Special Marine Warning 124, NWS Mobile, AL

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ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-141800-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...AMENDED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
625 AM CDT MON OCT 14 2002

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI AND THE EXTREME WESTERN PORTION OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE.

.DAY ONE...

FOR TODAY...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED
TO DEVELOP BY THIS AFTERNOON...BECOMING MOST NUMEROUS OVER PORTIONS
OF SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON.  RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO BE MUCH
LESS WIDESPREAD TODAY OVER MOST OF SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.  RAINFALL
TOTALS OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA BY THIS
EVENING WILL LIKELY RANGE FROM BETWEEN ONE QUARTER TO ONE HALF
INCH...WITH LOCALIZED AREAS RECEIVING UP TO NEAR 1 INCH...ESPECIALLY
ALONG THE COAST.  FOR TONIGHT...RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO BECOME EVEN
MORE WIDESPREAD...COVERING MOST OF THE REGION.  RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OVERNIGHT TONIGHT COULD APPROACH 1 INCH OVER ALABAMA
AND THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...AND UP TO AROUND ONE HALF INCH OVER
SOUTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI.  ISOLATED AMOUNTS COULD BE LOCALLY HEAVIER
IN SOME LOCATIONS.  THE HEAVY RAINFALL AND SOME ISOLATED MINOR
FLOODING OF LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS WILL BE THE PRIMARY
WEATHER THREAT...ESPECIALLY OVERNIGHT TONIGHT.  AT THIS TIME...NO
SIGNIFICANT FLASH FLOODING PROBLEMS ARE ANTICIPATED...BUT THE
POSSIBILITY OF THIS WILL NEED TO BE MONITORED...ESPECIALLY LATE
TONIGHT AND MORE LIKELY ON TUESDAY MORNING.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGERS SHOULD NOT BE
NECESSARY THROUGH TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

WIDESPREAD RAIN AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CONTINUING OVER MOST
OF THE REGION EARLY TUESDAY...BUT WILL END FROM SOUTH TO NORTH
ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON.  DRY...BUT COOLER...
WEATHER IS EXPECTED FROM TUESDAY NIGHT FRIDAY.  SLIGHTLY WARMER
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED BY NEXT SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...ALONG WITH
THE NEXT POSSIBLE CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.  BUT SOME OF THE
RAINFALL OVER THE REGION TUESDAY MORNING WILL BE LOCALLY HEAVY.