Alert archive / Kansas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2002
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 251, NWS Hastings, NE
NWS Hastings, NE issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Oct 6, 2002, 1:25 AM CDT for Mitchell County, Kansas. It was in force for 50 min. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 6, 2002, 1:25 AM CDT (06:25 UTC)
- Expired
- Oct 6, 2002, 2:15 AM CDT
- In force
- 50 min
- Issued by
- NWS Hastings, NE
- Area
- Counties, with a storm outline in the text
County Mitchell County, KS
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 1:35 AM CDT | Hail 1.25 | Beloit, KS |
NCEI Storm Data entries that began inside the alert's area while it was in force. Before 2003 the local storm report archive is thin, so this is the record of what happened rather than what was phoned in.
Did it verify
Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The nearest sounding before it
Topeka, KS (KTOP), launched 00:00Z, 6.4 hours before the alert went out and 229 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 2274 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 66 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 171 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 345 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
154 WUUS53 KGID 060625 SVRGRI KSC123-060715- BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE 125 AM CDT SUN OCT 6 2002 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HASTINGS HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... MITCHELL COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS * UNTIL 215 AM CDT * AT 123 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 5 MILES SOUTH OF GLEN ELDER...OR ABOUT 36 MILES WEST OF CONCORDIA...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH. * THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR... BELOIT AT 135 AM CDT ASHERVILLE AT 140 AM CDT SIMPSON AT 145 AM CDT PEOPLE IN MITCHELL COUNTY SHOULD SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS. THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER THREAT IS LARGE HAIL THE SIZE OF DIMES. LAT...LON 3952 9847 3925 9845 3925 9794 3954 9790 NNNN
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Hastings, NE wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Oct 5, 3:35 PM CDT, 9 hours 50 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Oct 5, 3:35 PM CDT, 9 hours 50 minutes before
SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA/NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE 335 PM CDT SAT OCT 5 2002 ...MAIN FORECAST ISSUES REVOLVE AROUND SUNDAY MORNING WINDS AND FROST POTENTIAL SUNDAY NIGHT... UPPER AIR DATA SUITE AND WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWING LARGE SCALE TROUGH ACROSS MUCH OF NORTH AMERICA...WITH BROAD UPPER RIDGE LOCKED IN PLACE OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC. NOAM TROUGHING HIGHLIGHTED BY TRAIN OF EMBEDDED SHORTWAVE ENERGY THROUGH THE SOUTHERN CANADIAN PROVINCES/NORTHERN TIER OF STATES...WITH SHEARED TROUGH AXIS STRETCHING FROM THE NORTHERN PLAINS INTO THE SOUTHWEST CONUS. LATEST SUBJECTIVE SURFACE ANALYSIS FEATURING WARM/STATIONARY FRONT STRETCHING FROM CENTRAL MONTANA...NORTHEAST WYOMING...TO ALONG THE SD/NEB BORDER. MAX 18Z PRESSURE FALLS OCCURRING IN CORRIDOR FROM WESTERN SD INTO NORTHWEST NEB...WITH LEE TROUGH SETTING UP THROUGH THE NEBRASKA PANHANDLE. CLIPPER SYSTEM OVER ALBERTA WILL PLUNGE THROUGH MONTANA AND QUICKLY RACE INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS OVERNIGHT...EFFECTIVELY PUSHING COLD FRONT THROUGH THE AREA EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. LIMITED MOISTURE WILL INHIBIT RAIN CHANCES IN SPITE OF PLENTIFUL OVERALL FORCING. MAIN STORY WILL BE WINDY CONDITIONS...WITH NW/N WINDS TO BE INCREASING BY DAYBREAK SUNDAY MORNING AS FRONT EMBARKS UPON THE CWA. ETA AND GFS BOTH DEPICT 40-45KT 850MB JET CORE TO SWEEP FROM NCNTRL NEB INTO EASTERN NEB SUNDAY MORNING. INTENSE POST-FRONTAL ISENTROPIC DOWNWARD MOTION...ESPECIALLY IN THE ETA PORTRAYED 290K-305K SURFACES...WILL HELP REALIZE MUCH OF THESE WINDS AT THE SURFACE. IN ALL...WIND ADVISORY CERTAINLY PRUDENT FOR THE NORTH AND EAST PORTIONS OF THE CWA SUNDAY MORNING...IF NOT THE ENTIRE NEBRASKA CWA. WILL LIKELY ERROR OF THE SIDE OF GREATER NEB CWA COVERAGE GIVEN MASS FIELDS AND LOCAL TENDENCIES. WOULD EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS IN THE NEIGHBORHOOD OF 25 TO 35 MPH...AT LEAST FOR A TIME...WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH POSSIBLE IN THE MORNING. IN GENERAL...PEAK WINDS SHOULD BE RELATIVELY CONFINED TEMPORALLY...AND WILL LIKELY BE ON A DIMINISHING TREND BY THE MID/LATE AFTERNOON HOURS AS SURFACE RIDGE QUICKLY FILTERS IN. GIVEN SURFACE HIGH...ASSOCIATED COOL AIRMASS...AND IDEAL RADIATIONAL COOLING SCENARIO...CERTAINLY POTENTIAL FOR FROST SUNDAY NIGHT. BEST LIKELIHOOD IN AREAS ALONG AND NORTH OF THE PLATTE RIVER. GRADUAL TEMPERATURE MODERATION MONDAY/TUESDAY AS ZONAL W/NW FLOW SETTLES INTO MUCH OF THE LOWER 48. IN THE OUTER PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST...ACTIVE AND RATHER PROGRESSIVE OVERALL UPPER FLOW PATTERN CONTINUES THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK. MEDIUM RANGE MODELS SUGGEST DEVELOPMENT OF UPPER TROUGH INTO THE WESTERN CONUS TOWARD THE LATTER PART OF WEEK. AHEAD OF THE FEATURE... MODERATING W/SW FLOW REGIME TO PROMOTE TEMPS ABOVE/AROUND SEASONAL NORMS WITH PREDOMINATELY DRY CONDITIONS. SEVERAL ENSEMBLE MOS MEMBERS FAVORING HIGH TEMPS IN THE LOW/MID 70S BY THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK CONTRARY TO COOLER OPERATIONAL FMR/MEX NUMERICAL GUIDANCE. IN THE DETAILS...WILL FAVOR SLOWER/MORE AMPLIFIED SOLUTION OF WESTERN CONUS TROUGH PER LATEST EUROPEAN AND MAJORITY OF GFS ENSEMBLE MEMBERS... THEREFORE DRY FORECAST PERSISTS EVEN THROUGH DAY 7 AT THIS TIME. WITH THAT SAID...WILL HAVE TO MONITOR POTENTIAL FOR SNEAK APPROACH OF SOUTHERN STREAM ENERGY AROUND THE TUE/WED TIMEFRAME INTO THE KS CWA PER LATEST GFS. THANKS FOR COORDINATION OAX...LBF AND TOP. .GID...WIND ADVISORY SUNDAY MORNING FOR ALL OF NEBRASKA CWA. GUYER
Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 5, 10:35 AM CDT, 14 hours 50 minutes before
KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087-061200- HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE 1035 AM CDT SAT OCT 5 2002 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND PART OF NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS. .DAY ONE... NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY OR TONIGHT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN... A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL BRING GUSTY WINDS TO THE AREA ON SUNDAY MORNING...ESPECIALLY ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA. NORTHWEST WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH...WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY MORNING BEFORE DIMINISHING SUNDAY AFTERNOON. AS WINDS BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE SUNDAY NIGHT...THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF FROST ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL AND CENTRAL NEBRASKA BY MONDAY MORNING. T
The office that day
Everything else NWS Hastings, NE issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 1:25 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Mitchell | 50 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Kansas, 2002Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2002
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; verification from NCEI's Storm Data; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.