Special Marine Warning 39, NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
330 PM EDT FRI JUN 14 2002

CURRENT LINE OF STRONG/SVR STORMS WILL AFFECT AREA INTO EVE...THEN
EXPECT ANOTHER BOUT OF STORMS OVERNIGHT ASSCTD WITH STRONGER SHRT WV
UPSTREAM. CATEGORICAL POPS PLANNED FOLLOWING HIGHER NUMBERS FROM ETA
MOS.

1ST COLD FRONT WILL MAKE IT OFF COAST AROUND 12Z...THEN SECONDARY
FRONT SAT NIGHT...FOLLOWED BY ANOTHER ONE SUN NIGHT. THESE
REINFORCING SHOTS OF COOLER DRIER AIR WILL BE IN RESPONSE TO
ADDITIONAL SHRT WVS ROTATING AROUND BASE OF UPR LOW MOVING INTO ERN
GREAT LAKES. MEAN RH AND OMEGA WILL BE LIMITED AFTER TONIGHT AND
PLAN ON DRY FCST OVER WEEKEND OTHER THAN LINGERING 20 POP SAT AM
ALONG COAST.

STRONGER SHRT WV ROTATING IN MON AND WILL GO WITH CHC
POP...OTHERWISE DRY FCST FOR DAYS 4-7.

CONSENSUS MOS TEMPS ACCEPTED FOR SHORT TERM.

CWF: BOUYS INDICATING WINDS IN THE 20 KT PLUS RANGE. WITH THE
GRADIENT EXPECTED TO FURTHER TIGHTEN WITH APPROACH OF FRONTAL
BOUNDARY WILL RAISE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR COASTAL WATERS TONIGHT.
WILL ALSO MENTION HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS WITH EXPECTED THUNDERSTORMS.
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME WESTERLY AND THEN SOUTHWEST AND
DECREASE TO BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS.

.MHX...SCA S OF CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT TO N OF SURF CITY.

JBM/RP

CORRECTED TO INCLUDE SCA ON WARNING LINE.

NCZ029-044>047-079>081-090>095-098-103-142000-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT-MOREHEAD CITY NC
312 PM EDT FRI JUN 14 2002

A BROKEN LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE EAST AT 25 MPH
ACROSS EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA. BY 330 PM...THE STORMS WILL LIKELY
EXTEND FROM NORTHERN ONSLOW COUNTY TO TRENTON TO NEW BERN TO NEAR
WASHINGTON TO WILLIAMSTON.

THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF BECOMING SEVERE AS THEY
APPROACH THE COAST OF NORTH CAROLINA.

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE
FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF THUNDERSTORMS WHICH CONTAIN DAMAGING WIND IN
EXCESS OF 55 MPH AND HAIL 3/4 INCH OR GREATER IN DIAMETER IN AND
CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND VERY HEAVY RAIN MAY
ALSO ACCOMPANY ANY THUNDERSTORMS.

COLBY