Alert archive / Texas / Flash Flood Warnings in 2002

Flash Flood Warning 62, NWS San Angelo, TX

July 13, 2002Menard County, Texas

NWS San Angelo, TX issued this flash flood warning at Jul 13, 2002, 1:47 PM CDT for Menard County, Texas. It was in force for 118 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 13, 2002, 1:47 PM CDT (18:47 UTC)
Expired
Jul 13, 2002, 3:45 PM CDT
In force
118 min
Issued by
NWS San Angelo, TX
Area
Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Menard County, TX

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this flash flood warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Del Rio, TX (KDRT), launched 12:00Z, 6.8 hours before the alert went out and 188 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Del Rio, TX at 12:00Z on 2002-07-13Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 569 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Del Rio, TX at 12:00Z on 2002-07-13The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 6 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
569 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-127 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1571 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
18 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
6 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
3 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WGUS54 KSJT 131847
FFWSJT
TXC327-132045-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
145 PM CDT SAT JUL 13 2002

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  MENARD COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS

* UNTIL 345 PM CDT

* AT 140 PM CDT...WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED VERY HEAVY 
RAIN OVER SOUTHERN MENARD COUNTY...OR ABOUT 12 MILES SOUTHEAST OF 
MENARD. THE AREA OF HEAVY RAIN WAS NEARLY STATIONARY.

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM THIS STORM WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...COUNTRY ROADS...NORMALLY DRY WASHES AND
ARROYOS...AS WELL AS FARMLAND ALONG THE BANKS OF CREEKS AND STREAMS.

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR IS
IMMINENT. MOST FLASH FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. DO NOT
ATTEMPT TO CROSS BRIDGES...DIPS...OR OTHER LOW SPOTS IF WATER COVERS
THE ROADWAY. NEVER TRY TO CROSS A FLOWING STREAM...EVEN A SMALL
ONE...ON FOOT. TO ESCAPE RISING WATER MOVE UP TO HIGHER GROUND.

LAT...LON 3073 9988 3073 9951 3081 9951 3081 9987

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS San Angelo, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Jul 13, 3:25 AM CDT, 10 hours 22 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 13, 3:25 AM CDT, 10 hours 22 minutes before
WEST CENTRAL TEXAS FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
325 AM CDT SAT JUL 13 2002

08Z ANALYSIS SHOWS THE STRONG UPPER LEVEL RIDGE HOLDING ACROSS THE
WESTERN STATES. OTHERWISE WEAK DISTURBANCES CONTINUE TO ROTATE SOUTH
AROUND THE RIDGE ACROSS THE PLAINS. A WEAKLY DEFINED SURFACE FRONT
IS NEARLY STATIONARY NEAR THE RED RIVER VALLEY. SURFACE DEWPOINTS
CONTINUE AROUND 70F ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION.

THROUGH THIS EVENING...THE AVN CONTINUES TO INDICATE THE FRONTAL
BOUNDARY SLIDING TO SOUTH OF I-10. WHEREAS THE ETA HAS BACKED OFF A
BIT AND HELD UP THE FRONT A BIT FURTHER NORTH. LOOKING AT THE
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS THE FRONT HAS BECOME SO DIFFUSE THERE IS NOT
MUCH OF A DIFFERENCE IN THE AIRMASS ACROSS THE FRONT AT THE MOMENT
ANYWAY. HOWEVER THE WATER VAPOR LOOP INDICATES THE SHORT WAVE
PUSHING SOUTH ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS IS HELPING TO PUSH SOME DRY
AIR FURTHER SOUTH INTO THE TEXAS PANHANDLE AND OKLAHOMA. THIS MAY
PROVIDE THE EXTRA PUSH THE FRONT NEEDS TO MAKE IT FURTHER
SOUTH...BUT PERHAPS ONLY AS FAR AS I-20. WHETHER OR NOT THE FRONT
PUSHES FURTHER SOUTH...THE LEFT OVER OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES FROM THE
LAST COUPLE OF DAYS WILL CONTINUE TO HELP TRIGGER OFF SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS MUCH OF WEST CENTRAL TEXAS.

TONIGHT...WITH THE SHOWERS CONTINUING TO BE MAINLY DIURNALLY DRIVEN
EXPECT THE ACTIVITY TO DIMINISH AROUND SUNSET. HOWEVER A FEW SHOWERS
WILL CONTINUE TO LINGER OVERNIGHT WITH THE LEFTOVER BOUNDARIES
SCATTERED ACROSS THE REGION AND A BIT BETTER UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT. IF
THE SLIGHTLY DRIER AIR DOES PUSH INTO THE BIG COUNTRY EXPECT THE
BETTER CHANCES TO THE SOUTH.

SUNDAY AND MONDAY...THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH CONTINUES TO LINGER
ACROSS THE REGION. ALSO THE DISSIPATING FRONT AND OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES
CONTINUE TO PROVIDE A FOCUSING MECHANISM FOR SHOWER ACTIVITY.

IN THE EXTENDED...
THE MRF AND AVN CONTINUE TO SHOW AN UPPER LEVEL LOW SLOWLY LIFTING
NORTH AWAY FROM THE REGION BEFORE SHEARING OUT BY MIDWEEK. THIS WILL
ALLOW FOR THE SHOWER ACTIVITY TO SLOWLY WEAKEN. HOWEVER THE
PREVIOUSLY ADVERTISED UPPER LEVEL RIDGE TOWARDS THE END OF THE WEEK
IS NOT AS WELL DEFINED AS IN PREVIOUS RUNS. HOWEVER WITH A RIDGE IN
PLACE (ALBEIT WEAK) WILL CONTINUE WITH MORE NORMAL (HOT AND DRY)
CONDITIONS ACROSS WEST CENTRAL TEXAS ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.

ABI 090/068/088/069 322-
SJT 092/068/090/068 322-
JCT 092/067/091/068 3221

.SJT...NONE

24

The office that day

Everything else NWS San Angelo, TX issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 13, 4:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTBrown26 min
Jul 13, 4:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTCallahan32 min
Jul 13, 5:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTTom Green41 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Texas, 2002Every flash flood warning in 2002

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.