Alert archive / Arkansas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2002

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 210, NWS Little Rock, AR

June 16, 2002Stone County, Arkansas

NWS Little Rock, AR issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 16, 2002, 8:26 PM CDT for Stone County, Arkansas. It was in force for 34 min. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Jun 16, 2002, 8:26 PM CDT (01:26 UTC)
Expired
Jun 16, 2002, 9:00 PM CDT
In force
34 min
Issued by
NWS Little Rock, AR
Area
Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Stone County, AR

The radar

The Little Rock radar (KLZK), 114 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:30 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Jun 16, 8:30 PM CDTHail 0.75Timbo, AR

NCEI Storm Data entries that began inside the alert's area while it was in force. Before 2003 the local storm report archive is thin, so this is the record of what happened rather than what was phoned in.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Little Rock, AR wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 16, 1:25 PM CDT, 7 hours 1 minute earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 16, 1:25 PM CDT, 7 hours 1 minute before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
125 PM CDT SUN JUN 16 2002

AREA RADAR LOOPS SHOW THAT MOST OF THE PRECIP HAS EXITED OUR
SOUTHEAST ZONES...WITH ONE EAST-WEST ORIENTED BAND OF RAIN
LINGERING. ELSEWHERE...SATELLITE LOOPS SHOWED CLOUDS BREAKING
UP...WITH ONLY A FEW TINY SHOWERS DEVELOPING.

MODELS STILL PROJECTING A WEAK CUTOFF LOW TO DEVELOP OVER THE GULF
COAST. ETA AND AVN 60 HOUR POSITIONS NEARLY ON TOP OF EACH OTHER IN
SOUTHEAST LA. LONGER RANGE MODELS SUCH AS NOGAPS AND AVN EXTENSION
SHOW THIS FEATURE WOBBLING AROUND OUR AREA IN SOME FORM FOR THE NEXT
WEEK AND A HALF. IF THIS PROVES TRUE...IT WILL LEAD TO CONSIDERABLE
CLOUDINESS AND ENHANCED AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORM CHANCES.

BACK TO THE SHORT TERM...PLENTY OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL BE
AVAILABLE FOR AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND STORMS THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
MESOETA FORECAST SOUNDINGS FOR MONDAY SHOW AN ISOTHERMAL LAYER
BETWEEN 600 AND 700 MB WHICH WILL HAMPER CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT
SOMEWHAT...BUT THERE APPEARS TO BE ENOUGH POSITIVE AREA BELOW THIS
LAYER TO ALLOW DEVELOPING UPDRAFTS TO BREAK THROUGH IT. SMALL
SHORTWAVE DEPICTED BY MESOETA WILL ALSO HELP. WILL GO WITH LESS THAN
20 POPS IN THE NORTH AND CENTRAL AND 20 POPS IN THE SOUTH TO ACCOUNT
FOR THIS FEATURE. ON TUESDAY...THE LAYER ALOFT IS NO LONGER AS
STABLE...SO WILL RAISE POPS BY 10 PERCENT ACROSS THE BOARD.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE JUST A FEW DEGREES BELOW SEASONAL NORMALS.

BEGINNING ON WEDNESDAY...THE PRIMARY FEATURE WILL BE THE CUTOFF LOW.
CONFIDENCE IN PLACEMENT/STRENGTH OF THIS FEATURE IN THE LONGER RANGE
IS LOW...SO WILL NOT TRY TO GET TOO SPECIFIC...BUT COMMENTS FROM TWO
PARAGRAPHS AGO STILL APPLY.

HRO 58 81 60 85 62 /  5 10  5 20
LIT 62 85 64 88 66 /  5 10  5 20
HOT 62 86 64 89 66 /  5 10  5 20
PBF 64 87 66 89 68 / 10 20 10 30

.LZK...NONE.

54

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Arkansas, 2002Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2002

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; verification from NCEI's Storm Data; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.