Special Marine Warning 76, NWS Mobile, AL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
256 PM CDT SAT JUL 27 2002

WATER VAPOR LOOP AND ETA/AVN AGREE THAT A DEEP TROPICAL AIR MASS IS
OVER AND WILL REMAIN OVER BULK OF FORECAST AREA THROUGH MID WEEK.
EXTREME NORTHWEST SECTIONS OF FORECAST AREA JUST SLIGHTLY DRIER
THROUGH SUNDAY...OTHERWISE PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES GENERALLY AT OR
ABOVE OF 2 INCHES.  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY WILL WEAKEN AND
DISSIPATE AS SUNSET APPROACHES...REFIRE OVER THE COASTAL WATERS
SUNDAY MORNING AND DEVELOP INLAND AS THE DAY PROGRESSES. SURFACE
RIDGE ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS WILL CONTINUE AS AN UPPER LEVEL LOW
MOVES NORTHEAST ACROSS THE EAST GULF FIRST PART OF WEEK AND TOWARD
THE FORECAST AREA...AN UPPER TROF EVENTUALLY EVOLVES ACROSS THE
REGION...ALL OF WHICH SHOULD KEEP THE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ACTIVE THROUGH THE EXTENDED.

MARINE...LITTLE CHANGE...SURFACE RIDGE CONTINUES WITH SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE PERIOD.

FIRE...HUMIDITY TO REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL THRESHOLDS./11

...PRELIM NUMBERS...
MOB 075/091 075/091 076 11154
PNS 076/090 077/090 077 111514
DTS 081/089 080/089 079 111514
GZH 072/092 072/092 072 112624
2R0 072/092 072/092 072 112524
61A 072/092 072/092 072 112624

.MOB...
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.