Special Marine Warning 21, NWS Wilmington, NC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...REMOVE HEAT ADVISORY FROM HAZARDS LINE.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
710 PM EDT FRI JUL 5 2002

UPDATE TO REMOVE HEAT ADVISORY.

HEAT ADVISORY FOR THIS EVENING HAS EXPIRED. HEAT INDEX VALUES ARE
BELOW 100 EXCEPT FOR WESTERN PORTIONS OF CWA. WILL UPDATE ZONES TO
REMOVE THE WORDING.  OTHER ISSUES FOR LATER THIS EVENING WILL BE FOR
CONVECTION DROPPING SOUTHWARD AHEAD OF THE FRONT. SEA BREEZE
BOUNDARY AND LI -6 TO -8 COULD PROVE TO BE A FOCUS MECHANISM FOR
LATER THIS EVENING. WINDS ARE VERY WEAK SO EXPECT WET MICROBURST AND
LARGE HAIL TO BE PROBLEM OF THE EVENING.

HAWKINS

................PREVIOUS DISCUSSION..............................
COLD FRONT EXPECTED TO SAG SOUTH INTO THE AREA DURING THE MORNING
HOURS ON SATURDAY. GOOD INSTABILITY AND ADEQUATE LIFT FROM PIEDMONT
TROUGH AND APPROACHING COLD FRONT TO KEEP CHANCE POPS IN THE
FORECAST OVERNIGHT AND INTO AT LEAST THE FIRST PART OF SATURDAY.

STILL A POSSIBILITY THAT SOME STORMS COULD CONTAIN WIND AND HAIL IN
ADDITION TO HEAVY RAIN AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING TONIGHT.

MODELS CONTINUE TO DRY THINGS OUT AND WITH RIDGE BUILDING IN FROM
THE NORTH AND FRONT DISSIPATING TO OUR SOUTH ON SUNDAY. LOOKS LIKE
HUMIDITY LEVELS AND TEMPERATURES WILL BE SEASONABLY LOW.

UPPER RIDGE TO WEST AND BERMUDA RIDGE MERGE...KEEPING SOUTHEAST
UNDER GOOD SUBSIDENCE INTO TUESDAY. PULLED POPS FOR TUESDAY AND
PULLED BACK POPS LATE IN EXTENDED AS TROUGH IN EAST NOT DIGGING AS
FAR SOUTH AS EARLIER INDICATIONS. THEREFORE WENT WITH ISOLATED
COVERAGE. STAYED ABOVE GUIDANCE IN LATER PERIODS...BUT LATER
FORECASTS MAY NEED TO NUDGE TEMPERATURE UP EVEN FURTHER WITH BERMUDA
HIGH MAIN INFLUENCE ACROSS THE AREA.

MARINE: LOW PRES OFFSHORE IS INTENSIFYING AS IT MOVES NE AND HAS THE
WIND FIELD CYCLONICALLY CURVED ACROSS EASTERN NC. FPSN7 HAS SOMEHOW
MAINTAINED A SW DIRECTION THROUGH ALL THIS. THROW THE SEABREEZE
CIRCULATION INTO THE MIX...AND VARIABLE IS ABOUT THE BEST
DESCRIPTION FOR DIRECTION THIS AFTN. WINDS SHOULD BECOME NE TONIGHT
FROM N->S AS A COLD FRONT DROPS INTO THE AREA. FRONT SHOULD BE NEAR
THE SANTEE RIVER BY 12Z SAT. SPEEDS WILL REMAIN RATHER LIGHT AND
WELL BELOW ANY HEADLINE CRITERIA THROUGH THE PERIOD. FIRST HALF OF
NEXT WEEK WILL FEATURE A SLOW VEERING OF THE WINDS TO THE SW BY WED.

FCSTID = 27

ILM  73 88 69 88 /  30 20 10 10
LBT  71 89 66 88 /  30 20 10 10
FLO  72 90 68 89 /  30 20 10 10
MYR  74 88 70 88 /  30 20 10 10

.ILM...
NC...NONE.
SC...NONE.

HAWKINS - UPDATE
DIGIORGI/TRA -AFTERNOON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON, NC
456 PM EDT FRI JUL 5 2002

TIME(EDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0205 PM    CLIO                      SC   1.50 INCH HAIL
07/04/02   MARLBORO                       SHERRIFF REPORTED WALNUT
                                          SIZE HAIL WITH SEVERAL
                                          OLDER TREES DOWN ON
                                          THURSDAY.

DL