Severe Thunderstorm Warning 122, NWS Fort Worth, TX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
430 PM CDT WED MAY 8 2002

AN UPDATED ZONE PACKAGE WILL COME OUT SHORTLY. WILL INCREASE POPS
ACROSS MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA...AND INCLUDE MENTION OF
SEVERE WEATHER ACROSS THE WESTERN HALF...AS WELL AS THE NORTH.

.FWD...WIND ADVISORY FOR THIS EVENING FOR ZONES
       TXZ091>095...TXZ100>107...TXZ115>123...TXZ129>135...
       TXZ141>148...TXZ1 56>162...TXZ174>175.

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-082200-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH TEXAS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
105 PM CDT WED MAY 8 2002

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS LATE THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING ACROSS THE WESTERN SECTIONS OF NORTH TEXAS...WEST OF A
LINE FROM LAMPASAS TO DALLAS...TO GAINESVILLE.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON ALONG
AN EASTWARD MOVING DRY LINE.  THESE STORMS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL
TO BECOME SEVERE AS THEY ENTER THE WESTERN SECTIONS OF NORTH
TEXAS.  FORECAST VERTICAL WIND AND TEMPERATURE PROFILES SUGGEST THE
MAIN THREAT WILL BE FROM DOWNBURST WINDS AND LARGE HAIL.  SPOTTER
ACTIVATION MAY BE NECESSARY IN THE SLIGHT RISK AREA BETWEEN 5 PM AND
10 PM.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS EASTERN SECTIONS OF NORTH
TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...BUT SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT
EXPECTED.

A WIND ADVISORY IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF NORTH TEXAS UNTIL 7 PM.
A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL RESULT IN GUSTY SOUTH WINDS BETWEEN
20 AND 30 MPH. THESE WINDS WILL MAKE THE OPEN WATERS OF LAKES ROUGH
AND HAZARDOUS...THEREFORE...BOATERS SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION ON
AREA LAKES.

07

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-091000-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH TEXAS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
413 PM CDT WED MAY 8 2002

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ALONG AND NORTH OF A
LINE FROM CANTON...TO HILLSBORO...AND COPPERAS COVE.

A STRONG DRYLINE WAS SITUATED ACROSS EXTREME WESTERN NORTH TEXAS
LATE THIS AFTERNOON.  SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO FORM
ALONG THE DRYLINE THROUGH THE EVENING. A FEW OF THESE STORMS WILL
BECOME SUPERCELLS...CAPABLE OF PRODUCING BASEBALL SIZE HAIL...AND
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH.  THERE IS A SMALL THREAT OF
TORNADOES WITH THE SUPERCELL STORMS.  THE GREATEST RISK OF A TORNADO
OR TWO WILL BE GENERALLY NORTHWEST OF A SHERMAN...WEATHERFORD
...COMANCHE LINE.

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS NORTH TEXAS THURSDAY MORNING.  A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS COULD FORM ALONG AND IMMEDIATELY BEHIND THE FRONT.
THESE STORMS WILL PRODUCE DANGEROUS LIGHTNING AND BRIEF...HEAVY
RAINFALL.  THEY LIKELY WILL REMAIN BELOW SEVERE LIMITS.

OTHERWISE...SOUTH WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
NIGHT.