Special Marine Warning 21, NWS Corpus Christi, TX

COASTAL BEND FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
250 PM CDT WED MAY 29 2002

SHORT-TERM...500HAP CLOSED CYCLONE WILL DRIFT SOUTH INTO THE WESTERN
GLFMEX THURSDAY NIGHT/FRIDAY. PERIPHERAL 500HPA SHORTWAVES WILL
ASSIST IN SYNOPTIC-SCALE POSITIVE OMEGA. MESO-SCALE INTERACTIONS IN
THE FORM OF OUTFLOW/SEABREEZE BOUNDARIES WILL ACT UPON A
MOIST/UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT TO PRODUCE SCATTERED CONVECTION.
PARAMETERS FAVORABLE FOR POSSIBLE SEVERE WEATHER THROUGH THIS
EVENING AND AGAIN THURSDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING. SUSPECT EVENTUAL
SURFACE TROUGH WILL BECOME STATIONARY ALONG THE COAST THURSDAY
NIGHT/FRIDAY MORNING(DUE TO LACK OF COLD THERMAL ADVECTION) THEN
PENETRATE INLAND AS A SEABREEZE BOUNDARY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. WILL RANGE
POPS FROM CHANCE EAST TO SLIGHT CHANCE FAR WEST. SKY COVER/WINDS
WILL SHOW A HIGH VARIABILITY GIVEN MULTIPLE SCALE INTERACTIONS.
850HPA TEMPERATURES/1000-850HPA THICKNESS SUPPORT MAX TEMPERATURES
THURSDAY THE SAME AS TODAY THEN A LITTLE LOWER FRIDAY. RAIN-COOLED
BOUNDARY LAYER WILL RESULT IN LOWER THAN NORMAL MINS.

LONG-TERM...WILL RETAIN SLIGHT CHANCE POPS EAST SATURDAY/SUNDAY WITH
LINGERING 500HPA TROUGH AXIS/WEAK UPPER-LEVEL DISTURBANCES/SURFACE
TROUGH-SEABREEZE INTERACTING WITH ENOUGH MOISTURE. 500HPA
ANTICYCLONE BECOMES INCREASINGLY DOMINANT MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
WITH ONSHORE FLOW AND WARMING TEMPERATURES.

MARINE...WILL INCREASE POPS FOR WATERS FOR TONIGHT CONSIDERING THE
DEVELOPING MCS SENARIO. WEAK SFC TROF WILL STALL ALONG THE COAST
THURS WHILE POS/TILT UPPER TROF FORMS OVER THE WRN GULF. THIS WILL
SET UP A WEAK BUT DEEP NE-ELY WIND FLOW OVER THE CWFA FRI-SUN...
BRINGING DOWN HIGHER PWATS FROM LA AND A CHC FOR SH/TSRA. EARLY NEXT
WEEK...ONSHORE FLOW WILL INCREASE AS SFC LOW DEVELOPS OVER SRN
ROCKIES.

PRELIMINARY NUMBERS:
CRP BB 066/091 066/088 072 54432
VCT BB 065/090 065/087 069 34442
LRD BB 073/098 073/092 073 22222

.CRP...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH UNTIL 00Z TXZ230>234-240>247.
    ...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH UNTIL 00Z
       GMZ230-235-250-255-270-275.

85/75

TXZ229>234-239>247-300300-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
1217 PM CDT WED MAY 29 2002

...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING..

THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BECOME VERY UNSTABLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING
ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS. AN APPROACHING UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL
INTERACT WITH A WESTWARD MOVING SEABREEZE BOUNDARY AND THUNDERSTORM
OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES DRIFTING SOUTH. THIS WILL RESULT IN SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. SOME OF THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL AND TORRENTIAL RAINS.

THE SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH LATE
THIS EVENING...AS THE UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVES EAST AND DAYTIME
HEATING DIMINISHES.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION.

FOR THE LATEST WEATHER FORECASTS AND WARNINGS...CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT
HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/CRP

85

TXZ230>234-240>247-300300-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
138 PM CDT WED MAY 29 2002

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IN EFFECT FOR MOST OF SOUTH TEXAS UNTIL
7 PM CDT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
FOR THE COASTAL BEND AND MOST OF THE RIO GRANDE PLAINS UNTIL 7 PM
TONIGHT. THIS WATCH INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...VICTORIA...
CALHOUN...GOLIAD...REFUGIO...ARANSAS...BEE...SA N PATRICIO...LIVE
OAK...NUECES...KLEBERG...JIM WELLS...MCMULLEN AND DUVAL.

SOME CITIES INCLUDED IN THE WATCH ARE VICTORIA...TILDEN...THREE
RIVERS...BEEVILLE...FREER...ALICE...CORPUS CHRISTI...SINTON...
ROCKPORT AND KINGSVILLE.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS ARE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL THE SIZE OF DIMES
OR LARGER...STRONG WINDS OF 58 MPH OR HIGHER AND POSSIBLY TORNADOES.

EMERGENCY MANAGERS AND STORM SPOTTERS SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR
POSSIBLE ACTIVATION. RESIDENTS ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS SHOULD REMAIN
ALERT AND BE READY TO ACT QUICKLY IF THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES
YOUR AREA. IF SEVERE WEATHER THREATENS YOUR AREA...THEN MOVE TO AN
INTERIOR ROOM AND LAY DOWN ON THE FLOOR. IF CAUGHT OUTSIDE...LAY
FLAT DOWN ON THE GROUND...PREFERABLY IN A DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT.

STAY TUNED TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR ADDITIONAL STATEMENTS
OR POSSIBLE WARNINGS REGARDING THIS DEVELOPING WEATHER SITUATION.

FOR THE LATEST WEATHER FORECASTS AND WARNINGS...CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT
HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/CRP

85

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI,TX
221 PM CDT WED MAY 29 2002

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0214 PM    VICTORIA                  TX   59 MPH TSTM WIND GUST
05/29/02   VICTORIA                       REPORTED BY DAVID
                                          TEWES...SKYWARN
                                          SPOTTER 4 MILES SW OF
                                          VICTORIA REGIONAL
                                          AIRPORT

0221 PM    VICTORIA                  TX   1.00 INCH HAIL
05/29/02   VICTORIA                       REPORTED BY PUBLIC AT
                                          VICTORIA REGIONAL
                                          AIRPORT

JM

TXZ230>234-240>247-310100-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
315 PM CDT WED MAY 29 2002

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IN EFFECT FOR DEEP SOUTH TEXAS UNTIL 8
PM CDT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
FOR DEEP SOUTH TEXAS UNTIL 8 PM TONIGHT. THIS WATCH INCLUDES THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES...ZAPATA...STARR...JIM
HOGG...BROOKS...HIDALGO...KENEDY...WILLACY...AND CAMERON.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS ARE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL THE SIZE OF DIMES
OR LARGER...STRONG WINDS OF 58 MPH OR HIGHER AND POSSIBLY TORNADOES.

EMERGENCY MANAGERS AND STORM SPOTTERS SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR
POSSIBLE ACTIVATION. RESIDENTS ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS SHOULD REMAIN
ALERT AND BE READY TO ACT QUICKLY IF THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES
YOUR AREA. IF SEVERE WEATHER THREATENS YOUR AREA...THEN MOVE TO AN
INTERIOR ROOM AND LIE DOWN ON THE FLOOR. IF CAUGHT OUTSIDE...LAY
FLAT DOWN ON THE GROUND...PREFERABLY IN A DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT.

STAY TUNED TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR ADDITIONAL STATEMENTS
OR POSSIBLE WARNINGS REGARDING THIS DEVELOPING WEATHER SITUATION.

MILLER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI,TX
343 PM CDT WED MAY 29 2002

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0320 PM    12 NE GOLIAD              TX   1.75 INCH HAIL
05/29/02   GOLIAD

JM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI,TX
411 PM CDT WED MAY 29 2002

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0320 PM    10 NE GOLIAD              TX   1.75 INCH HAIL
05/29/02   GOLIAD                         GOLF BALL HAIL TREE LIMBS
                                          AND FENCES DOWN