Severe Thunderstorm Warning 333, NWS Jackson, MS

Issued

Jul 21, 2002, 2:21 PM CDT (19:21 UTC)

Expired

Jul 21, 2002, 3:05 PM CDT

In force

44 min

Issued by

NWS Jackson, MS

Area

Counties, with a storm outline in the text

Counties Covington County, MS, Forrest County, MS, Jones County, MS, Lamar County, MS

NCEI Storm Data entries that began inside the alert's area while it was in force. Before 2003 the local storm report archive is thin, so this is the record of what happened rather than what was phoned in.

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

844 
WUUS54 KJAN 211921
SVRJAN
MSC031-035-067-073-212005-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
219 PM CDT SUN JUL 21 2002

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  WESTERN JONES COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI
  COVINGTON COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI
  NORTHERN LAMAR COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI
  NORTHERN FORREST COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI

* UNTIL 305 PM CDT

* AT 219 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED   
  A CLUSTER OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...ALONG HIGHWAY 49 BETWEEN       
  COLLINS AND HATTIESBURG...AND ALONG THE JONES AND COVINGTON COUNTY 
  LINE. THE STORMS ARE MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL...
  BE NEAR HATTIESBURG AT 240 PM CDT

DAMAGING WINDS...HEAVY RAIN AND HAIL ARE LIKELY. SEEK SHELTER IN A 
STURDY BUILDING AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

LAT...LON 3179 8940 3160 8952 3136 8963 3127 8944
          3126 8915 3143 8913

NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 21, 4:17 AM CDT, 10 hours 4 minutes earlier.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
300 AM CDT SUN JUL 21 2002...CORRECTED PRELIM NUMBERS

MAIN FORECAST PROBLEM WILL BE DISTRIBUTION OF CONVECTION NEXT FEW
DAYS. PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES REMAIN WELL ABOVE 1.5 INCHES OVER
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS SO PROBLEM WILL BE DETERMINING LOCATIONS OF
FORCING. AFTERNOON HEATING WILL PRODUCE AT LEAST ISOLATED COVERAGE
EVERYWHERE BUT BEST CHANCE FOR TODAY LOOKS AGAIN TO BE NRN AREA OF
FORECAST AREA. HIGHEST CAPE AND 850 MB THETAE VALUES FORECAST NRN
ZONES BY EARLY AFTERNOON. MODELS ALSO SHOW JET MAX DRAPED ACROSS TN
INTO NRN MS THAT SHOULD PROVIDE SMALL AMOUNT OF UPPER DIVERGENCE.
UPPER TROUGH REMAINS EAST OF MS BUT WRN EDGE POKES INTO ERN MS AND
WAVES IN UPPER FLOW MAY PROVIDE SMALL AMOUNT OF FORCING FOR ISOLATED
TO SCATTERED CONVECTION THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. WEAK SHEAR ZONE
NOTED ON SATELLITE PIX ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL MS PUSHING SLOWLY SWD.
THIS WILL AID DEVELOPMENT FOR CENTRAL AREA THIS AFTERNOON. STRONGER
CONVECTION NR MS COAST EXPECTED TO LEAVE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY THAT WILL
MAINTAIN CHC OF AFTERNOON CONVECTION INTO SE SXN OF FORECAST AREA.
WITH ALL THESE POSSIBILITIES WILL GO WITH CHC POPS ALL OF AREA
WITH LEAST CHC FOR SW AREAS TODAY.

JET MAX WASHING OUT OVER TN MON AFTERNOON. AIR MASS REMAINS UNSTABLE
WITH BEST CAPES AGAIN NRN ZONES EARLY IN AFTERNOON...INCREASING OVER
CENTRAL AND SRN ZONES BY 00Z TUE...BUT NOT MUCH SEEN IN WAY OF
FORCING.

AVN SLOWER ON SWD PROGRESSION OF NEXT SIGNIFICANT COLD FRONT...
DROPPING IT INTO TN/AR TUE MORNING AS DOES THE ETA. AVN MOVES THE
BOUNDARY INTO SRN AREAS WED...WHERE IT STALLS NEAR THE COAST THROUGH
FRI MORNING BEFORE WASHING OUT. WILL GO WITH CURRENT EXTENDED AT
THIS TIME KEEPING CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH LATE THIS WEEK.

PRELIM NUMBERS:
JAN 94/74/94/74 4232
MEI 95/72/95/72 4232

.JAN...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
MS...NONE.

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Mississippi, 2002Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2002

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; verification from NCEI's Storm Data; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.