Severe Thunderstorm Warning 267, NWS Springfield, MO

Issued

Aug 19, 2002, 7:25 PM CDT (00:25 UTC)

Expired

Aug 19, 2002, 8:15 PM CDT

In force

50 min

Issued by

NWS Springfield, MO

Area

Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Wright County, MO

NCEI Storm Data entries that began inside the alert's area while it was in force. Before 2003 the local storm report archive is thin, so this is the record of what happened rather than what was phoned in.

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

498 
WUUS53 KSGF 200025
SVRSGF
MOC229-200115-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
724 PM CDT MON AUG 19 2002

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SPRINGFIELD HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  NORTHERN WRIGHT COUNTY IN MISSOURI

* UNTIL 815 PM CDT

* AT 723 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HAIL TO THE SIZE OF   
  GOLF BALLS...AND DAMAGING WINDS OF 60 TO 70 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS   
  LOCATED 8 MILES NORTH OF HARTVILLE...OR JUST EAST OF GROVE SPRINGS
  ...AND MOVING SOUTH AT 10 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
   HARTVILLE BY 805 PM CDT.

THE TOWNS OF GROVESPRING AND ODIN ARE ALSO IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM.

DOPPLER RADAR HAS INDICATED SOME WEAK ROTATION WITHIN THIS STORM.
WHILE NOT IMMEDIATELY LIKELY...A TORNADO MAY STILL DEVELOP. IF A
TORNADO IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A
STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

LAT...LON 3748 9269 3724 9269 3724 9225 3748 9226

BOOKBINDER

NWS Springfield, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Aug 19, 2:45 PM CDT, 4 hours 40 minutes earlier.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
245 PM CDT MON AUG 19 2002

WERE GETTING QUITE UNSTABLE THIS AFTERNOON WITH CU DEVELOPING IN
AREA OF SURFACE BASED CAPES AROUND 3500 J/KG AND LIS AT -6.
HOWEVER...CAP IS STILL HOLDING TOUGH. EXPECT FIRST STORMS TO BREAK
THE CAP NEAR OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FROM NEVADA TO SOUTH OF OSAGE BEACH.
BASED ON DEWPOINT OBS...FRONT STILL LIES WELL NORTH OF THE OZARKS.

STALLED OUTFLOW BOUNDARY NORTH OF SPRINGFIELD WILL DICTATE
DISTRIBUTION OF POPS FOR TONIGHT. HAVE SOME CONCERNS ABOUT POSSIBLE
MCS TRACKING NEAR THE FRONT OVER CENTRAL MO OVERNIGHT. LATEST ETA
OUTPUT SHOWS MOST LIKELY AREA FOR MCS DEVELOPMENT OVER WESTERN
KANSAS AND SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA IN VICINITY OF DEVELOPING LOW LEVEL
JET AND STRONG 850 MB WARM AIR ADVECTION. HOWEVER LATEST MESOETA
SHOWS ANOTHER SHORTWAVE MOVING INTO THE REGION OVERNIGHT. FOR NOW
WILL HANG ON TO CHANCE POPS ALL NIGHT FOR THE NORTHERN ZONES...BUT
WILL TAPER OFF THIS EVENING FOR THE SOUTH.

MAY ALSO HAVE SOME LINGERING CONVECTION TUESDAY MORNING.
THEREAFTER...STALLED FRONT RETURNS NORTH AS A WARM FRONT AND WASHES
OUT AS 70+ DEWPOINTS ADVECT RAPIDLY NORTH TOMORROW MORNING/AFTERNOON
IN RESPONSE TO DEEPENING LEE TROUGH OVER EASTERN CO. WITH RELATIVELY
WEAK CAP AND POSSIBLE MESOSCALE BOUNDARIES AROUND...WILL HANG ON TO
A 30 POP FOR THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN ZONES FOR THE AFTERNOON.
THEREAFTER...SHOULD SEE SOME CAP STRENGTH INCREASE AS UPPER HIGH
BUILDS INTO THE AREA.

WILL CONTINUE WITH DRY FORECAST FOR THE REST OF THE WORK WEEK AND
BRING POPS BACK IN ON SATURDAY...AS AVN SHOWS DECENT CONSISTENCY
WITH FROPA AS RIDGE BUILDS TO THE WEST AND NORTHWEST FLOW EDGES INTO
THE REGION.

NO DRASTIC CHANCES TO TEMPERATURES THIS WEEK...JUST PLAN ON GOING A
FEW DEGREES COOLER OVER THE EAST ON TUESDAY AND OVER THE ENTIRE AREA
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.

INITIAL ISC GRIDS ARE OUT. WILL LIKELY TWEEK POPS/WEATHER GRIDS FOR
TUESDAY TO PROLONG PRECIP IN THE EAST.

.SGF...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Missouri, 2002Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2002

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; verification from NCEI's Storm Data; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.