Alert archive / Nebraska / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2002

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 91, NWS Hastings, NE

May 27, 2002Buffalo County, Hall County, Howard County, Nebraska

NWS Hastings, NE issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 27, 2002, 10:58 PM CDT for Buffalo County, Hall County, Howard County, Nebraska. It was in force for 62 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 27, 2002, 10:58 PM CDT (03:58 UTC)
Expired
May 28, 2002, 12:00 AM CDT
In force
62 min
Issued by
NWS Hastings, NE
Area
Counties, with a storm outline in the text

Counties Buffalo County, NE, Hall County, NE, Howard County, NE

The radar

The Grand Island radar (KUEX), 84 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 04:02 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
May 27, 7:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC5 hr

The nearest sounding before it

N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE (KLBF), launched 00:00Z, 4.0 hours before the alert went out and 148 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE at 00:00Z on 2002-05-28Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2225 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE at 00:00Z on 2002-05-28The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 36 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2225 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-21 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1732 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
37 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
36 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
169 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.3
Supercell composite
5.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS53 KGID 280358
SVRGRI
NEC019-079-093-280500-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
1056 PM CDT MON MAY 27 2002

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HASTINGS HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  HOWARD COUNTY IN CENTRAL NEBRASKA
  BUFFALO COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA
  HALL COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA

* UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT

* AT 1051 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR
  INDICATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS 6 MILES EAST OF POOLE AND NEAR
  ROCKVILLE OF SHERMAN COUNTY...OR ABOUT 22 MILES NORTHEAST OF
  KEARNEY...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  BOELUS AT 1125 PM CDT
  CAIRO AT 1130 PM CDT
  DANNEBROG AT 1155 PM CDT

PEOPLE IN SOUTHWESTERN HOWARD...NORTHEASTERN BUFFALO AND NORTHERN
HALL COUNTIES SHOULD SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY
FROM WINDOWS.

DAMAGING THUNDERSTORM WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH AND LARGE HAIL THE 
SIZE OF DIMES AND NICKELS IS LIKELY.

LAT...LON 4104 9918 4082 9911 4093 9830 4119 9851
          4104 9880

NNNN
09

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Hastings, NE wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 27, 1:40 PM CDT, 9 hours 18 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 27, 1:40 PM CDT, 9 hours 18 minutes before
SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA/NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
140 PM CDT MON MAY 27 2002

...STORM CHCS TONIGHT MAIN PROBLEM...

RECOVERY ONGOING THIS AFTN IN WAKE OF LAST EVENINGS ACTIVITY.
MESO HIGH WAS STILL EVIDENT IN SFC PLOTS EARLIER THIS AM OVR SE NE.
APPEARS FM SFC WINDS THAT OLD OUTFLW BNDRY EXTENDS ACRS NRN KS.
OLD SYNOPTIC BNDRY STILL APPEARS TO BE PLACE OVR NRN NE AS WELL.
SITU CONTS QUITE DIFFUSE IN TERMS OF LG SCALE TRIGGER BUT WK SW
TROF EMBEDDED WITH SRN EDGE OF NRN STREAM WESTERLIES ALG WY/NE
BORDER SHLD PROVIDE ENOUGH IMPETUS COMBINED WITH FVRBL ERLY UPSLOPE
FLW TO FIRE CONVN AGAIN LT THIS AFTN OVR WRN NE.

ALTHOUGH MODELS QUITE AGREEABLE IN LG SCALE SENSE...FINITE DETAILS
QUITE DIFFERENT. ETA/META/RUC ALL AGREE ON LT AFTN/EARLY EVE
DVLPMNTS ALG OLD OUTFLW ACROSS NRN KS/SRN NE AND OVR WRN NE. PROB
W/KS ACTIVITY IS INHERENTLY WK MID LVL FLW AND HOW THAT ACTIVITY WILL
PROPAGATE. STORMS THAT DO FIRE FURTHER N IN REGION OF BTR MID LVL
FLW AND SHLD PROPAGATE E INTO CENTRAL NE AFT DARK. ALTHOUGH
PROGGED INSTABILITY GREAT...SIG LACK OF DEEP LYR SHEAR WILL STAVE
OFF WIDESPREAD SVR THREAT OVR GID CWA. ON TUE/TUE NIGHT...SRN STREAM
CUTOFF OVR OK LOOKS TO GARNER THE MOST ATTN. LTL UNCERTAINTY HERE
GIVEN OVERALL SYNOPTIC SCALE COLL IN PLACE. BY WED...MORE ENERGETIC
SYS DRIVING THRU FLAT WESTERLIES ALG US/CAN BORDER...WILL REFOCUS OLD
SYNOPTIC FNT ACRS NE ALLOWING FOR ANOTHER AT LEAST SLGT STORM CHC BY
AFTN.

IN THE EXTNDD...FAIRLY BLOCKED PATTN CONTS SO NO BIG CHGS XPCD. SWRN
UPR RIDGE SHIFTS SLIGHTLY EWD IN RESPONSE TO DEEP SYS PIN-WHEELING
THRU BEARING STRAITS. THIS ALLOWS FOR INHERENT SHIFT IN THERMAL RIDGE
OUT INTO THE PLAINS AND WARMING TEMPS INTO LATE WEEK. HWVR...PENDING
HOW RENEWED DOWNSTREAM TROFFING THRU ERN US BY NXT WEEKEND TAKES
PLACE...NXT WEEKEND INTO NXT WEEK COULD END UP QUITE WET AGAIN GIVEN
FVRBL UPR RIDGE POSITION AND CONTD ONSLAUGHT OF NRN STREAM WV TRAIN.

.GID...NONE.

TEH

In the hours before

Special weather statement, May 27, 6:53 PM CDT, 4 hours 5 minutes before
KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087-281200-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
653 PM CDT MON MAY 27 2002

...SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED ACROSS A PORTION OF SOUTH
CENTRAL NEBRASKA THIS EVENING...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT ACROSS A PART OF SOUTH
CENTRAL NEBRASKA...MOST LIKELY WEST OF A FULLERTON...TO GRAND
ISLAND...TO HOLDREGE LINE.

STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN WESTERN NEBRASKA WILL MOVE EAST
THIS EVENING...AND INTO A MORE UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT IN SOUTH CENTRAL
NEBRASKA. THE STORM COMPLEX IS EXPECTED TO ORGANIZE INTO A LINE AND
SHIFT EAST BY LATE EVENING. THE MAIN SEVERE WEATHER THREATS ARE
LARGE HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...AND WINDS GUSTS IN EXCESS OF
60 MPH. THE PRIMARY TIME FRAME OF SEVERE ACTIVITY WILL BE BETWEEN
8 PM AND 2 AM. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN OF 1 TO 2 INCHES IS POSSIBLE.

AS THE STORMS CONTINUE EAST LATE THIS EVENING...THE RISK FOR SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS WILL EXTEND ACROSS THE REST SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA...
MAINLY NORTH OF HIGHWAY 6. SPOTTER GROUPS AND EMERGENCY MANAGERS
SHOULD MONITOR THIS SITUATION CLOSELY...AND BE PREPARED TO ACTIVATE
AS NECESSARY.

MORITZ

The office that day

Everything else NWS Hastings, NE issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 27, 10:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDValley55 min
May 27, 10:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDSherman62 min
May 27, 11:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDGreeley48 min
May 27, 11:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDYork54 min
May 27, 11:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDClay63 min
May 28, 12:21 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDFillmore54 min
May 28, 12:22 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDAdams53 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Nebraska, 2002Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2002

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.