Alert archive / Minnesota / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2002

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 32, NWS Grand Forks, ND

June 6, 2002Becker County, Minnesota

NWS Grand Forks, ND issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 6, 2002, 6:56 PM CDT for Becker County, Minnesota. It was in force for 49 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 6, 2002, 6:56 PM CDT (23:56 UTC)
Expired
Jun 6, 2002, 7:45 PM CDT
In force
49 min
Issued by
NWS Grand Forks, ND
Area
Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Becker County, MN

The radar

The Fargo/Grand Forks radar (KMVX), 123 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:58 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

International Fa, MN (KINL), launched 12:00Z, 11.9 hours before the alert went out and 254 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, International Fa, MN at 12:00Z on 2002-06-06Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 17 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, International Fa, MN at 12:00Z on 2002-06-06The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 71 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
17 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-127 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1926 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
23 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
71 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
80 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS53 KFGF 062356
SVRFAR
MNC005-070045-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS
656 PM CDT THU JUN 6 2002

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND FORKS HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...

  NORTHERN BECKER COUNTY IN NORTHWEST MINNESOTA.

* UNTIL 745 PM CDT.

* AT 652 PM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 11 MILES WEST OF OGEMA...OR ABOUT 23 MILES
  NORTHWEST OF DETROIT LAKES...MOVEMENT WAS TO THE EAST AT 20 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...

  OGEMA AT 715 PM...
  CALLAWAY AT 720 PM AND
  WHITE EARTH AT 725 PM.

REMEMBER SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE
TORNADOES WITH LITTLE OR NO ADVANCE WARNING.

LAT...LON 4714 9616 4694 9617 4693 9531 4713 9546



BERG
NNNN

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Grand Forks, ND wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 6, 12:05 PM CDT, 6 hours 51 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 6, 12:05 PM CDT, 6 hours 51 minutes before
FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA AND NORTHWEST MINNESOTA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS ND
1205 PM CDT THU JUN 6 2002

...MAIN FORECAST CHALLENGE CENTERS ON CONVECTIVE THREAT THIS EVENING
WITH IMPENDING TROUGH AND POP CHANCES LATER IN PERIOD WITH WESTERN
TROUGH...

.CURRENT OBSERVATIONAL OVERVIEW...
17Z MSAS ANALYSIS CONTINUED TO DEPICT LOW PRESSURE OVER SOUTH
CENTRAL SASK PROVINCE WITH ASSOCIATED TROUGH AXIS INTO CENTRAL NORTH
DAKOTA. STRONG PRESSURE FALLS NOTED AHEAD OF TROUGH FROM EASTERN
MANITOBA PROVINCE TO WESTERN MINNESOTA. LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY
INDICATED CLOUDINESS IN CONJUNCTION WITH TROUGH WORKING EAST FROM
CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA WITH NO CONVECTION DEVELOPMENT NOTED AT THIS
TIME AS AREA OF POSITIVE CINS (CAP) OVER REGION INHIBITING
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT.

.FORECAST DETAILS...
MODELS IN GENERAL AGREEMENT IN SHORT TERM TAKING SURFACE TROUGH EAST
INTO MINNESOTA THIS EVENING. EXAMINATION OF FORECAST SOUNDINGS AND
TIME SECTIONS SUGGESTS BEST POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE ACROSS MINNESOTA
ZONES THIS EVENING WHERE BETTER SHEAR PROFILE...INSTABILITY AND
MOISTURE INFLUX WILL BE PRESENT. EXPECT ACTIVITY TO END LATER THIS
EVENING WITH CLEARING SKIES PUNCHING IN FROM WEST TO EAST OVERNIGHT.
QUIET DAY ON TAP FOR FRIDAY AS WEAK RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE REGION.
WEEKEND LOOKING UNSETTLED AS STRONG 500MB WESTERN CONUS TROUGH
EJECTS PIECES OF SHORTWAVE ENERGY NORTHEAST INTO THE NORTHERN
PLAINS. INHERITED ZONES POP COVERAGE FOR WEEKEND LOOKS FEASIBLE WITH
ELEVATED CONVECTIVE THREAT LATE SATURDAY GIVING WAY TO MORE SURFACE
BASED SUPERCELL POTENTIAL ON SUNDAY.

.EXTENDED...
MODELS FAIRLY SIMILAR WITH OVERALL PATTERN...WITH SOME TIMING
DIFFERENCES NOTED. SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL TRANSITION TO A
NORTHWESTERLY THEN WESTERLY FLOW THROUGH PERIOD. THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY ON DAY 4 WILL SHIFT TO A DRIER PATTERN TOWARDS DAY 5/6/7.
IN ADDITION...A COOL DOWN TO BELOW NORMAL TEMPS EXPECTED BY TUE/WED
BEFORE A RETURN TO WARMER WEATHER BY THURSDAY AS RIDGE BUILDS WEST
OF REGION.

.FGF...NONE.

BERG/KELLENBENZ

The office that day

Everything else NWS Grand Forks, ND issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 6, 5:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFLake of the Woods36 min
Jun 6, 6:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFLake of the Woods23 min
Jun 6, 6:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFLake of the Woods29 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Minnesota, 2002Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2002

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.