Special Marine Warning 50, NWS Melbourne, FL

EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
225 PM EDT MON JUL 22 2002

CURRENT WEATHER...RADAR SHOWING SEA BREEZE HAS PUSHED WEST OF I 95
FROM SOUTH BREVARD COUNTY SOUTH. THE SEA BREEZE HAS TRIGGERED
SHOWERS AND STORMS ALONG IT IN MARTIN...SAINT LUCIE AND SOUTHERN
INDIAN RIVER COUNTIES. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS WERE ENTERING
SOUTH LAKE COUNTY...AND AROUND THE SPACE CENTER IN BREVARD COUNTY.
VISIBLE SATELLITE LOOP SHOWED CUMULUS FIELD BUILDING IN THE
AFTERNOON HEAT...AND THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE COLLIDING WITH THE
EASTERN EDGE OF THE LAKE OKEECHOBEE SHADOW. SHOWERS AND STORMS WERE
MOVING NORTH NORTHEAST OVER THE COASTAL WATERS MAINLY BEYOND 20
MILES OF SHORE. OFFSHORE WEATHER BUOYS WERE RECORDING SOUTHEAST
WINDS 6 TO 8 KNOTS AND 2 TO 3 FOOT SEAS.

DISCUSSION...ALL GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT THE RIDGE AXIS WILL STAY TO
OUR SOUTH THROUGH MID WEEK THEN SLOWLY TRACK NORTH THROUGH FRIDAY
AND BE OVER NORTH FLORIDA BY SUNDAY. THE MAIN IMPACT IS A TRANSITION
TO A SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW REGIME BY SUNDAY. WILL NOT STRAY TOO FAR
FROM CURRENT FORECAST.

MARINE...RIDGE AXIS TO OUR SOUTH WILL KEEP SOUTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW
NORTH OF COCOA BEACH AND SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST COCOA BEACH SOUTH.
AFTERNOON SEA BREEZES WILL COME INTO PLAY EACH DAY. NO HIGHLIGHTS

DAB TT 071/089 072/089 072 464
MCO TT 072/091 072/091 073 464
MLB TT 074/089 074/089 075 453

.MLB...NONE.

PUBLIC/MARINE...WIMMER
AVIATION/FIRE WX...GITTINGER