Severe Thunderstorm Warning 191, NWS Fort Worth, TX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
321 PM CDT SAT JUL 13 2002

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THIS EVENING ACROSS MAINLY THE
SOUTHERN HALF OF NORTH TEXAS.  THESE STORMS WILL CONTAIN SOME VERY
HEAVY RAIN AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING.  A FEW OF THESE STORMS WILL
BRIEFLY BECOME SEVERE AND PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.  STORMS WILL
DECREASE IN COVERAGE AFTER SUNSET BUT ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IS
POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT ACROSS...MAINLY ACROSS THE NORTHERN SECTIONS...AS
AN UPPER LEVEL LOW MOVES RAPIDLY SOUTHWARD FROM OKLAHOMA.
MODELS KEEP THE UPPER LOW PARKED NEAR THE RED RIVER THE NEXT FEW
DAYS AND THIS WILL PROVIDED ENOUGH LIFT TO SUPPORT SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF THE AREA.
THE UPPER LOW IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN BY MID WEEK AS UPPER LEVEL
HIGHER PRESSURE STRENGTHENS ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST. SHOULD SEE DRIER
CONDITIONS BY THE END OF THE WEEK WITH LARGE SCALE SUBSIDENCE IN
PLACE.

TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR OR SLIGHTLY BELOW SEASONAL NORMALS THE
NEXT SEVERAL DAYS WITH LOWS IN THE LOWER AND MIDDLE 70S AND HIGHS IN
THE LOWER AND MIDDLE 90S.

FCSTID = 79
DFW   71  92  71  93 /  30  30  20  20
ACT   72  94  71  93 /  50  40  30  30
PRX   70  92  70  92 /  30  40  30  30
DTO   71  92  70  91 /  30  30  20  20
TKI   71  92  70  91 /  30  30  20  20
DAL   71  92  71  93 /  30  30  20  20
TRL   70  92  70  92 /  30  40  30  30
CRS   72  94  72  94 /  40  40  30  30
TPL   72  94  71  93 /  50  40  30  30

.FWD...NONE.

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-140500-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH TEXAS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1217 PM CDT SAT JUL 13 2002

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS ALL OF NORTH TEXAS
THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.  THE STORMS WILL BE MOST NUMEROUS NEAR
AND SOUTH OF A HAMILTON...WACO TO PALESTINE LINE.  THE STRONGER
THUNDERSTORMS WILL PRODUCE HEAVY RAIN..SMALL HAIL...FREQUENT CLOUD
TO GROUND LIGHTNING...AND WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 40 AND 50 MILES AN
HOUR.  AN ISOLATED DOWNBURST WIND GUST UP TO 60 MILES WILL BE
POSSIBLE... HOWEVER...MOST STORMS WILL REMAIN BELOW SEVERE LIMITS.
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THIS AFTERNOON OR TONIGHT.

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-141000-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH TEXAS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
355 PM CDT SAT JUL 13 2002

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS SOUTH OF A LINE FROM
EASTLAND...TO PALESTINE THROUGH THIS EVENING.  A FEW OF THE STRONGER
THUNDERSTORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE BRIEFLY WITH STRONG DAMAGING
WINDS... HAIL UP TO ONE INCH AND LOCALIZED FLOODING AS THE MAIN
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT.  THE THREAT OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL DIMINISH THIS EVENING AROUND SUNSET.

ANOTHER ROUND OF THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO NORTH TEXAS
FROM THE NORTHWEST LATER TONIGHT.  ALTHOUGH THESE THUNDERSTORMS ARE
NOT EXPECTED TO BE SEVERE...THEY COULD PRODUCE HEAVY CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING...AND GUSTY WINDS TO 45 MPH.  THE STORM SHOULD ARRIVE IN
THE NORTHWEST COUNTIES AFTER MIDNIGHT...AND PUSHING INTO THE CENTRAL
AREA...INCLUDING THE METROPLEX BETWEEN 2 AND 5 AM.  THE STORMS
SHOULD BEGIN TO WEAKEN AROUND SUNRISE SUNDAY MORNING.