Alert archive / Texas / Flash Flood Warnings in 2002
Flash Flood Warning 34, NWS San Angelo, TX
NWS San Angelo, TX issued this flash flood warning at Jul 3, 2002, 3:28 PM CDT for Brown County, Texas. It was in force for 4 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 3, 2002, 3:28 PM CDT (20:28 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 3, 2002, 7:30 PM CDT
- In force
- 4 hr
- Issued by
- NWS San Angelo, TX
- Area
- Counties, with a storm outline in the text
County Brown County, TX
Did it verify
Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this flash flood warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The nearest sounding before it
Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), launched 12:00Z, 8.5 hours before the alert went out and 196 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 828 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -12 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 505 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 14 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 78 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 132 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WGUS54 KSJT 032028 FFWSJT TXC049-040030- BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED FLASH FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX 328 PM CDT WED JUL 3 2002 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A * FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR... BROWN COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS * UNTIL 730 PM CDT * AT 326 PM CDT...WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED HEAVY RAIN OVER WESTERN BROWN COUNTY FROM BANGS TO CROSS CUT...MOVING EAST AT 10 MPH. * THE THUNDERSTORM WITH EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL BE NEAR... LAKE BROWNWOOD AT 340 PM CDT BROWNWOOD AT 350 PM CDT EARLY AT 355 PM CDT * RAINFALL TOTALING 3 TO 4 INCHES HAS FALLEN IN THE WARNED AREA...WITH ADDITIONAL RAINFALL UP TO 2 TO 3 INCHES EXPECTED THROUGH 730 PM CDT. WITH THE GROUND ALREADY SATURATED...ADDITIONAL FLOODING WILL OCCUR...ESPECIALLY OVER NORTHERN BROWN COUNTY ALONG JIM NED CREEK AND IN THE LAKE BROWNWOOD AREA. A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR IS IMMINENT. MOST FLASH FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS BRIDGES...DIPS...OR OTHER LOW SPOTS IF WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. TO ESCAPE RISING WATER MOVE UP TO HIGHER GROUND. LAT...LON 3206 9918 3165 9916 3166 9888 3207 9893
1 follow-up statement
000
WGUS74 KSJT 032316
FFSSJT
TXC049-040030-
FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
603 PM CDT WED JUL 3 2002
...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BROWN COUNTY UNTIL
730 PM CDT...
AT 602 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATED THAT ON AVERAGE AN ADDITIONAL HALF INCH
OF RAIN HAS FALLEN OVER BROWN SINCE 3 PM...WITH ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
UP TO 1 TO 2 INCHES EXPECTED BY 730 PM CDT. ALTHOUGH THERE IS A LULL
IN THE RAINFALL OVER BROWN COUNTY AT 6 PM...ADDITIONAL HEAVY SHOWERS
WERE DEVELOPING IN SAN SABA COUNTY AND WERE MOVING TO THE NORTH
AROUND 20 MPH. THIS SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL MOVE INTO BROWN COUNTY
AROUND 7 PM. RAINFALL RATES FROM THE SHOWERS IN SAN SABA COUNTY HAVE
BEEN OVER ONE AND A HALF INCHES PER HOUR.
A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNING AREA MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY
AUTOMOBILE. IF YOUR VEHICLE STALLS, ABANDON IT IMMEDIATELY AND SEEK
HIGHER GROUND.What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS San Angelo, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Jul 3, 2:25 PM CDT, 1 hour 3 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 3, 2:25 PM CDT, 1 hour 3 minutes before
WEST CENTRAL TEXAS FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX 225 PM CDT WED JUL 3 2002 UPPER LEVEL SHEAR AXIS CONTINUES TO DRIFT VERY SLOWLY WESTWARD ACROSS WEST CENTRAL TEXAS...WITH RAINFALL SPIRALING AROUND THE CWA THIS AFTERNOON. LATEST RADAR TRENDS SHOW SCATTERED SHOWERS MOVING NORTHWEST ACROSS THE BIG COUNTRY...WHILE A FEW SHOWERS AND STORMS MOVING SOUTH ACROSS THE NORTHERN EDWARDS PLATEAU. RAINFALL REPORTS THIS MORNING OF 5 TO 7 INCHES CAME IN FROM PARTS OF CALLAHAN ...BROWN...AND COLEMAN COUNTIES...WITH LIGHTER TOTALS OF AN INCH OR TWO ACROSS ABOUT THE SOUTHEAST HALF OF THE AREA. MODELS SIMILAR IN FORECASTING THE SHEAR AXIS TO PRETTY MUCH BISECT WEST CENTRAL TEXAS TONIGHT. 12Z MODELS SUGGEST THAT THERE WILL BE TWO MAIN LOBES TO HELP CONCENTRATE THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL JUST NORTH AND JUST SOUTH OF WEST CENTRAL TEXAS. NOT REAL CONFIDENT IN THE MODELS GETTING THIS PLACEMENT EXACTLY CORRECT...ESPECIALLY WITH THE 18Z RUC INDICATING JUST ONE UPPER LOW AND LEAVING IT PARKED NEAR SAN ANGELO. GIVEN ALL OF THE MODELS PERFORMANCE...WILL JUST GO WITH WHAT MAKES THE MOST SENSE...BEST POPS ALONG AND EAST OF THE SHEAR AXIS WITH SLIGHTLY LESSER POPS TO THE WEST. GIVEN THAT MANY LOCATIONS ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST HALF OF THE AREA ARE ALREADY SATURATED FROM THE RAINS THIS MORNING...AND WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES STILL RUNNING QUITE HIGH...WILL REISSUE THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH AND EXPAND IT SLIGHTLY FARTHER TO THE WEST. WILL CONTINUE FAIRLY HIGH POPS INTO THE MORNING...BUT AS THE SYSTEM PUSHES WEST...RAIN CHANCES SHOULD START TO DIMINISH BY THURSDAY NIGHT. STILL...A WARM AND HUMID AIR MASS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE AND ALTHOUGH MAIN SUPPORT WILL BE GONE...STILL THINK THERE WILL BE SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND EVENING CONVECTION THROUGH FRIDAY. EXTENDED WISE...MRF TRIES TO DEVELOP ANOTHER UPPER LOW ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS AND DRAG IT SOUTH INTO TEXAS BY TUESDAY OR WEDNESDAY. MODELS HAVE ENOUGH DIFFICULTY FORECASTING THESE CUTOFF LOWS ACCURATELY OUT TO 48 HOURS...MUCH LESS THE 7TH DAY. WILL HOLD OFF ON INSERTING POPS FOR NOW AND JUST WATCH TO SEE WHAT HAPPENS. ABI 068/085/069/088 7523 SJT 069/085/070/088 7523 JCT 070/087/070/089 7523 .SJT...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR MASON...MENARD... MCCULLOCH... KIMBLE...SAN SABA...BROWN...CALLAHAN...COLEMAN...CONCHO...SCHLEICHER ...SUTTON...TOM GREEN...COKE...AND TAYLOR COUNTIES TONIGHT. 07
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Jul 3, 3:07 PM CDT, 21 minutes before
TXZ049-054-064>066-071>073-076>078-098-099-113-114-127-128-139-140- 154-155-168>170-032345- WEST CENTRAL TEXAS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX 307 PM CDT WED JUL 3 2002 ...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL ARE EXPECTED ACROSS WEST CENTRAL TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT... SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE NUMEROUS TONIGHT...MAINLY AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT ANTICIPATED...BUT FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL BE LIKELY WITH THE STRONGER STORMS. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE AT SCATTERED LOCATIONS IN WEST CENTRAL TEXAS TONIGHT INTO EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. ABUNDANT MOISTURE RESIDES OVER WEST CENTRAL TEXAS...AND THE SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL BE SLOW MOVING. THIS WILL CREATE A POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING OVERNIGHT IN PARTS OF WEST CENTRAL TEXAS...ESPECIALLY IN AREAS WHICH EXPERIENCED HEAVY RAIN FROM THIS MORNING. PEOPLE THROUGHOUT WEST CENTRAL TEXAS ARE ENCOURAGED TO CHECK THE LATEST FORECASTS AND STATEMENTS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CONCERNING THE POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING TONIGHT. SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.
The office that day
Everything else NWS San Angelo, TX issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2, 11:46 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | SJT | San Saba | 6 hr |
| Jul 3, 2:45 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | SJT | Brown, Coleman | 3 hr |
| Jul 3, 3:14 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | SJT | Callahan | 3 hr |
| Jul 3, 3:18 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | SJT | Runnels | 3 hr |
| Jul 3, 5:38 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | SJT | Coleman | 3 hr |
| Jul 3, 8:35 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | SJT | Coleman | 3 hr |
| Jul 3, 8:44 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | SJT | Brown | 4 hr |
| Jul 3, 9:32 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | SJT | Callahan | 3 hr |
| Jul 3, 12:36 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | SJT | Brown | 3 hr |
| Jul 3, 3:15 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Crockett | 30 min |
Nearby
Flash Flood Warnings in Texas, 2002Every flash flood warning in 2002
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.