Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2002

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 116, NWS Fort Worth, TX

May 5, 2002Eastland County, Texas

NWS Fort Worth, TX issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 5, 2002, 3:04 AM CDT for Eastland County, Texas. It was in force for 56 min. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: May 5, 2002, 3:04 AM CDT (08:04 UTC)
Expired: May 5, 2002, 4:00 AM CDT
In force: 56 min
Issued by: NWS Fort Worth, TX
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Eastland County, TX

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
May 5, 3:34 AM CDT	Hail 1	Eastland, TX

NCEI Storm Data entries that began inside the alert's area while it was in force. Before 2003 the local storm report archive is thin, so this is the record of what happened rather than what was phoned in.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
May 4, 10:45 PM CDT	Tornado Watch	SPC	5 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), launched 00:00Z, 8.1 hours before the alert went out and 157 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL: 2179 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 66 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 62 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 150 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS54 KFWD 050804
SVRFTW
TXC133-050900-

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
306 AM CDT SUN MAY 5 2002

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FORT WORTH HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  EASTLAND COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS

* UNTIL 400 AM CDT

* AT 306 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR DETECTED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM FROM 17 MILES WEST OF CISCO TO 15 MILES WEST OF
  RISING STAR...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  RISING STAR...CISCO AROUND 325 AM CDT
  EASTLAND AROUND 340 AM CDT
  GORMAN AROUND 350 AM CDT
  RANGER AROUND 355 AM CDT

LARGE HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF GOLFBALLS AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS 
OF 60 MPH ARE LIKELY WITH THIS STORM. TAKE COVER IN A SUBSTANTIAL 
SHELTER UNTIL THE STORM PASSES.

A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNING AREA. SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS CAN PRODUCE TORNADOES WITH LITTLE OR NO WARNING.

LAT...LON 3249 9865 3222 9864 3208 9893 3210 9911
          3248 9910

07

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Fort Worth, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 4, 9:45 PM CDT, 5 hours 19 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 4, 9:45 PM CDT, 5 hours 19 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
945 PM CDT SAT MAY 4 2002

REFLECTIVITY DATA FROM KDYX INDICATES ONE CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS
APPROACHING BROWNWOOD...WITH ANOTHER THUNDERSTORM INTENSIFYING OVER
SHACKELFORD COUNTY.  LATEST TRENDS ALSO INDICATE INCREASING
CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY ALONG A SOUTHWEST-TO-NORTHEAST ORIENTED LINE
FROM MARTIN COUNTY TO JONES COUNTY.  DUE TO WEAKNESSES IN MID-LEVEL
FLOW...PER 05/00Z KFWD RAOB...THUNDERSTORMS ARE ONLY SLOWLY MOVING
EASTWARD...AND SHOULD NOT REACH THE DFW METROPLEX UNTIL AFTER 2
AM.  LATEST SHORT TERM GUIDANCE FROM THE RUC40 IS NOT AGGRESSIVE IN
DEVELOPMENT OF QPF OVER NORTH TEXAS.  ANALYSIS OF 05/00Z 850 MB DATA
SHOWS THAT WEAK RIDGING IS STILL LOCATED OVER EAST TEXAS...WITH
STEEPEST HEIGHT GRADIENT AND AXIS OF LOW-LEVEL JET FOCUSED MORE
TOWARD WEST-CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST TEXAS.  THIS IS LIKELY THE REASON
FOR LOW QPF IN MODEL SOLUTIONS.  HOWEVER...BASED ON CURRENT RADAR
TRENDS AND PROXIMITY OF THUNDERSTORMS TO WESTERN COUNTIES...WILL NOT
LOWER POPS OR CHANGE ANY ELEMENTS OF THE CURRENT FIRST PERIOD
FORECAST AT THIS TIME.

65/DD

.FWD...TORNADO WATCH FOR TXZ 100-101-115-116-129-130-141>143-156.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Fort Worth, TX issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 4, 11:18 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	FWD	Lampasas, Mills	57 min
May 5, 12:13 AM CDT	Tornado Warning	FWD	Lampasas	47 min
May 5, 3:01 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FWD	Parker	59 min
May 5, 3:48 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FWD	Comanche	42 min
May 5, 4:00 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FWD	Tarrant	60 min
May 5, 4:54 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FWD	Rains	51 min
May 5, 6:11 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	FWD	Tarrant	3 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Texas, 2002 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2002

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; verification from NCEI's Storm Data; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.