Special Marine Warning 82, NWS Boston/Norton, MA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
325 PM EDT FRI AUG 16 2002

IN SHORT RANGE...AMS VERY UNSTBL DUE TO A COMBINATION OF HI DEW PTS
AND VERY WARM TEMPS, WEAK PVA WITH RATHER MINOR UPR TROF.  HWVR,
CAPES AND SOME OF THE OTHER INSTBY PARAMETERS ARE NOT
REMARKABLE.  TSTMS HAVE BEEN DVLPG NR SNE. EXPECT THEM TO CONT TO
DVLP EWD ACRS NRN CT, CNTRL AND WRN MA, AND SW NH DURG NEXT FEW HRS.
A SVR TSTM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THIS AREA AND POTENTIAL EXISTS
FOR DAMAGING WIND ASSOCD WITH WET MICROBURSTS.  SFC TROF WL MOV ACRS
THE FCST AREA AROUND 06Z AND SHWRS/TSTMS SHUD GRDLY DMSH AFT 00Z
AND END W OF TROF.

MORE SUN, LESS CLDS ON SAT AS SML SFC RDG BLDS ACRS NEW ENGLAND. THE
WEAK UPR TROF SHOWN ON AVN FOR SUN JUST S OF SNE SHUD NOT HAVE MUCH
EFFECT ON THE WX.  MODEL HAS PCPN S OF THE S CST.  OF MORE INTEREST
IS THE CDFNT APCHG FM W ON SUN.  THERE IS RELATIVELY STG UPR WLY
FLO BEHIND THIS FNT AND FOR THAT REASON IT FNT SHUD MOV RPDLY EWD
CROSSING THRU THE FA BTWN 00Z AND 06Z MON.  POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR
STG TSTMS AGAIN ACRS THE FA SUN AFTN WITH SHWRS EXTD INTO FIRST PART
OF SUN NGT.

MORE OF A SGNFT CHG IN AMS MON INTO TUE AS THE SFC HI OVR THE GT
LKS MOVS EWD TO NEW ENGLAND.  EXPC DEW PTS TO FALL BACK INTO THE 50S
BY TUE WITH THE SFC HI FCST TO PASS N OF SNE GIVING N TO NE SFC WND
FOR MON NGT INTO WED.

.BOX...
CT...NONE.
MA...NONE.
NH...NONE.
RI...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

DMH

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