Alert archive / North Dakota / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2002
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 30, NWS Grand Forks, ND
NWS Grand Forks, ND issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 6, 2002, 6:15 PM CDT for Sargent County, North Dakota. It was in force for 45 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jun 6, 2002, 6:15 PM CDT (23:15 UTC)
- Expired
- Jun 6, 2002, 7:00 PM CDT
- In force
- 45 min
- Issued by
- NWS Grand Forks, ND
- Area
- Counties, with a storm outline in the text
County Sargent County, ND
The radar
The Aberdeen radar (KABR), 91 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:17 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
Did it verify
Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The nearest sounding before it
Aberdeen, SD (KABR), launched 12:00Z, 11.3 hours before the alert went out and 143 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 3 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -383 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1947 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 49 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 145 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 186 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WUUS53 KFGF 062315 SVRFAR NDC081-070000- BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS 615 PM CDT THU JUN 6 2002 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND FORKS HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... SARGENT COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA. * UNTIL 700 PM CDT. * AT 611 PM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM OVER BRAMPTON...OR ABOUT 60 MILES WEST OF WAHPETON...MOVEMENT WAS TO THE NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH. * THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR... COGSWELL AT 625 PM... FORMAN AT 640 PM... CAYUGA AT 650 PM AND GWINNER AT 655 PM. REMEMBER SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE TORNADOES WITH LITTLE OR NO ADVANCE WARNING. LAT...LON 4595 9793 4596 9727 4628 9733 4625 9781 21 NNNN
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Grand Forks, ND wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 6, 12:05 PM CDT, 6 hours 10 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jun 6, 12:05 PM CDT, 6 hours 10 minutes before
FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA AND NORTHWEST MINNESOTA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS ND 1205 PM CDT THU JUN 6 2002 ...MAIN FORECAST CHALLENGE CENTERS ON CONVECTIVE THREAT THIS EVENING WITH IMPENDING TROUGH AND POP CHANCES LATER IN PERIOD WITH WESTERN TROUGH... .CURRENT OBSERVATIONAL OVERVIEW... 17Z MSAS ANALYSIS CONTINUED TO DEPICT LOW PRESSURE OVER SOUTH CENTRAL SASK PROVINCE WITH ASSOCIATED TROUGH AXIS INTO CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA. STRONG PRESSURE FALLS NOTED AHEAD OF TROUGH FROM EASTERN MANITOBA PROVINCE TO WESTERN MINNESOTA. LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATED CLOUDINESS IN CONJUNCTION WITH TROUGH WORKING EAST FROM CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA WITH NO CONVECTION DEVELOPMENT NOTED AT THIS TIME AS AREA OF POSITIVE CINS (CAP) OVER REGION INHIBITING THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT. .FORECAST DETAILS... MODELS IN GENERAL AGREEMENT IN SHORT TERM TAKING SURFACE TROUGH EAST INTO MINNESOTA THIS EVENING. EXAMINATION OF FORECAST SOUNDINGS AND TIME SECTIONS SUGGESTS BEST POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE ACROSS MINNESOTA ZONES THIS EVENING WHERE BETTER SHEAR PROFILE...INSTABILITY AND MOISTURE INFLUX WILL BE PRESENT. EXPECT ACTIVITY TO END LATER THIS EVENING WITH CLEARING SKIES PUNCHING IN FROM WEST TO EAST OVERNIGHT. QUIET DAY ON TAP FOR FRIDAY AS WEAK RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE REGION. WEEKEND LOOKING UNSETTLED AS STRONG 500MB WESTERN CONUS TROUGH EJECTS PIECES OF SHORTWAVE ENERGY NORTHEAST INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS. INHERITED ZONES POP COVERAGE FOR WEEKEND LOOKS FEASIBLE WITH ELEVATED CONVECTIVE THREAT LATE SATURDAY GIVING WAY TO MORE SURFACE BASED SUPERCELL POTENTIAL ON SUNDAY. .EXTENDED... MODELS FAIRLY SIMILAR WITH OVERALL PATTERN...WITH SOME TIMING DIFFERENCES NOTED. SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL TRANSITION TO A NORTHWESTERLY THEN WESTERLY FLOW THROUGH PERIOD. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ON DAY 4 WILL SHIFT TO A DRIER PATTERN TOWARDS DAY 5/6/7. IN ADDITION...A COOL DOWN TO BELOW NORMAL TEMPS EXPECTED BY TUE/WED BEFORE A RETURN TO WARMER WEATHER BY THURSDAY AS RIDGE BUILDS WEST OF REGION. .FGF...NONE. BERG/KELLENBENZ
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in North Dakota, 2002Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2002
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.