNDERSTORMS CURRENTLY FORM TO INCREASE IN AREAL COVERAGE THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. THUNDERSTORMS MAY DISSIPATE SOME
AFTER SUNSET...HOWEVER WITH THE LOW LEVEL JET IN PLACE AGAIN TONIGHT
CANT RULE OUT THUNDERSTORMS SURVIVING THROUGH THE NIGHT. THINK THE
BEST COVERAGE OF SCATTERED VARIETY WILL BE FROM THE CONCHO VALLEY
NORTHWARD INTO THE BIG COUNTRY. WITH ISOLATED COVERAGE AT BEST
ELSEWHERE. THE WINDS HAVE BEEN RATHER BREEZY ACROSS THE AREA TODAY
AND EXPECT THIS TO CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING HOURS...THUS WILL ADD
CAUTION ON AREA LAKES TO THE ZONES.

.MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...AS THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH PASSES BY THE
SOUTHERN END IS FORECAST TO GET LEFT BEHIND...THUS LEAVING A
WEAKNESS IN THE RIDGE THROUGH TUESDAY. PLAN ON LEAVING SCATTERED
POPS ACROSS THE NORTH TAPERING TO ISOLATED BY TUESDAY. ACROSS THE
SOUTH...CURRENT ISOLATED MENTION LOOKS TO BE GOOD AND WILL KEEP.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE A LITTLE COOLER DUE TO THE CLOUDS AND SOME
PRECIP AROUND.

.WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...LOOKS LIKE THE RIDGE WILL TAKE OVER ON
WEDNESDAY...THUS WILL PULL THE CURRENT SLIGHT CHANCE IN FORECAST.
HOWEVER THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...THE RIDGE GRADUALLY BUILDS INTO
THE CENTRAL PLAINS LEAVING WEST CENTRAL TEXAS ON THE SOUTHERN
PERIPHERY OF THIS FEATURE AND GIVING US HOPE FOR AN EASTERLY WAVE.
MODELS ALSO INDICATE A FAIRLY WEAK CAP STRENGTH WITH 700MB
TEMPERATURES ONLY RUNNING 8C OR BELOW THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. WITH
ALL THAT SAID WILL NOT PUT RAIN CHANCES IN JUST YET THAT FAR
OUT...BUT MAY HAVE TO IN LATER FORECASTS.

ABI 075/093/073/093 3332
SJT 076/094/072/094 3332
JCT 075/093/073/093 2222

.SJT...CAUTION ON AREA LAKES THIS EVENING.

27/BRAZZELL

TXZ049-054-064>066-071>073-076>078-098-099-113-114-127-128-139-140-
154-155-168>170-282300-

WEST CENTRAL TEXAS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
221 PM CDT SUN JUL 28 2002

...ISOLATED NON SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE TONIGHT...

WARM TEMPERATURES IN THE MID LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE WILL SUPPRESS
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT OVER MOST OF WEST CENTRAL TEXAS TONIGHT. A
FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED NEAR AN UPPER DISTURBANCE....NEAR THE
WESTERN CONCHO VALLEY AND WESTERN BIG COUNTRY. INSTABILITY SHOULD BE
INSUFFICIENT TO SUPPORT SUSTAINED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT.

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE SEE STATEMENTS AND OUTLOOKS FROM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICES ACROSS TEXAS...OKLAHOMA...AND NEW
MEXICO.

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