Severe Thunderstorm Warning 176, NWS Atlanta, GA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
300 PM EDT THU JUN 6 2002

OVERVIEW...MODELS HANDLE UPPER LEVEL SHORT WAVE AND BUILDING RIDGE
SIMILARLY THRU SATURDAY AFTERNOON. TAIL END OF SHORT WAVE PASSES
NEAR TENNESSEE-GEORGIA BORDER BETWEEN 00Z AND 06Z TONIGHT.
ASSOCIATED ENERGY FIELD GETS SHEARED OUT...BUT STILL PVA RESULTS
OVER NORTH GEORGIA TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING. UPPER RIDGE BUILDS
IN THE EASTERN HALF OF THE COUNTRY OVER THE WEEKEND IN RESPONSE TO
TROF OVER THE WESTERN U.S. DIGGING SOUTH. COLD FRONT MOVES
SOUTHEAST INTO CENTRAL GEORGIA BY 06Z TONIGHT WITH DRIER AIR
FILTERING IN BEHIND IT. THE FRONT STALLS OVER SOUTHERN GEORGIA BY
FRIDAY AFTERNOON WITH A WEAK FRONTAL WAVE DEVELOPING. SURFACE HIGH
MOVES ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES AND NORTHEAST U.S. SHIFTING LOW LEVEL
FLOW TO THE NORTHEAST FRIDAY NIGHT.

NEAR TERM...CONVECTION DEVELOPED AHEAD OF FRONT NEAR AN ATLANTA TO
GAINESVILLE LINE. MAIN ACTIVITY NEAR FRONT IN N ALABAMA....ALSO FEW
SHHOWERS/TSTMS HAVE DEVELOPED IN SOUTHERN PART STATE. WILL CONTINUE
SCATTERED POPS FOR MOST OF CWA INTO TONIGHT. WITH THE FRONT IN THE
AREA AND POSSIBLE WAVES ALONG IT NEAR SOUTHERN BOUNDARY WILL KEEP CHANCE
POPS FOR FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. MAV POPS SEEM A BIT ON THE
WET SIDE...SO WILL NOT CARRY ANY POPS FOR SATURDAY WITH DRY AIR
COVERING MOST OF CWA...RETURN FLOW AROUND HIGH PRESSURE BY SUNDAY
MAY GIVE SMALL CHANCE IN THE WESTERN PART OF THE STATE. FOR TEMPS
WILL USE A BLEND OF ALL GUIDANCE....GENERALLY STAYING JUST A TAD ON
THE WARMER SIDE.

EXTENDED...AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES AWAY FROM THE AREA...MORE UNSTABLE
AIR WILL MOVE IN ON BACK SIDE OF IT. NEXT FRONT APPROACHING THE CWA
BY MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK SO CHANCE OF PRECIP WILL AGAIN BE INCREASING
BY THEN. WILL NEED TO CONTINUE CHANCE OF PRECIP FROM MONDAY ONWARD
...BUT MAINLY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. HIGH TEMPS SHOUL STAY IN 80S TO
AROUND 90 FOR MOSOT OF THE EXTENDED.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE...GOOD CONFIDENCE THRU FORECAST...ALTHOUGH AVN
MODEL HAS TO BE TAKEN WITH A GRAIN OF SALT.

FCSTID = 22

ATL  68 86 68 82 /  30 10 10 10
AHN  67 87 68 84 /  30 10 10 10
GVL  66 85 65 82 /  30 10 10 10
RMG  66 88 66 86 /  30 00 00 00
CSG  72 90 72 89 /  40 30 20 10
MCN  72 91 70 89 /  50 40 30 10

.ATL...
GA...NONE.

OUR DETAILED COUNTY FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE AT FOUS52 KFFC.
OUR AREA FORECAST FOR NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA CITIES IS AVAILABLE
AT FLUS42 KFFC.

DH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
942 AM EDT THU JUN 06 2002

TIME(EDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0632 PM    CEDARTOWN                 GA   0.75 INCH HAIL
06/05/02   POLK                           REPORTED BY A SPOTTER.

0700 PM    ROME                      GA   WIND DAMAGE
06/05/02   FLOYD                          TREES AND POWER LINES
                                          DOWN.

0730 PM    MINERAL BLUFF             GA   WIND DAMAGE
06/05/02   FANNIN                         REPORTED BY FANNIN COUNTY
                                          911. TREES DOWN.

0735 PM    CARTERSVILLE              GA   1.00 INCH HAIL
06/05/02   BARTOW                         REPORTED BY SPOTTER.

0740 PM    15E CALHOUN               GA   WIND DAMAGE
06/05/02   GORDON                         TREES DOWN. PUBLIC
                                          REPORT.

0850 PM    DALTON                    GA   WIND DAMAGE
06/05/02   WHITFIELD                      NUMEROUS TREES DOWN. A
                                          FEW POWER LINES DOWN.
                                          REPORTED BY A SPOTTER.

0900 PM    CHATSWORTH                GA   WIND DAMAGE
06/05/02   MURRAY                         TREES AND POWER LINES
                                          DOWN.REPORTED BY MURRAY
                                          COUNTY 911.

0930 PM    10N BARNESVILLE           GA   WIND DAMAGE
06/05/02   LAMAR                          TREES DOWN. PUBLIC
                                          REPORT.

0930 PM    BARNESVILLE               GA   WIND DAMAGE
06/05/02   LAMAR                          SHINGLES BLOWN OFF ROOF.
                                          PUBLIC REPORT.