Flash Flood Warning 17, NWS Jackson, KY

Issued

Mar 17, 2002, 7:52 PM EST (00:52 UTC)

Expired

Mar 18, 2002, 12:00 AM EST

In force

4 hr

Issued by

NWS Jackson, KY

Area

Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Whitley County, KY

The Knoxville radar (KMRX), 94 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:51 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this flash flood warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

000 
WGUS53 KJKL 180052
FFWJKL
KYC235-180500-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
750 PM EST SUN MAR 17 2002

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON KY HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  WHITLEY COUNTY

* UNTIL 1200 AM EST

* AT 745 PM EST...WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED VERY HEAVY
  RAIN 7 MILES SOUTH OF WILLIAMSBURG...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH.
  THIS RAIN WILL LEAVE BEHIND ANOTHER HALF TO ONE INCH OF RAINFALL 
  ACCUMULATION IN PLACES THAT ALREADY SAW OVER AN INCH OF RAIN LAST 
  NIGHT. 

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM THIS STORM WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...HIGHWAYS AND UNDERPASSES. ADDITIONALLY...COUNTRY
ROADS AND FARMLANDS ALONG THE BANKS OF CREEKS AND STREAMS AND OTHER
LOW LYING AREAS ARE SUBJECT TO FLASH FLOODING.

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODS AND FLASH FLOODS. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED ACT
QUICKLY. MOVE UP TO HIGHER GROUND TO ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. LEAVE AREAS
SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN THE WATER STARTS TO RISE.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. VEHICLES CAUGHT IN RISING WATER SHOULD BE ABANDONED QUICKLY.
MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNING AREA MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY
AUTOMOBILE. IF YOUR VEHICLE STALLS, ABANDON IT IMMEDIATELY AND SEEK
HIGHER GROUND.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER HAVE THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY
RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN
JACKSON KY.

LAT...LON 3659 8410 3660 8425 3670 8432 3682 8435
          3693 8431 3696 8427 3693 8424 3693 8417
          3697 8412 3686 8407 3674 8398 3668 8389
          3664 8397 3659 8394

GREIF

NWS Jackson, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Mar 17, 3:10 PM EST, 4 hours 42 minutes earlier.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
310 PM EST SUN MAR 17 2002

DEFINITELY GOING TO BE CONCERNED WITH THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF CWA
AND THE AMOUNT OF RAINFALL THEY WILL SEE.  FFA OUT FOR REST OF TODAY
AND TONIGHT FOR SOUTHERN HALF OF CWA.  AVN SOLN HAS PRECIP MAXIMA
OVER OUR BORDER WITH TN WHEREAS ETA SOLN HAS MAXIMA COMPLETELY IN
TN/VA.  PER HPC DISCUSSION...MODELS HAVE BEEN UNDERESTIMATING
PRECIP. A QUARTER TO A HALF N AND ONE TO TWO IN S.

CHC RAIN FOR MON AS BOUNDARY STAYS IN THE AREA.

MON NIGHT WARM FRONT AND WAVE FROM THE TX LOW MOVES AS FAR NORTH AS
KY.  THEREFORE CHANCES OF RAIN INCREASE FROM SW TO NE AS THE NIGHT
PROGRESSES.  AT THIS POINT WITH THE DIFFERENCES IN THE MODEL AND THE
TENDENCY TO PUSH SYSTEM WEST FURTHER...IT IS HARD TO SAY WHEN RAIN
WILL BEGIN...LOOKS 12ZISH.  NOSE OF 8H JET STICKING RIGHT ALONG WITH
THE FRONT...LIKE ITS HAS BEEN...AIDING IN PRECIP.

TUES: MAIN PRECIP AREA TO OUR NORTH BUT WITH WAVES IN CONSTANT
DEVELOPMENT THROUGH THE AREA OUR CHANCES MIGHT LEAN TOWARDS
AVN...ALSO SEEING THAT THE THOUGHT IS THAT AVN IS DOING WELL
STRENGTH WISE.

DIFFERENT TRACK OF TX LOW THAN I REMEMBER YESTERDAY.  WITH LOW NOW
MOVING RIGHT OVER KY OVERNIGHT WED...ALONG WITH ANOTHER ROUND OF
MODERATE PRECIPITATION.  RAIN RELIEF AND COOLER TEMPS FOLLOW FINAL
COLD FROPA.

WED NIGHT/THURS LOOKING DRY.  RIDGING ENCROACHES TEMPORARILY OVER
OUR AREA...AS WEVE SEEN QUITE A BIT THIS WINTER IN THE WAKE OF
SIGNIFICANT SYSTEMS.

EXTENDED: WITH THE UNCERTAINTY THE EXTENDED BRINGS...NOT PLANNING ON
CHANGING MUCH.  IF MRF PLAN PANS OUT WE HAVE A BETTER CHANCE OF
CAA/NW FLOW SHSN...BUT IF THINGS ARE DELAYED AND THE ECMWF HAS ITS
WAY...LINGERING PRECIP HAS BETTER CHANCE OF BEING LIGHT SHRA AS COOL
DOWN HOLDS OFF ABOUT 24 HRS.  STILL WORDING THE SHRA/SHSN FOR FRI.
START TO SEE MODERATION LATE SUN AS COOL CANADIAN HIGH MOVES EAST TO
THE ATLANTIC.  GOING ABOVE MOS/KEEPING WITH CURRENT FORECAST THURS
NIGHT AND FRI.

IFPS/GFE: POPULATED DAY 7 FROM MRF.  STILL WORKING ON IT...BUT
WANTED TO GET AFD OUT.

JKLWRKOZF OUT BEFORE LONG.  THANKS TO SDF AND BNA FOR COORDINATION.
ADDITIONAL COORDINATION WELCOME.

.JKL...FFA FOR THE SOUTHERN 1/2 OR SO OF THE CWA TODAY AND TONIGHT.

OUDEMAN

Flash Flood Warnings in Kentucky, 2002Every flash flood warning in 2002

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.