Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2002

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 89, NWS Houston/Galveston, TX

August 19, 2002Polk County, Texas

NWS Houston/Galveston, TX issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Aug 19, 2002, 5:31 PM CDT for Polk County, Texas. It was in force for 4 days. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 19, 2002, 5:31 PM CDT (22:31 UTC)
Expired
Aug 23, 2002, 5:00 PM CDT
In force
4 days
Issued by
NWS Houston/Galveston, TX
Area
Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Polk County, TX

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Lake Charles Mun, LA (KLCH), launched 12:00Z, 10.5 hours before the alert went out and 240 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lake Charles Mun, LA at 12:00Z on 2002-08-19Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1856 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Lake Charles Mun, LA at 12:00Z on 2002-08-19The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -50 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1856 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-24 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
867 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
4 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-50 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-12 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

231 
WUUS54 KHGX 192231
SVRHOU
TXC373-192315-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
531 PM CDT MON AUG 19 2002

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LEAGUE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  POLK COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS

* UNTIL 615 PM CDT

* AT 527 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 3   
  MILES SOUTHEAST OF MOSCOW...BETWEEN MOSCOW AND SEVEN OAKS...MOVING 
  NORTHWEST AT 10 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM INCLUDE...
  MOSCOW
  CORRIGAN

STRONG WINDS MAY KNOCK DOWN TREES AND POWER LINES OR DAMAGE
BUILDINGS. TAKE COVER NOW

PLEASE REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE COUNTY SHERIFF...LOCAL POLICE...
OR DEPARTMENT OF PUBLIC SAFETY. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 3109 9488 3090 9465 3077 9477 3093 9508

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Houston/Galveston, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Aug 19, 2:40 PM CDT, 2 hours 51 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 19, 2:40 PM CDT, 2 hours 51 minutes before
SOUTHEAST TEXAS FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
240 PM CDT MON AUG 19 2002

LITTLE CHANGE IN AIRMASS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE DOMINATES SE TX WEATHER WHILE SEABREEZE AND
DAYTIME HEATING TRIGGER DIURNAL CONVECTION. MAIN FCST CONCERNS NEXT
FEW DAYS ARE POPS AND PRECIP COVERAGE. MODEL FCST SOUNDINGS SHOW PWS
AROUND 1.9 INCHES EASTERN AREAS...1.6 TO 1.7 INCHES NORTH AND WEST
FOR TUE/WED. RIDGE REMAINS IN TACT THROUGH MIDWEEK WITH SEABREEZE
ACTING AS ONLY FOCUS FOR CONVECTION SO WILL KEEP JUST SLIGHT CHANCE
POPS IN FCST TUE/WED. BY THURSDAY...WEAKNESS IN SUBTROPICAL RIDGE
BEGINS TO DEVELOP ACROSS SE TX SO WILL KEEP WITH GOING FCST OF
CHANCE POPS STARTING THURSDAY. TEMPS WILL SLOWLY WARM NEXT FEW DAYS
AS GROUND DRIES OUT FROM LAST WEEKS RAINS. WILL WORD HIGHS IN UPPER
90S FOR NRN ZONES LATE IN THE WEEK.

LATEST AVN/GFS CONTINUES TO SHOW UPPER TROF DIGGING ACROSS GREAT
LAKES AREA THIS WEEKEND WITH WEAK TROF OR SHEAR AXIS SETTING UP OVER
OR JUST WEST OF SE TX STARTING SUNDAY. GENERAL PATTERN IS SUPPORTED
BY LATEST UKMET/CANADIAN RUNS AS WELL. EXPECT FRONT TO STALL WELL
NORTH OF CWA OVER THE WEEKEND. HOWEVER...WITH SHEAR AXIS DEVELOPING
AND INCREASING MOISTURE...CONVECTIVE COVERAGE WILL INCREASE STARTING
SUNDAY. LOOKS LIKE PATTERN WILL STICK AROUND MOST OF NEXT WEEK. WITH
INCREASED CLOUDS AND PRECIP...WILL SEE SLIGHTLY LOWER MAX TEMPS BY
MON/TUE OF NEXT WEEK.

35/42

.HGX...NONE.

PRELIMS...
CLL BB 075/096 074/097 074 -1-
IAH BB 076/094 075/095 075 121
GLS BB 082/090 081/090 081 222

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Texas, 2002Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2002

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.