Special Marine Warning 65, NWS Cleveland, OH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
220 PM EDT SUN JUL 28 2002

PAST FEW 88D VOL SCANS SHOWG PRECIP TO W DECREASING IN INTENSITY AND
COVERAGE.  INSTABILITY RMNS HI BUT MSAS ANAL SHOWG LLTL IN WAY OF
LLVL CONV ATTM.  MORE CONVECTION JUST ABT TO MOV INTO IN.  DECENT
LLVL WLY JET THIS EVENING BUT 7H TEMPS WARM OVRNGT WITH SUM DRYING
AFT MID AS WELL.  CAPES RMN NR 1000 J/KG THIS EVE AND WL HANG ON TO
SCT WORDG NRN 1/2 OF FA THRU MID TO ACCOUNT FOR ANY NEW CONVECTION
THAT FIRES AND FOR STUFF CURRENTLY MOVING INTO IN.  FURTHER S JUST
SML CHC POPS.

BETTER THREAT FOR TSRA OCCURS TMRW AFT AS CDFNT APPROACHES FM NW.
WL ALSO GET SUM HELP FM RR QUAD OF UPPER JET AND IMPULSE MOVING THRU
AT 5H.  MAY GET A LINE OF CONVECTION BUT FOR NOW WL JUST WORD FOR HI
CHC POPS ALL AREAS.  PRECIP THREAT WL LINGER INTO 3RD PD BUT RAPID
DRYING OCCURS LATER IN NGT.  COOLER AND LESS HUMID WX ON TUE.

GUID TEMPS IN BALLPARK AGN TDA.

.CLE...
OH...NONE.
PA...NONE.

KUBINA