Alert archive / Oklahoma / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2002

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 438, NWS Norman, OK

September 14, 2002Carter County, Oklahoma

NWS Norman, OK issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Sep 14, 2002, 8:48 PM CDT for Carter County, Oklahoma. It was in force for 27 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Sep 14, 2002, 8:48 PM CDT (01:48 UTC)
Expired
Sep 14, 2002, 9:15 PM CDT
In force
27 min
Issued by
NWS Norman, OK
Area
Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Carter County, OK

The radar

The Norman radar (KTLX), 118 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:52 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Norman, OK (KOUN), launched 00:00Z, 1.8 hours before the alert went out and 109 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Norman, OK at 00:00Z on 2002-09-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1380 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Norman, OK at 00:00Z on 2002-09-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 18 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1380 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-6 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1169 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
34 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
18 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
84 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.1
Supercell composite
1.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

161 
WUUS54 KOUN 150148
SVROKC
OKC019-150215-

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
847 PM CDT SAT SEP 14 2002

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORMAN HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  NORTHEASTERN CARTER COUNTY IN SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA

* UNTIL 915 PM CDT

* AT 847 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR DETECTED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM OVER
  GENE AUTRY...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE GENE AUTRY AND BAUM

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS IS LIKELY WITH THIS SEVERE 
THUNDERSTORM.

LAT...LON 3433 9693 3435 9706 3427 9720 3420 9693

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Norman, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Sep 14, 3:14 PM CDT, 5 hours 34 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 14, 3:14 PM CDT, 5 hours 34 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
310 PM CDT SAT 14 2002

FIRST PERIOD POPS WILL BE HEAVILY DEPENDENT ON SATELLITE AND RADAR
TRENDS TOWARD ISSUANCE TIME. THERE WILL BE TWO MAIN AREAS/FEATURES
TO WATCH. ONE IS ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL ZONES NEAR VORTEX CENTER.
MOSTLY INDUCED BY COLD CORE TEMPS...THIS COULD POSE A PROBLEM FOR
FLOODING...AS A FAIRLY LARGE AREA OF NORTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA RECEIVED
BETWEEN 2 AND 4+ INCHES OF RAIN EARLY THIS MORNING. A FLASH FLOOD
WATCH MAY BE NEEDED IF ACTIVITY BECOMES ORGANIZED...BUT HEAVIEST
RAIN STILL EXPECTED FURTHER SOUTH.

SECOND IS WEAK SURFACE BOUNDARY...WHICH IS BECOMING BETTER DEFINED
ACROSS WEST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA. GIVEN DECENT WARM-UP AHEAD OF
BOUNDARY...ALONG WITH WEAKLY CAPPED ENVIRONMENT...THIS FEATURE
EXPECTED TO LIGHT UP AND PROVIDE MUCH OF CENTRAL/SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA
AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS TEXAS WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. IF
LINE CAN DEVELOP AND FILL IN...TO WOULD LIKELY MOVE INTO CENTRAL
PARTS OF OKLAHOMA LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY EVENING...THEN
SHIFT SOUTH AND EAST. MAIN CONCERN WITH ANY ACTIVITY WILL BE
LIGHTNING AND HEAVY RAINFALL. LINGERING (LIGHT) SHOWERS WILL LIKELY
BE SEEN ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN AREAS AFTER THIS LINE MOVES
THROUGH.

LOW POPS WILL NEED TO BE KEPT ACROSS EASTERN/SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF
FORECAST AREA ON SUNDAY AS UPPER VORT CENTR IS SLOW TO MOVE OUT AND
SURFACE FRONT BEGINS TO STALL. THEN...IT APPEARS THAT THERE WILL BE
A COUPLE OF DRY SEASONABLE DAYS UNTIL MID WEEK...WHEN MEDIUM RANGE
MODELS WANT TO BRING IN ANOTHER SUBSTANTIAL FRONT. DYNAMIC SUPPORT
WILL BE THERE FOR POPS TO BE CONTINUED. WILL LEAVE POPS IN THE
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY TIME FRAME FOR NOW. ANOTHER FRONT IS
PROGD AGAIN FOR THE WEEKEND.

FCSTID =  11

PRELIMINARY CCF NUMBERS...
OKC   63  78  57  81 /  80  20   0   0
HBR   62  78  56  83 /  80  10   0   0
SPS   65  81  60  84 /  60  20   0   0
GAG   55  76  49  81 /  60   0   0   0
PNC   59  77  55  80 /  80  20   0   0
DUA   66  81  59  83 /  80  40   0   0

.OUN...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Sep 14, 8:02 PM CDT, 46 minutes before
LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
802 PM CDT SAT SEP 14 2002

TIME (CDT) .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0640 PM    OKLAHOMA CITY             OK   60 MPH WIND GUST
09/14/02   OKLAHOMA                       OKC FIRE DEPT

FM

The office that day

Everything else NWS Norman, OK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 14, 8:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNPontotoc28 min
Sep 14, 8:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNJohnston46 min
Sep 14, 9:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCoal, Hughes46 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Oklahoma, 2002Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2002

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.