Alert archive / Arizona / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2002

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 16, NWS Phoenix, AZ

July 11, 2002Yuma County, Arizona

NWS Phoenix, AZ issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 11, 2002, 8:26 PM MST for Yuma County, Arizona. It was in force for 49 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 11, 2002, 8:26 PM MST (03:26 UTC)
Expired
Jul 11, 2002, 9:15 PM MST
In force
49 min
Issued by
NWS Phoenix, AZ
Area
Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Yuma County, AZ

The radar

The Yuma radar (KYUX), 112 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:25 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Phoenix, AZ (KPSR), launched 00:00Z, 3.4 hours before the alert went out and 161 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Phoenix, AZ at 00:00Z on 2002-07-12Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1000 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Phoenix, AZ at 00:00Z on 2002-07-12The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -15 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1000 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-34 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
3045 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
6 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-15 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
24 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS55 KPSR 120326
SVRPSR
AZC027-120415-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
824 PM MST THU JUL 11 2002

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PHOENIX HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  EAST CENTRAL YUMA COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST ARIZONA...

* UNTIL 915 PM MST.

THE AFFECTED AREA INCLUDES AZTEC...DATELAND...MOHAWK...AND TACNA.

* AT 820 PM MST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM OVER DATELAND...OR ABOUT 47 MILES WEST OF GILA
  BEND...MOVING SOUTHWEST AT 35 MPH.


DAMAGING MICROBURST WINDS ARE LIKELY WITH THIS STORM. TAKE COVER IN A
STURDY STRUCTURE UNTIL THE STORM PASSES.


LAT...LON 3271 11335 3313 11347 3268 11397 3252 11335

AJ

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Phoenix, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 11, 2:55 PM MST, 5 hours 31 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 11, 2:55 PM MST, 5 hours 31 minutes before
AZZ020>028-CAZ030>033-120545-

SOUTHWEST ARIZONA/SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
255 PM MST THU JUL 11 2002

.SYNOPSIS...
STRONG HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL REMAIN CENTERED IN THE VICINITY OF
IDAHO...UTAH...AND WYOMING AT LEAST THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS
MEANS A CONTINUATION OF HUMID AND UNSTABLE AIR FROM THE EAST IN THE
CLOCKWISE FLOW AROUND THE HIGH PRESSURE CENTER. THIS WILL RESULT IN
SCATTERED MAINLY AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS...AND BLOWING
DESERT DUST.

.DISCUSSION...
A HUMID AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS CONTINUES WITH TODAY EXPECTED TO BE THE
THIRD DAY IN A ROW WITH THE AVERAGE SURFACE DEW POINT TEMPERATURE AT
PHOENIX SKY HARBOR EXPECTED TO BE ABOVE 55 DEGREES. STRONG HIGH
PRESSURE ALOFT WILL REMAIN CENTERED NORTH OF ARIZONA THE REST OF THE
WEEK AND AT LEAST THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS MEANS A CONTINUATION
OF HUMID AND UNSTABLE AIR FROM THE EAST IN THE CLOCKWISE FLOW AROUND
THE HIGH PRESSURE CENTER. FORECAST AT THIS TIME OF YEAR IS MORE THAN
THE USUAL CHALLENGE. IT LOOKS AS IF THERE IS A WEAK LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM IN THE FLOW FROM THE EAST THAT WILL MOVE WEST ACROSS CENTRAL
AND SOUTHERN ARIZONA TONIGHT WHICH WILL HELP TO TRIGGER THE
DEVELOPMENT OF THUNDERSTORMS IN SOUTH-CENTRAL ARIZONA TONIGHT WITH A
POSSIBILITY OF SOME STORMS CONTINUING OR REDEVELOPING DURING THE
NIGHT. THE LOWEST LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE ARE STILL RELATIVELY DRY.
SO IT LOOKS AS IF THE MAIN THING TO WATCH FOR IS GUSTY WIND WITH
BLOWING DUST...AND OF COURSE LIGHTNING.

.PSR...NONE.

ELLIS

The office that day

Everything else NWS Phoenix, AZ issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 11, 5:10 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPSRPinal35 min
Jul 11, 6:06 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPSRMaricopa39 min
Jul 11, 8:38 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPSRYuma37 min
Jul 12, 4:18 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPSRGila42 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Arizona, 2002Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2002

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.