Severe Thunderstorm Warning 116, NWS Wilmington, OH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
249 PM EDT THU JUN 27 2002

SVR TSTM WATCH 480 HAS BEEN ISSUED AS SVR LINE OF TSTMS NOW EXTNDG
JUST AHEAD OF COLD FRONT ACRS N CNTRL OH AND CNTRL INDIANA.  SVRL
REPORTS OF DMNG WINDS WITH THIS LINE ALREADY.  SVR AND HVY RAIN
THREAT WILL CONTINUE INTO THIS EVENING AS FRONT PUSHES SOUTH ACRS
SOUTHERN HALF OF OH AND INDIANA.

ETA AND AVN BOTH IN GENERAL AGREEMENT IN DROPPING FRONT ACRS THE CWA
THIS EVENING...MOVING SOUTH OF THE OHIO RIVER BY EARLY FRI MRNG.
WITH FRONT JUST NW OF CWA AND BASED ON CURRENT RADAR AND SAT
TRENDS...WILL REMOVE POPS FROM W CNTRL OH FOR TONIGHT.  WL GO CHC
POPS EARLY IN DAYTON...LKLY THIS EVNG IN CMH AND CVG GROUPS...AND
CAT POPS ACRS PMH GROUP.  BOTH FWC AND MAV CLOSE ON LOWS TONIGHT AND
WILL NOT STRAY.

FOR FRIDAY...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE OHIO VALLEY WITH
PLEASANT WEATHER AND NOTICEABLY DRIER AIR.  FWC AND MAV AGAIN FAIRLY
CLOSE ON MID 80S WHICH LOOKS GOOD.  WITH THE HIGH OVER THE REGION
FRI NIGHT...SKIES SHOULD BECOME MO CLR WITH ANOTHER PLEASANT NIGHT
IN THE MID 60S.  AS HIGH MOVES EAST ON SAT...LARGE UPR LVL RIDGE
ACROSS CENTRAL TWO-THIRDS OF CONUS WILL SPREAD INTO OHIO VALLEY.
WITH LIGHT SE FLOW AND PLENTY OF SUNSHINE...FEEL TEMPS WILL WARM
INTO THE UPPER 80S.  WENT CLOSER TO MAV NUMBERS AS FWC TRYING TO
BRING LO 90S INTO CWA WHICH SEEMS A TAD HIGH.

FOR EXTENDED...NOT MANY CHANGES MADE AS OMEGA BLOCKING PATTERN
DEVLPS WITH UPR LVL RIDGE STRENGTHENING ACRS MUCH OF CONUS FOR
NEXT WEEK.  PROGRESSIVELY HOTTER AND MORE HUMID AIR WILL INVADE THE
OHIO VALLEY THROUGH THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD...WITH HOTTEST
WEATHER OF SEASON SO FAR EXPECTED FOR WED AND THU.  AVN TRYING TO
DEVLP A SFC TROF ACRS SE US EXTNDG UP INTO REGION FOR TUES...WITH
SFC LOW DVLPG ACRS SE US ON WED.  AGREE WITH HPC THAT THIS MAY BE
OVERDONE ON THE AVN AND HAVE LEFT OUT OF THE FORECAST.  HAVE SILENT
20 POPS MON THROUGH THURS WITH MOIST HUMID SOUTHERLY FLOW...BUT
THINK ANY TSTMS THAT DEVLP WL BE ISOLD AT BEST AS OHIO VALLEY
REMAINS UNDER CORE OF UPR RIDGE.

.ILN...NONE.

RYAN

INZ050-058-059-066-073>075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ026-034-035-042>046-
051>056-060>065-070>074-077>082-088-272100-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
1104 AM EDT THU JUN 27 2002

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY TODAY. WITH AN
UNSTABLE AIRMASS IN PLACE ACROSS THE AREA...OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.  THE STORM
PREDICTION CENTER HAS PLACED MUCH OF THE REGION IN A SLIGHT RISK FOR
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TODAY.

THE POSSIBILITY EXISTS THAT A FEW OF THE THUNDERSTORMS MAY BECOME
SEVERE...WITH THE MAIN THREAT BEING DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL.

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED LATER THIS AFTERNOON. STAY TUNED
TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER MEDIA OUTLETS FOR FURTHER UPDATES.

OHZ043>046-051-052-272115-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
408 PM EDT THU JUN 27 2002

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 480 HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES...IN WEST CENTRAL AND CENTRAL OHIO...CHAMPAIGN...
DELAWARE...LOGAN...MIAMI...SHELBY AND UNION.

AT 4 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS
EXTENDED ALONG INTERSTATE 70 FROM DAYTON TO COLUMBUS...AND WAS
MOVING AWAY FROM WEST CENTRAL OHIO.  A FEW SHOWERS MAY STILL DEVELOP
INTO EARLY EVENING ACROSS THESE COUNTIES...BUT THE SEVERE THREAT
HAS ENDED.

RYAN