Severe Thunderstorm Warning 130, NWS Raleigh, NC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
140 PM EDT SAT JUL 27 2002

MID LEVEL PVA ON THE WAY AS CONVECTION IS BEGINNING TO BREAK OUT
UNDER THE CIRRUS SHIELD IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA. CWFA IS PRIMED WITH A
VERY UNIFORM CU FIELD IN PLACE AND LAPS CAPES EXCEEDING 3500. THE
VORT MAX CLEARS THE CWFA AROUND 06Z...THUS WILL BE KEEPING POPS
THROUGH AROUND MIDNIGHT. AM VERY TEMPTED TO RAISE POPS INTO THE
LIKELY CATEGORY AS WELL.

HEAT ADVISORY LOOKS LIKELY TOMORROW AS WE WILL STILL BE LOOKING AT
LOW TO MID 70S DEW POINTS INTO THE AFTERNOON AS WE STRETCH TOWARDS
THE CENTURY MARK TEMP-WISE. WILL REISSUE AN SPS HIGHLIGHTING THE
HEAT WITH THE ACTUAL HEAT ADVISORY LEFT FOR THE MIDNIGHT SHIFT TO
ISSUE SINCE IT IS A FIRST PERIOD PRODUCT. STRONG SUBSIDENCE UNDER
THE BUILDING RIDGE WILL DAMPEN ACTIVITY THROUGH TUESDAY...ALTHOUGH
UPPER 90S OVER MID 70S WOULD SEEM LIKELY TO PRODUCE SOME ISOLD
CONVECTION.

MORE ZONAL FLOW WITH A WEAK BACKDOOR FRONT APPROACHING TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY...WITH DRY AND SLIGHTLY COOLER FOR LATE WEEK. CURRENT
EXTENDED HAS THIS COVERED NICELY AND NO CHANGES ARE NEEDED AT THIS
POINT.

.RAH...NONE.

MLM

ZCZC 000
TTAA00 KRAH 271931

NCZ007>011-021>028-038>043-073>078-083>086-088-089-280900-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
320 PM EDT SAT JUL 27 2002

...VERY HOT AND HUMID WEATHER EXPECTED SUNDAY AND MONDAY...
...A HEAT ADVISORY WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE MID ATLANTIC REGION THROUGH THE
EARLY PART OF NEXT WEEK... VERY HOT TEMPERATURES WILL RESULT.
AFTERNOON HIGHS ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY WILL CLIMB INTO THE MID AND
UPPER 90S... WITH A FEW LOCATIONS OVER THE SOUTH CENTRAL PIEDMONT
AND SANDHILLS AROUND 100 DEGREES. THESE HOT TEMPERATURES WILL
COMBINE WITH HIGH HUMIDITIES TO PRODUCE HEAT INDICES BOTH SUNDAY AND
MONDAY AFTERNOON AROUND 105 DEGREES AND POSSIBLY HIGHER. A HEAT
ADVISORY WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED SUNDAY.

THE HOT MUGGY CONDITIONS WILL BE DANGEROUS...THEREFORE PLAN FOR
THEM ACCORDINGLY. IF YOU WILL BE OUTSIDE...AVOID PROLONGED EXPOSURE
TO THE SUN. WEAR LIGHT COLORED...LOOSE FITTING CLOTHES. DRINK PLENTY
OF WATER. NEVER LEAVE A CHILD OR PET IN A VEHICLE WITH THE WINDOWS
UP. CHECK ON THE ELDERLY AND THOSE WITH CHRONIC AILMENTS FREQUENTLY.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES.

JWC

ZCZC 000
TTAA00 KRAH 272053

NCZ021>023-038-039-272230-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
453 PM EDT SAT JUL 27 2002

THUNDERSTORMS WITH FREQUENT LIGHTING AND TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS WILL
AFFECT GUILFORD AND ALAMANCE COUNTIES THROUGH 630 PM.  THE STRONGEST
STORMS WILL ALSO PRODUCE WIND GUSTS NEAR 45 MPH AND SOME SMALL HAIL.

THE STORMS NEAR UNION RIDGE IN ALAMANCE COUNTY AND JUST NORTHWEST
OF BURLINGTON WERE PRODUCING NEARLY CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING STRIKES.  FOR YOUR PROTECT...MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY IF
YOU ARE NEAR THESE STORMS.  ONCE INDOORS REFRAIN FROM USING THE
TELEPHONE UNLESS ITS AN EMERGENCY.  YOU ALSO MAY WANT TO UNPLUG SUCH
APPLIANCES AS THE TV...STEREOS AND COMPUTERS TO PROTECT FROM POWER
SURGES.

TRAVEL ALONG INTERSTATE 40 85 WILL BE TREACHEROUS AT TIMES
DUE TO THE BLINDING RAIN...ESPECIALLY BETWEEN GREENSBORO AND MEBANE.
MOTORISTS ARE ADVISED TO SLOW DOWN WHEN DRIVING THROUGH THE
DOWNPOURS.  THIS WILL ENABLE YOU TO HAVE BETTER CONTROL OF YOUR
VEHICLE IN CASE IT HYDROPLANES.

WSS

NCZ007>011-024>028-040>043-076>078-272245-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
510 PM EDT SAT JUL 27 2002

...A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS MOVING SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION...
A LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE MOVING SOUTH
AT 40 MPH... ACROSS ORANGE... DURHAM... CHATHAM... WAKE...
FRANKLIN... NASH... HALIFAX AND EDGECOMBE COUNTIES THROUGH 600 PM.

THE STRONGEST STORMS WITHIN THE LINE WILL AFFECT MUCH OF CHATHAM
COUNTY INCLUDING PITTSBORO AND SILER CITY WITH WITH FREQUENT
LIGHTNING... A WIND SHIFT TO THE NORTH AT 30 TO 40 MPH... AND VERY
HEAVY RAIN.

IN ADDITION... SEVERAL STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AHEAD OF
THE LINE... OVER JOHNSTON COUNTY AROUND SMITHFIELD AND SELMA...
AND OVER TARBORO IN EDGECOMBE COUNTY. FREQUENT LIGHTNING
AND TORRENTIAL RAINFALL WILL OCCUR.

FOR YOUR PROTECTION... GO INSIDE IMMEDIATELY WHEN THUNDER IS HEARD.
ONCE INDOORS REFRAIN FROM USING THE TELEPHONE UNLESS ITS AN
EMERGENCY.  YOU ALSO MAY WANT TO UNPLUG SUCH APPLIANCES AS THE TV...
STEREOS AND COMPUTERS TO PROTECT FROM POWER SURGES.

TRAVEL ALONG INTERSTATE 95 AND 40 MAY BE HAZARDOUS AT TIMES DUE TO
THE BLINDING RAIN. MOTORISTS ARE ADVISED TO SLOW DOWN WHEN DRIVING
THROUGH THE DOWNPOURS.  THIS MAY PREVENT YOU FROM HYDROPLANING.

BADGETT