Flash Flood Warning 17, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

000 
WGUS72 KGSP 151326
FFSGSP
SCC045-151515-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
924 AM EDT TUE OCT 15 2002

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 1115 AM EDT FOR GREENVILLE
COUNTY...

AT 915 AM EDT...WEATHER SERVICE RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE MODERATE 
TO HEAVY RAIN FALLING ACROSS MUCH OF GREENVILLE COUNTY. RAINFALL WAS 
HEAVIEST ALONG AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 85. IN THIS AREA...RAIN WILL 
CONTINUE TO FALL AT THE RATE OF AROUND A HALF INCH AN HOUR...WITH 
SOME LOCATIONS SEEING HIGHER AMOUNTS.

AS OF 915 AM EDT...THE REEDY RIVER IN GREENVILLE HAD RISEN TO 
7.7 FEET. FLOOD STAGE IS 8 FEET. WHILE NO STREAM FLOODING HAS YET 
BEEN REPORTED...URBAN FLOODING HAS OCCURRED AT THE JUNCTION OF 
INTERSTATE 85 AND AUGUSTA ROAD...AS WELL AS ALONG SOME OF THE ROADS 
AROUND BEREA HIGH SCHOOL. STREAMS ARE REPORTED TO BE RUNNING 
HIGH...AND SOME FLOODING STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD SOON BEGIN TO 
DEVELOP

DURING HEAVY RAIN EVENTS...SEVERE URBAN FLOODING CAN OCCUR IN AREAS 
SUCH AS UNDERPASSES...AND LOW AREAS WHERE WATER TENDS TO COLLECT. 
CHILDREN SHOULD BE KEPT AWAY FROM SMALL STREAMS AND STORM DRAINS.

$$
MCAVOY

000 
WGUS72 KGSP 151435
FFSGSP
SCC045-151515-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1031 AM EDT TUE OCT 15 2002

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 1115 AM EDT FOR GREENVILLE
COUNTY...

MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN CONTINUES TO FALL OVER MOST OF GREENVILLE 
COUNTY...PARTICULARLY AREAS ALONG AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 85. AT 
1020 AM EDT...THE REEDY RIVER IN GREENVILLE WAS AT 8.13 FEET AND 
RISING. THIS IS JUST ABOVE THE FLOOD STAGE OF 8 FEET. AT THIS 
LEVEL...MINOR FLOODING OF CLEVELAND PARK WILL OCCUR.

NO OTHER REPORTS OF STREAM FLOODING HAVE BEEN RECEIVED. 
HOWEVER...COUNTY AND CITY POLICE REPORT THAT STREAMS ARE GETTING 
HIGHER. AS MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE 
COUNTY...ADDITIONAL STREAM FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP.

IF THE REEDY STAYS ABOVE FLOOD STAGE...THEN THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING 
FOR GREENVILLE COUNTY WILL NEED TO BE EXTENDED INTO THE EARLY 
AFTERNOON. 

$$
MCAVOY

000 
WGUS72 KGSP 151522
FFSGSP
SCC045-151615-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1120 AM EDT TUE OCT 15 2002

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING WHICH WAS IN EFFECT FOR GREENVILLE COUNTY
HAS EXPIRED AS OF 1115 AM EDT...

AT 1115 AM EDT...RADAR INDICATED THAT HEAVY RAIN HAD ENDED OVER THE 
WARNED AREA. LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN WILL CONTINUE OVER GREENVILLE 
COUNTY MUCH OF THE AFTERNOON...BUT CURRENT RAINFALL RATES ARE NOT 
HIGH ENOUGH TO CAUSE ANY ADDITIONAL FLOODING. THE REEDY RIVER IN 
GREENVILLE WAS BEGINNING TO SLOWLY RECEDED. THE LEVEL AT 1110 AM EDT 
WAS 8.12 FEET. THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO SOON FALL BACK BELOW THE 
FLOOD STAGE OF 8 FEET.

LATER IN THE AFTERNOON...HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED TO REDEVELOP OVER 
THE AREA. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GREENVILLE 
COUNTY THROUGH TONIGHT.

$$
MCAVOY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
353 AM EDT TUE OCT 15 2002

HEAVY RNFL EVENT STILL ON TRACK TO UNFOLD ACRS THE CWFA THRU
TONIGHT WITH THE PREFERRED MORE OPEN/PROGRESSIVE GFS/CANADIAN/
UKMET HANDLING OF SOUTHERN STREAM WAVE. THE COMBINATION OF STG
EASTERLY UPGLIDE FLOW ABOVE DAMMED SFC BASED STABLE LAYER...
ALONG WITH STG UVVS ASSOCIATED WITH UPPER WAVE...AND DIFFLUENT
FLOW ALOFT SHOULD LEAD TO HIGHEST QPF AXIS ALONG THE NC ESCARPMENT.

NOT CLEAR CUT WHETHER A BONAFINED EXCESSIVE RAIN THREAT HAS DEVELOPED
OR NOT...GIVEN SPEED OF SYSTEM...STILL DRY ANTECEDENT CONDS AND NOT
A GUARANTEE OF CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS FORMING IN STRATIFORM RAIN EVENT.
HOWEVER...FEEL THREAT IS HIGH ENOUGH TO ISSUE FFA ADJACENT TO RAHS
FFA OFF TO OUR EAST. THIS ENCOMPASSES AFOREMENTIONED HEAVIEST RNFL
AXIS AND EXTENDS FAR ENOUGH SOUTH TO COVER MAINLY URBAN FLOOD THREAT
ALONG I-85 CORRIDOR FROM GSP NORTHEASTWARD.

FOR DAY 2...DEEPER RH AND UVVS SHOULD HAVE TRANSLATED NE OF THE
CWFA BY THE START OF THE PERIOD WITH SHALLOW WRAP AROUND MOISTURE...
SOME CAA AND WINDY CONDITIONS LINGERING...ESPECIALLY ACRS THE MTNS.
DRYING ON TAP FOR WED NITE AS NW FLOW WEAKENS...BACKS AND TEMP
ADVECTION BECOMES NEUTRAL.

IN THE EXTENDED...EXECUTED JUST SOME TWEAKS TO GRIDDED FIELDS TO
BRING A FEW OF THEM IN LINE WITH CLUSTER OFFICES. STILL LOOKING
LIKE REINFORCING SHOT OF COLD AIR ON FRIDAY WITH UPPER WAVE
BRUSHING BY TO OUR NORTH AND SOME RETURN FLOW MOISTURE ON SUNDAY.

FCSTID =  55
GSP   53  50  65  46 / 100 100  20   0
AND   53  51  66  46 / 100  90  10   0
CLT   53  50  66  47 / 100 100  20   0
HKY   51  48  64  45 / 100 100  20   0
AVL   51  48  57  43 / 100 100  20   0

.GSP...
GA...NONE.
NC...FLOOD WATCH FOR THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT NCZ033>037...
NCZ048>050...NCZ052>057...NCZ064>072...NCZ082.
SC...FLOOD WATCH FOR THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT SCZ003...SCZ006>009.

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033>037-048>059-062>072-082-SCZ001>014-
019-151215-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
611 AM EDT TUE OCT 15 2002

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...
UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA...AND EXTREME NORTHEAST GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...

WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO TONIGHT WITH THE
THREAT OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL ACROSS MUCH OF WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA
AND ADJACENT AREAS OF THE SOUTH CAROLINA UPSTATE. FOR FURTHER
DETAILS...PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST FLOOD WATCH...FFAGSP...AND
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...SPSGSP...ISSUED BY THIS OFFICE.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

WINDY CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS HIGHER ELEVATIONS ARE LIKELY
ON WEDNESDAY. FOR FURTHER DETAILS...PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...SPSGSP...ISSUED BY THIS OFFICE.

SOME FROST WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF THE NORTH CAROLINA
MOUNTAINS EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.

55

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033>037-048>059-062>072-082-SCZ001>014-
019-151545-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
440 AM EDT TUE OCT 15 2002

...HEAVY RAIN EXPECTED ACROSS THE WESTERN CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST
GEORGIA...

THE COMBINATION OF STRONG EASTERLY FLOW AND LIFT ASSOCIATED
WITH LOW PRESSURE MOVING UP FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO WILL PRODUCE
WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE REGION TODAY BEFORE TAPERING
OFF FROM SOUTH TO NORTH LATER TONIGHT.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS THROUGH TONIGHT ARE EXPECTED TO AVERAGE FROM 2 TO 3
INCHES WITH LOCAL 4 TO 5 INCHES POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE
NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS. EXCESSIVE RAIN IS POSSIBLE
ACROSS MUCH OF WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND ADJACENT AREAS OF THE
SOUTH CAROLINA UPSTATE WHERE A FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN POSTED.

IN THE WAKE OF THIS SYSTEM...BEGINNING DURING THE PRE-DAWN
HOURS WEDNESDAY...STIFF NORTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED REGION
WIDE. STRONG WIND GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ACROSS HIGHER
ELEVATIONS THROUGH ABOUT MIDDAY WEDNESDAY. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT
A FEW TREES...EITHER WEAKENED BY DROUGHT OR DUE TO WET GROUND
MAY BE TOPPLED BY THE WIND.

LISTEN TO WEATHER RADIO...OR TO THE MEDIA...FOR LATER STATEMENTS
CONCERNING THIS DEVELOPING WEATHER SITUATION.

55