Flash Flood Warning 20, NWS Lake Charles, LA

SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
949 AM CST SUN NOV 3 2002

LOW PRESSURE CENTER IN COASTAL WATERS SOUTHEAST OF CORPUS CHRISTI AT
9 AM HAS WARM FRONT EXTENDING JUST INLAND ALONG UPPER TEXAS
SOUTHWEST/SOUTH-CENTRAL LOUISIANA COAST. SURFACE LOW SHOULD TRACK
EAST-NORTHEAST ACROSS INTO SOUTH-CENTRAL LOUISIANA THIS EVENING TO
SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI OR SOUTHERN ALABAMA LATE TONIGHT. THERE IS
LOTS OF MOISTURE OVER THE FORECAST AREA NEAR THE TRACK OF THE LOW.
THERE WAS ALMOST 2 INCHES /1.94/ OF PRECIPITABLE WATER ON THIS
MORNING LAKE CHARLES UPPER AIR SOUNDING. ALSO STRONG WIND SHEAR
SHOWED UP IN THE LOW LEVELS OF SOUNDING THOUGH 0 TO 6 KM SHEAR WAS ON
THE WEAK SIDE..ONLY ABOUT 30 KNOTS OF WIND EXPECTED TODAY AT 6 KM.
STRONG LOW LEVEL SHEAR INDICATES POTENTIAL FOR TORNADOES OR HIGH
WINDS NEAR AND SOUTH OF FRONT SO WILL MENTION POSSIBILITY OF SEVERE
WEATHER IN FORECASTS.

TEMPERATURES HAVE ALREADY RISEN TO 67 AT BEAUMONT SO WILL RAISE HIGH
TEMPERATURES FORECASTS FOR TODAY SOUTHERN PART OF THE AREA.

POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY AND FLOOD PRODUCING RAINS CONTINUES NORTHEAST
AND EAST OF SURFACE LOW AND NEAR FRONT SO WILL CONTINUE FLOOD WATCH
FOR THE ENTIRE AREA FOR TODAY.

.PRELIM NUMBERS...
    SU    MO    TU    S M T
AEX 59 55/61 52/60 50 +73588
BPT 70 60/65 57/64 54 +53696
LCH 70 61/66 57/68 56 +63597
LFT 70 61/66 57/67 56 +83489

.LCH...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY ALL WATERS...GMZ455-450-470-475
    ...FLOOD WATCH ALL ZONES...LAZ027>033-041>045-051>055-
                               TXZ180>182-201-215-216

20

LAZ027>033-041>045-051>055-TXZ180>182-201-215-216-041200-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
600 AM CST SUN NOV 3 2002

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST TEXAS...CENTRAL...
SOUTH-CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA.

.TODAY AND TONIGHT...
A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND ASSOCIATED WARM AND COLD FRONTS
WILL SCOOT NORTHEAST ALONG THE TEXAS COASTLINE AND THEN EASTWARD
ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA COASTLINE. HEAVY RAINS AND EMBEDDED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE DAY AND EVENING BEFORE
TAPERING OFF OVERNIGHT. RAINFALL TOTALS FROM 1 TO 3 INCHES WITH
ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE...GENERALLY ALONG AND SOUTH
OF THE I-10 CORRIDOR. LOCALIZED FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY.
SEVERE WEATHER...MAINLY IN THE FORM OF ISOLATED TORNADOES...WILL BE
A POSSIBILITY TODAY ACROSS THE COASTAL SECTIONS OF SOUTHWEST
LOUISIANA. IF THE LOW TRACKS FURTHER INLAND...THE SEVERE WEATHER
RISK WILL ALSO MOVE FURTHER INLAND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION...
THE ACIVIATION OF SPOTTERS MAY BE REQUIRED THIS AFTERNOON.

.MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...
A BRIEF RESPITE FROM SUNDAYS WEATHER WILL OCCUR MONDAY WITH ONLY
SCATTERED SHOWERS EXPECTED. THE NEXT SURGE OF MOISTURE WILL MOVE
NORTHEAST OUT OF EASTERN PACIFIC AND SURGE INTO THE AREA...BRINGING
THE THREAT OF HEAVY RAINS TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT BEFORE TAPERING
OFF EARLY WEDNESDAY.  HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN MOVE INTO THE AREA
WEDNESDAY BRINGING PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
WEEK.

MOGGED