Alert archive / North Dakota / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2002

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 135, NWS Grand Forks, ND

July 25, 2002Cass County, North Dakota

NWS Grand Forks, ND issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 25, 2002, 1:03 AM CDT for Cass County, North Dakota. It was in force for 42 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 25, 2002, 1:03 AM CDT (06:03 UTC)
Expired
Jul 25, 2002, 1:45 AM CDT
In force
42 min
Issued by
NWS Grand Forks, ND
Area
Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Cass County, ND

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Jul 24, 10:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC4 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Aberdeen, SD (KABR), launched 00:00Z, 6.1 hours before the alert went out and 255 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Aberdeen, SD at 00:00Z on 2002-07-25Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2473 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Aberdeen, SD at 00:00Z on 2002-07-25The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 140 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2473 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-53 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1734 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
55 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
140 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
191 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.7
Supercell composite
14.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

124 
WUUS53 KFGF 250603
SVRFAR
NDC017-250645-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS
103 AM CDT THU JUL 25 2002

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND FORKS HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...

  CENTRAL CASS COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA.

* UNTIL 145 AM CDT.

* AT 1256 AM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 3 MILES SOUTHEAST OF AMENIA...OR ABOUT 18 MILES
  NORTHWEST OF FARGO...MOVEMENT WAS TO THE EAST AT 25 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...

  PROSPER AT 110 AM...
  ARGUSVILLE AT 120 AM AND
  HARWOOD AT 125 AM.

REMEMBER SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE
TORNADOES WITH LITTLE OR NO ADVANCE WARNING.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 AM THURSDAY
MORNING FOR NORTHWESTERN MINNESOTA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA. A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 AM
THURSDAY MORNING FOR SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA.

LAT...LON 4706 9729 4689 9720 4692 9685 4714 9692


DONAVON
NNNN

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Grand Forks, ND wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 24, 8:45 PM CDT, 4 hours 18 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 24, 8:45 PM CDT, 4 hours 18 minutes before
FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA AND NORTHWEST MINNESOTA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS ND
845 PM CDT WED JUL 24 2002

FORECAST CHALLENGE FOR UPDATE CONCERNS MAINLY TSRA THREAT.

AREAS OF SHRA/TSRA ASSOCIATED WITH MID LEVEL CIRCULATION FROM
KMVX-88D AND WATER VAPOR LOOP SHIFTING EAST OUT OF FA. WDLY SCT TSRA
CONTINUES TO DEVELOP ALONG WEAK CONVERGENCE ZONE FROM KMVX-88D RDA
SE TO NEAR PKD. FARTHER UPSTREAM CONVECTIVE COMPLEX OVER WESTERN ND
PROPAGATING SE ALONG AND NORTH OF SFC BOUNDARY FROM S CENTRAL SD TO
NE MT IN INSTABILITY AXIS. TIMING WOULD HAVE TSRA INTO SW FA AROUND
05Z. LOW LEVEL JET ORIENTED FROM E NEBRASKA NORTHEAST
THROUGH MN. WITH STRONG CONVECTION OVER SD/NE TO INTERCEPT MOIST
FEED...ORIENTATION OF LOW LEVEL JET AND BOUNDARIES DO NOT EXPECT
SEVERE STORMS OVER FORECAST AREA. WILL HOWEVER MAINTAIN CHANCES OF
TSRA...MAINLY AFT MIDNIGHT OVER SOUTHERN FA. FARTHER NORTH WITH LACK
OF LOW LEVEL FORCING AND  WILL LOWER CHANCES TO ISOLD. WILL TAKE A
LAST LOOK AT TEMPERATURES HOWEVER WITH SFC DEWPOINTS TO REMAIN IN
THE 60S OVERNIGHT GENERAL FCST LOOKS GOOD.

.FGF...NONE

VOELKER

The office that day

Everything else NWS Grand Forks, ND issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 25, 12:45 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFRichland45 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in North Dakota, 2002Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2002

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.