Flash Flood Warning 22, NWS Grand Junction, CO

Issued

Aug 5, 2002, 2:43 PM MDT (20:43 UTC)

Expired

Aug 5, 2002, 4:45 PM MDT

In force

2 hr

Issued by

NWS Grand Junction, CO

Area

Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Garfield County, CO

The Grand Junction radar (KGJX), 73 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:43 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this flash flood warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

000 
WGUS55 KGJT 052043
FFWGJT
COC045-052245-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
243 PM MDT MON AUG 5 2002

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND JUNCTION HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  CENTRAL GARFIELD COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL COLORADO

* UNTIL 445 PM MDT

* AT 237 PM MDT...WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED VERY HEAVY
  RAIN OVER RIFLE...OR ABOUT 23 MILES WEST OF GLENWOOD SPRINGS...
  MOVING NORTH AT 10 MPH.

* THE THUNDERSTORM WITH EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL BE NEAR...
  RURAL CENTRAL GARFIELD COUNTY AT 300 PM MDT
  RURAL NORTHERN GARFIELD COUNTY AT 350 PM MDT

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE SILT AND THE GOVERNMENT    
  CREEK AREA.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. VEHICLES CAUGHT IN RISING WATER SHOULD BE ABANDONED QUICKLY.
MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNING AREA MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY
AUTOMOBILE. IF YOUR VEHICLE STALLS, ABANDON IT IMMEDIATELY AND SEEK
HIGHER GROUND.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER HAVE THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY
RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN
GRAND JUNCTION.

LAT...LON 3951 10788 3950 10764 3981 10758 3981 10791

NWS Grand Junction, CO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Aug 5, 2:30 PM MDT, 13 minutes earlier.

WESTERN COLORADO & EASTERN UTAH AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
230 PM MDT MON AUG 5 2002

MONSOONAL PLUME STREAMING OVER THE FORECAST AREA THIS AFTERNOON.
PRECIPITABLE WATER EXCEEDING ONE INCH WITH THE MORNING SOUNDING
RECORDING 1.3 INCHES.  SURFACE DEW POINTS GENERALLY RANGING FROM
THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.  ONCE VALLEY TEMPERATURES REACHED THE
UPPER 70S.. CONVECTIVE CELLS RAPIDLY FORMED.  SUFFICIENT STEERING
FLOW TO KEEP CELLS MOVING ALONG.. BUT FLASH FLOODING COULD BE A
POTENTIAL PROBLEM IF CELLS TRAIN OVER THE SAME AREA.  THIS WILL BE
A POSSIBILITY FOR PARTS OF SOUTHWEST COLORADO TONIGHT.. SO WILL
EXTEND THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL MIDNIGHT.  MAIN CONCERN IS THE
MISSIONARY RIDGE BURN AREA AND SURROUNDING AREAS.

SIMILAR CONDITIONS EXPECTED FOR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.  WITH PACIFIC
NORTHWEST TROUGH KEEPING SOUTHWEST FLOW OVER THE WESTERN U.S.. AND
EASTERLY WAVES MOVING INTO NEW MEXICO.. SUB TROPICAL MOISTURE WILL
CONTINUE TO FUNNEL ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA.  ONE WAVE TO WATCH IS
THE POTENTIAL VORTICITY CENTER.. CURRENTLY OVER THE TEXAS PANHANDLE..
THAT WILL MOVE INTO SOUTHERN COLORADO ON TUESDAY.  THIS COULD
ENHANCE CONVECTION IN THE UPSLOPE AREAS OF THE SAN JUANS.. SO THE
THREAT OF HEAVY SHOWERS WILL PERSIST.  THE ETA MODEL KEEPS PROGGING
THAT AS THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST TROUGH SHIFTS INLAND.. IT WILL SHIFT
THE MONSOONAL PLUME EASTWARD WITH OUR AIR MASS GRADUALLY DRYING
OUT.  DO NOT BELIEVE THIS WILL OCCUR AS THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST TROUGH
WILL WEAKEN AS IT MOVES INTO THE NORTHERN ROCKIES WITH ENERGY
SHEARING NORTHEAST.  FOR THE TIME BEING.. WILL FORECAST PERSISTENCE
FROM TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY.  FRISBIE

EXTENDED (THU-MON)...THE PERIOD WILL BEGIN UNDER A DEEP SOUTHWEST
FLOW. ON THURSDAY, SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY
WITH THE THREAT OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN,ESPECIALLY OVER THE HIGHER
TERRAIN OF WESTERN COLORADO. AFTER THAN, THE SOUTHERLY FLOW ALOFT
WILL BECOME MORE WEST TO NORTHWEST AS HIGH PRESSURE SETS UP TO OUR
SOUTH. THIS WILL CUT OFF THE MOIST FLOW, BRINGING ANOTHER BREAK FROM
THE MONSOON. A WEAK SHORTWAVE LOOKS TO SKIRT THE EXTREME NORTHERN
PART OF THE CWA ON FRIDAY-SATURDAY. AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT,
COMBINED WITH RESIDUAL MOISTURE, SHOULD PROVIDE THE IMPETUS FOR
THUNDERSTORMS, ESPECIALLY LATER IN THE DAY ON FRIDAY. ON SATURDAY AND
SUNDAY, THE HIGH IS FORECAST TO BE CENTERED OVER SOUTHERN
CALIFORNIA...WHICH SHOULD PUT OUR REGION UNDER A DRY NORTHWEST FLOW
FOR THE BEGINNING OF THE WEEK. BA

.GJT...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL MIDNIGHT FOR AREAS IN AND AROUND
     THE MISSIONARY BURN SITE IN LA PLATA COUNTY.

Flash Flood Warnings in Colorado, 2002Every flash flood warning in 2002

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.