Severe Thunderstorm Warning 129, NWS Birmingham, AL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM, AL
321 AM CDT FRI MAY 03 2002

LITTLE TIME, SO THIS WILL BE BRIEF.  WILL EXTEND FLASH FLOOD WATCH
SOUTH...INCLUDING ALL OF N AL AND CENTRAL AL AS FAR SOUTH AS BIBB
COUNTY. WILL ISSUE IT FOR ALL OF TODAY. SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
UNTIL 7 AM...AND WILL LIKELY SEE ADDITIONAL WATCHES FOR NORTH AND
CENTRAL AL LATER. THE FRONT HAS MOVED TO CENTRAL AL AND HAS STALLED.
THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP NEAR AND NORTH OF THE FRONT...
AND TRAIN ACROSS THE AREA THROUGHOUT THE DAY...RESULTING IN EXCESSIVE
RAIN IN PLACES. THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER THREAT SHOULD BE HAIL AND
WIND.

HSV 068/056 074/055 082 +84-
BHM 076/059 076/056 085 874-
MGM 087/065 085/064 088 433-

.BHM...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR TODAY ALZ001>029-034-.

ALZ001>050-031500-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
742 AM CDT FRI MAY 3 2002

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH AND CENTRAL ALABAMA.

A COLD FRONT MOVED INTO NORTH ALABAMA LATE YESTERDAY...AND HAS
BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY ACROSS THE MIDDLE PART OF THE STATE THIS
MORNING.  THIS FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO BE THE FOCUS FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS ALABAMA TODAY.

THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS PLACED A LARGE PART OF CENTRAL
ALABAMA UNDER A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TODAY.  AT THIS
TIME...THE BULK OF THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT IS EXPECTED TO COME
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.  WIND SHEAR PROFILES SUGGEST THAT THE
MAIN SEVERE WEATHER THREATS WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...
AND THAT THE THREAT OF TORNADOES IS RELATIVELY LOW.

BECAUSE THE FRONT HAS BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY...STORM DEVELOPMENT
ALONG IT MAY CAUSE A FEW AREAS TO GET LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.  A
FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN POSTED FOR ROUGHLY THE NORTH HALF OF
ALABAMA FOR TODAY.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL AND STORM SPOTTER GROUPS SHOULD
MONITOR THE LATEST WEATHER CONDITIONS AND BE READY FOR POSSIBLE
ACTIVATION...ESPECIALLY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.