Severe Thunderstorm Warning 147, NWS Omaha, NE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
250 PM CDT MON JUN 10 2002

POTENTIAL FOR CONVECTION WILL BE THE MAIN PROBLEM THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
SOME CHANCE OF SEVERE THROUGH MIDNIGHT.  CURRENT PROGS...ESPECIALLY
THE ETA HINT AT FLASH FLOOD POTENTIAL OVER SERN NE TUE NGT.  SURFACE
ANALYSIS EARLY THIS AFTN SHOWED CDFNT HAD MOVED INTO THE NWRN CORNER
OF NERN NE.  DEWPTS AHEAD OF THE FNT AROUND 70 OR IN THE LOWER 70S.
OAX SOUNDING FROM 12Z DID NOT HAVE MUCH OF A CAP...BUT LBF HAD A
VERY STRONG CAP AROUND 750 MB.  TEMPS AT THE SFC HAD WARMED TO NEAR
100 F NEAR KHYS IN KS NEAR SFC LOW.  EXPECT EXPLOSIVE DEVELOPMENT
IN THAT AREA SHORTLY.  FNT WILL TRY TO HANG UP AND STALL TNGT...BUT
LOCATION OF OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES WILL MAKE WINDS TOUGH TO CALL LATER
TNGT.  OVERALL NGM MOS LOOKS A LITTLE TOO COOL AGAIN TNGT.  WILL GO
WITH MENTION OF SCT TSTMS THROUGH ABOUT MIDNIGHT.  THEN THERE IS
ANOTHER CHANCE LATE TNGT WITH SHORTWAVE MOVING OUT OF THE WRN HIGH
PLAINS.  THIS SEEMS TO BE BEST DEPICTED BY 12Z ETA/MESOETA.

GENERALLY THINK THAT THE ETA MAY HANDLE THINGS A BIT BETTER DURING
THE NEXT FEW DAYS.  PCPN SHOULD BE ONGOING MOST AREAS BY SUNRISE
TUESDAY.  THEN THIS SHOULD MOVE EWD AND WEAKEN.  NEXT ROUND OF
TSTMS...POSSIBLY SEVERE...WOULD BE TUE EVENING INTO TUESDAY NIGHT.
IF ETA ENDS UP CORRECT...DEFINITE POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING W/
HIGH QPF.  RAISED LOWS A BIT FROM NGM MOS TUE NGT...BUT DID NOT
DEVIATE MUCH ON WED.  LOOKS LIKE A MAINLY DRY PATTERN LATER IN THE
WEEK AS CLOSED LOW PUSHES TOWARD THE WRN GREAT LAKES AND FLOW
BECOMES NWLY ALOFT.  WILL HAVE TO SEE ABOUT THAT.  DID INCLUDE A
MENTION OF PCPN STARTING SAT NGT AND CONTINUING INTO MON.  FIRST
DRAFT OF THE WORK ZFP WAS SENT EARLIER.

.OMA...NONE.
MILLER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
1042 PM CDT MON JUN 10 2002

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0850 PM    2 SE COLUMBUS             NE   1 INCH HAIL
06/10/02   PLATTE                         REPORTED BY EMERGENCY
                                          MANAGEMENT.

1000 PM    WESTON                    NE   60-70 MPH TSTM GUST
06/10/02   SAUNDERS                       HEAVY RAIN. REPORTED BY
                                          HAM RADIO OPERATOR.

1005 PM    1 N WAHOO                 NE   70-80 MPH TSTM GUST
06/10/02   SAUNDERS                       HEAVY RAIN. REPORTED BY
                                          HAM RADIO OPERATOR.

1024 PM    3 E WAHOO                 NE   60-75 MPH TSTM GUST
06/10/02   SAUNDERS                       LARGE TREES DOWN.
                                          REPORTED BY HAM RADIO
                                          OPERATOR.

1028 PM    MEADOW GROVE              NE   .75 INCH HAIL
06/10/02   MADISON                        REPORTED BY PUBLIC.

1035 PM    WAHOO                     NE   WIND DAMAGE
06/10/02   SAUNDERS                       NUMEROUS POWER LINES
                                          AND TREES DOWN ACROSS
                                          HIGHWAY. REPORTED BY
                                          HAM RADIO OPERATOR.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
1121 PM CDT MON JUN 10 2002

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

1040 PM    CERESCO                   NE   WIND DAMAGE
06/10/02   SAUNDERS                       TREES AND POWER LINES
                                          DOWN. REPORTED BY HAM
                                          RADIO OPERATOR.

1042 PM    VALLEY                    NE   58 MPH TSTM GUST
06/10/02   DOUGLAS                        AT NWS OFFICE 1 MILE
                                          NORTHWEST OF VALLEY.

1043 PM    MALMO                     NE   WIND DAMAGE
06/10/02   SAUNDERS                       TREES AND POWER LINES
                                          DOWN. REPORTED BY HAM
                                          RADIO OPERATOR.

1045 PM    MEAD                      NE   WIND DAMAGE
06/10/02   SAUNDERS                       POWER LINES AND SMALL
                                          TREES DOWN. REPORTED BY
                                          HAM RADIO OPERATOR.

1057 PM    9 W (OMA)EPPLEY FLD OMAHA NE   .75 INCH HAIL
06/10/02   DOUGLAS                        HAM RADIO OPERATOR AT
                                          108TH AND MAPLE STREETS.

1057 PM    4 NE LITTLE SIOUX         IA   60 MPH TSTM GUST
06/10/02   HARRISON                       1 INCH DIAMETER HAIL.
                                          REPORTED BY COOPERATIVE
                                          OBSERVER.

1110 PM    SWEDEBURG                 NE   WIND DAMAGE
06/10/02   SAUNDERS                       TREES DOWN. REPORTED BY
                                          HAM RADIO OPERATOR.