Special Marine Warning 124, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
250 AM EST FRI DEC 20 2002

THE RAIN CONTINUES TO WORK ITS WAY INTO OUR FORECAST AREA.  A STEADY
RAIN SHOULD COVER ALL OF OUR COUNTIES BY ABOUT 800 AM.  WERE THEN
EXPECTING THE STEADY RAIN TO END FROM WEST TO EAST IN OUR FORECAST
AREA FROM ABOUT NOON TO 300 PM.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN THE NEIGHBORHOOD OF AN INCH ARE EXPECTED
THROUGHOUT OUR FORECAST AREA.  MOST OF THE RAIN WILL FALL IN ABOUT A
THREE TO FOUR HOUR PERIOD.  WITH THAT IDEA IN MIND WELL ISSUE AN
URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR ALL BUT OUR COASTAL
COUNTIES.  THE ADVISORY WILL BE UP FOR THIS MORNING AND EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON.

IN ADDITION TO THE HEAVY RAIN WELL CONTINUE TO MENTION THE
POSSIBILITY OF A FEW RUMBLES OF THUNDER.  ANY PERIOD OF HEAVIER RAIN
COULD EASILY MIX DOWN SOME STRONG WIND GUSTS, SO WELL MENTION THE
POTENTIAL FOR GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH AS WELL.

BEYOND THE TODAY PERIOD THERES NOT MUCH TO CHANGE IN THE FORECAST.
WELL BE UNDER A BRISK WESTERLY FLOW FOR SATURDAY.  GUIDANCE
CONTINUES TO SUGGEST A SHORT WAVE PASSING OVERHEAD ON SUNDAY.

THE ZONE FORECASTS WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 400.

.PHI...AN URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY INTO EARLY AFTERNOON
        FOR ALL OF OUR EASTERN PA COUNTIES (PA ZONES 54/55/60>62/
        67>71), WESTERN AND CENTRAL NJ (NJ ZONES 1/7>10/12/15>19),
        NEW CASTLE COUNTY DE (DE ZONE 1) AND CECIL COUNTY MD (MD
        ZONE 8).
       SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM SANDY HOOK NJ TO FENWICK ISLAND DE
        AND FOR DELAWARE BAY.

IOVINO

DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-012>027-PAZ054-055-
060>062-067>071-201230-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
530 AM EST FRI DEC 20 2002

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST
PENNSYLVANIA...DELAWARE...THE NORTHERN MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE...AND
NEW JERSEY EXCLUDING THE FIVE NORTHEAST COUNTIES.

.DAY ONE...TODAY

AN URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT INTO EARLY
AFTERNOON FOR ALL OF OUR EASTERN PA COUNTIES (PA ZONES 54/55/
60>62/67>71), WESTERN AND CENTRAL NJ (NJ ZONES 1/7>10/12/15>19),
NEW CASTLE COUNTY DE (DE ZONE 1) AND CECIL COUNTY MD (MD ZONE 8).

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

IOVINO