Alert archive / Minnesota / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2002

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 35, NWS Grand Forks, ND

June 6, 2002Wilkin County, Minnesota

NWS Grand Forks, ND issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 6, 2002, 8:05 PM CDT for Wilkin County, Minnesota. It was in force for 25 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 6, 2002, 8:05 PM CDT (01:05 UTC)
Expired
Jun 6, 2002, 8:30 PM CDT
In force
25 min
Issued by
NWS Grand Forks, ND
Area
Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Wilkin County, MN

The radar

The Fargo/Grand Forks radar (KMVX), 143 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:09 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Aberdeen, SD (KABR), launched 00:00Z, 1.1 hours before the alert went out and 222 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Aberdeen, SD at 00:00Z on 2002-06-07Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1234 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Aberdeen, SD at 00:00Z on 2002-06-07The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 15 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1234 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-1 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2888 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
24 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
15 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
78 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
2.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS53 KFGF 070105
SVRFAR
MNC167-070130-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS
804 PM CDT THU JUN 6 2002

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND FORKS HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...

  WILKIN COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA.

* UNTIL 830 PM CDT.

* AT 803 PM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 4 MILES WEST OF EVERDELL...OR ABOUT 5 MILES
  EAST OF WAHPETON...MOVEMENT WAS TO THE EAST AT 30 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...

  EVERDELL AT 810 PM AND
  FOXHOME AT 815 PM.

REMEMBER SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE
TORNADOES WITH LITTLE OR NO ADVANCE WARNING.

LAT...LON 4648 9665 4618 9651 4620 9629 4654 9632


BERG

NNNN

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Grand Forks, ND wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 6, 12:05 PM CDT, 8 hours earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 6, 12:05 PM CDT, 8 hours before
FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA AND NORTHWEST MINNESOTA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS ND
1205 PM CDT THU JUN 6 2002

...MAIN FORECAST CHALLENGE CENTERS ON CONVECTIVE THREAT THIS EVENING
WITH IMPENDING TROUGH AND POP CHANCES LATER IN PERIOD WITH WESTERN
TROUGH...

.CURRENT OBSERVATIONAL OVERVIEW...
17Z MSAS ANALYSIS CONTINUED TO DEPICT LOW PRESSURE OVER SOUTH
CENTRAL SASK PROVINCE WITH ASSOCIATED TROUGH AXIS INTO CENTRAL NORTH
DAKOTA. STRONG PRESSURE FALLS NOTED AHEAD OF TROUGH FROM EASTERN
MANITOBA PROVINCE TO WESTERN MINNESOTA. LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY
INDICATED CLOUDINESS IN CONJUNCTION WITH TROUGH WORKING EAST FROM
CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA WITH NO CONVECTION DEVELOPMENT NOTED AT THIS
TIME AS AREA OF POSITIVE CINS (CAP) OVER REGION INHIBITING
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT.

.FORECAST DETAILS...
MODELS IN GENERAL AGREEMENT IN SHORT TERM TAKING SURFACE TROUGH EAST
INTO MINNESOTA THIS EVENING. EXAMINATION OF FORECAST SOUNDINGS AND
TIME SECTIONS SUGGESTS BEST POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE ACROSS MINNESOTA
ZONES THIS EVENING WHERE BETTER SHEAR PROFILE...INSTABILITY AND
MOISTURE INFLUX WILL BE PRESENT. EXPECT ACTIVITY TO END LATER THIS
EVENING WITH CLEARING SKIES PUNCHING IN FROM WEST TO EAST OVERNIGHT.
QUIET DAY ON TAP FOR FRIDAY AS WEAK RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE REGION.
WEEKEND LOOKING UNSETTLED AS STRONG 500MB WESTERN CONUS TROUGH
EJECTS PIECES OF SHORTWAVE ENERGY NORTHEAST INTO THE NORTHERN
PLAINS. INHERITED ZONES POP COVERAGE FOR WEEKEND LOOKS FEASIBLE WITH
ELEVATED CONVECTIVE THREAT LATE SATURDAY GIVING WAY TO MORE SURFACE
BASED SUPERCELL POTENTIAL ON SUNDAY.

.EXTENDED...
MODELS FAIRLY SIMILAR WITH OVERALL PATTERN...WITH SOME TIMING
DIFFERENCES NOTED. SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL TRANSITION TO A
NORTHWESTERLY THEN WESTERLY FLOW THROUGH PERIOD. THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY ON DAY 4 WILL SHIFT TO A DRIER PATTERN TOWARDS DAY 5/6/7.
IN ADDITION...A COOL DOWN TO BELOW NORMAL TEMPS EXPECTED BY TUE/WED
BEFORE A RETURN TO WARMER WEATHER BY THURSDAY AS RIDGE BUILDS WEST
OF REGION.

.FGF...NONE.

BERG/KELLENBENZ

The office that day

Everything else NWS Grand Forks, ND issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 6, 7:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFBeltrami, Hubbard24 min
Jun 6, 8:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFBeltrami, Hubbard12 min
Jun 6, 8:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFOtter Tail52 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Minnesota, 2002Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2002

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.