Alert archive / Texas / Flash Flood Warnings in 2002

Flash Flood Warning 6, NWS Houston/Galveston, TX

July 14, 2002Brazos County, Texas

NWS Houston/Galveston, TX issued this flash flood warning at Jul 14, 2002, 9:45 AM CDT for Brazos County, Texas. It was in force for 3 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 14, 2002, 9:45 AM CDT (14:45 UTC)
Expired
Jul 14, 2002, 12:30 PM CDT
In force
3 hr
Issued by
NWS Houston/Galveston, TX
Area
Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Brazos County, TX

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this flash flood warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), launched 12:00Z, 2.8 hours before the alert went out and 258 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Fort Worth, TX at 12:00Z on 2002-07-14Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 770 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Fort Worth, TX at 12:00Z on 2002-07-14The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 26 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
770 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-58 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1258 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
12 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
26 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
41 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WGUS54 KHGX 141445
FFWHOU
TXC041-141730-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
944 AM CDT SUN JUL 14 2002

THE HOUSTON/GALVESTON NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  BRAZOS COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS

* UNTIL 1230 PM CDT

* AT 940 AM CDT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP 
ACROSS BRAZOS COUNTY. AN ADDITIONAL 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAINFALL IS 
EXPECTED TO FALL ON AREAS THAT HAVE ALREADY RECEIVED AN ESTIMATED 2 
TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN. SEVERE FLASH FLOODING IS LIKELY

* FLOODING IS EXPECTED IN OR NEAR...
  COLLEGE STATION...BRYAN

AT 935 AM CDT...THE BRAZOS COUNTY SHERIFF OFFICE AND BRAZOS COUNTY 
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT REPORTED SEVERAL ROADWAYS IMPASSABLE AND CREEKS 
OVERFLOWING IN BRAZOS COUNTY. THE BRIDGE ON PEACH CREEK ROAD HAS 
BEEN WASHED OUT. LIT CREEK IS EXPECTED TO GO OVER ITS BANKS AND 
PRODUCE FLOODING. SEVERAL HUNDRED RESIDENTS IN THE SOUTH END OF THE 
COUNTY NEAR PEACH CREEK WILL BE CUT OFF. ADDITIONAL CREEKS BEGINNING 
TO OVERFLOW INCLUDE BURTON CREEK AND COPPERFIELD CREEK IN AND NEAR 
BRYAN. HIGHWAY 21 EAST BETWEEN BRYAN AND MADISONVILLE HAS WATER OVER 
THE ROADWAY.

DO NOT CROSS ANY LOCATION WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD IF 
POSSIBLE...DO NOT VENTURE OUTSIDE FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.

PLEASE REPORT FLOODING TO THE COUNTY SHERIFF...LOCAL POLICE...OR
DEPARTMENT OF PUBLIC SAFETY. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 3085 9618 3062 9619 3043 9613 3040 9625
          3071 9657 3097 9624

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Houston/Galveston, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Jul 14, 2:55 AM CDT, 6 hours 50 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 14, 2:55 AM CDT, 6 hours 50 minutes before
SOUTHEAST TEXAS FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
255 AM CDT SUN JUL 14 2002

ATMOS HAS STABILIZED IN THE WAKE OF THE WIDESPREAD
CONVECTION DURING THE EVENING HOURS OVER SE TX. RECEIVED VERY
IMPRESSIVE RAINFALL RATES IN TROPICAL AIRMASS WHICH LED TO FLASH
FLOODING IN WHARTON COUNTY AND URBAN STREET FLOODING IN HARRIS
COUNTY.

MAIN ISSUE FOR THE UPCOMING PACKAGE IS HEAVY RAIN/FLOODING THREAT.
OVERALL SYNOPTIC SITUATION CHANGES LITTLE TODAY AND TONIGHT AND FOR
THAT REASON WILL FORECAST LIKELY POPS ALL AREAS TODAY. MESOSCALE
BOUNDARIES WILL DICTATE WHO RECEIVES THE MOST RAINFALL TODAY AND
TONIGHT. WILL THEREFORE NOT TRY TO SELECT ANY FAVORED AREAS WHEN PW
VALES ARE A LITTLE OVER 2 INCHES AREAWIDE. SHORT WAVE ENERGY WILL
CONTINUE TO ROTATE AROUND THE UPPER LOW AND MOVE ACROSS FA THROUGH
MONDAY. SO ONCE ATMOSPHERE RECOVERS...SHWRS AND TSTMS SHOULD
BEGIN TO DEVELOP OVER THE AREA. BELIEVE SCT SHWRS AND TSTMS WILL
DEVELOP SOMETIME THIS MORNING AND COVERAGE WILL INCREASE DURING THE
AFT/EVE HOURS. BELIEVE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS A GOOD IDEA. HOWEVER...I
HAVE DECIDED TO INCLUDE ALL ZONES DUE TO THE POTENTIAL OF VERY HIGH
HOURLY RAINFALL RATES (4 INCHES/HR) AND THE POSSIBILITY OF
BACKBUILDING AND TRAINING AGAIN IN DIFFLUENT UPPER LEVEL FLOW.

TUE-FRI PERIOD OF THE FORECAST DOES NOT LOOK MUCH
DIFFERENT...ALTHOUGH I QUESTION HOW FAST TROPICAL MOISTURE WILL
ACTUALLY SHIFT NW OF REGION AS AVN IS ADVERTISING AND HAVE RAISED
TUES POPS ESPECIALLY FOR WESTERN ZONES. TEMPS ARE EXPECTED TO WARM
BACK INTO THE MID 90S ON WED.

THANKS LCH FOR COORD.

33/41

.HGX...FFA ALL ZONES THROUGH SUN NIGHT.

PRELIMS...
CLL TT 090/073 090/073 092 766
IAH TT 089/073 090/073 092 766
GLS TT 087/078 087/078 088 766

The office that day

Everything else NWS Houston/Galveston, TX issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 13, 7:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXBurleson, Washington39 min
Jul 13, 7:36 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXAustin, Washington21 days
Jul 13, 7:58 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningHGXWharton3 hr
Jul 13, 11:03 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningHGXWharton4 hr
Jul 14, 11:35 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningHGXGrimes55 min
Jul 14, 12:29 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningHGXBrazos, Grimes2 hr

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Texas, 2002Every flash flood warning in 2002

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.