Special Marine Warning 71, NWS Boston/Norton, MA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
1115 AM EDT FRI AUG 2 2002

...ANTICIPATING FAIRLY ACTIVE AFTN/EVE FOR CONVCTN...

LATE AM UPDATE HAS TAKEN MAX TEMPS DOWN A LTL OVR INTERIOR MA.
OTRW..NO CHNGS FOR NOW.

AFTN/EVE CONVCTN...WIND FIELDS ARE RELATIVELY LGT BUT AT LEAST MOD
INSTBLTY...SBCAPES ON 12Z MESOETA 1500-2500 AND 06Z AVN TT IN LO50S
ACRS CT AND MUCH OF WRN/CNTL MA.  PREFRONTAL TROF ENHANCE LO
LVL MOISTURE CONVG LTR THIS AFTN.  06Z AVN AND 12Z MESOETA BOTH SHOW
BAND OF UVM THAT SHIFTS TWD S COAST AFT 00Z. BEST INSTBLTY AND
FORCING APPRS TO FOCUS ACRS CT...SW/S CNTL MA...INTO WRN RI.
ALTHO STGR WIND SPDS TO N...HEL VALUES ARND 150 ACRS CT DURG MAX
HTG...PSBLY AIDING A FEW CELLS.  DWPTS AT 15Z ARND 70 LO/MID CT VLY.
BELIEVE WILL SEE CSDBL CONVECTION THRUOUT CWA THIS AFTN/ERLY EVE
AND THEN PERSISTING ACRS S COAST LATE INTO NGT AS FNT
DEACCELERATES. ALTHO WIND FIELDS NOT THAT STG...BELIEVE ENUF
INSTBLTY PERHAPS AIDED BY SOME LO LVL HEL FOR ISOLD SVR...SPCLY CT
AND ADJ AREAS OF MA/RI. ANTICIPATING NEED FOR SKYWARN COVERAGE ARND
18Z.

TAKEN 1ST CUT AT DAYS 4-7 IN DATABASE...WILL PRBLY GO DRY THRU PRD.
ENSEMBLES SUG WK FRONT PSBL FRI 8/9...BUT SIGNATURE LOOKS WK AND
MID/UPR FLOW LOOKS TO BE DRY WNW.

.BOX...
CT...NONE.
MA...NONE.
NH...NONE.
RI...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

THOMPSON/CARBONE

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MAZ002-003-021830-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
145 PM EDT FRI AUG 2 2002

AT 144 PM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG
THUNDERSTORM WITH SMALL HAIL IN FRANKLIN COUNTY OVER COLRAIN...OR
ABOUT 7 MILES NORTHWEST OF GREENFIELD...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

THIS THUNDERSTORM...CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 40
MPH...POSSIBLE SMALL HAIL AND VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL BE NEAR

  GREENFIELD AROUND 150 PM
  GILL AND DEERFIELD AROUND 155 PM
  MONTAGUE AROUND 200 PM
  WENDELL AND ERVING AROUND 205 PM
  NEW SALEM AROUND 210 PM

DUNHAM

CTZ002-MAZ004-005-009-011-012-021915-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
238 PM EDT FRI AUG 2 2002

AT 234 PM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A LINE
OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITH THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE WIND GUSTS TO
50 MPH AND SMALL HAIL ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL AND WESTERN
MASSACHUSETTS.  THIS LINE WAS MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  WESTMINSTER...HUNTINGTON...HUBBARDSTON AND FITCHBURG AROUND 245 PM
  TOWNSEND...TOLLAND...OAKHAM AND NEW BRAINTREE AROUND 250 PM
  RUSSELL AND PRINCETON AROUND 255 PM

BELK