Severe Thunderstorm Warning 139, NWS Wakefield, VA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD, VA
1040 AM EST MON NOV 11 2002

SQUALL LINE EXTENDED FM LWR MD ERN SHR...SW THRU RIC CITY
THEN S TO JUST E OF RDU.  WILL CONTINUE PUSHING E THRU THE
REMAINDER OF THE CWA THIS AFTN...WITH THE MAIN THREAT BEING
DAMAGING WNDS (ISLTD TORNADOES POSSIBLE).  JUST GOT OFF THE
PHONE WITH SPC AND THEY WILL RE-ISSUE NEW TOR WATCH FOR I95
EWRD INCLUDING ERN VA AND LWR MD UNTIL 300 PM.

WILL ADJUST/UPDATE ZNS AGAIN WHEN NEW WATCH IS ISSUED.

FYI...

RECORD HIGH TMPS FOR 11/11:
 RIC...80 SET IN 1964
 ORF...79 SET IN 1985
 SBY...74 SET IN 1985
 ECG...80 SET IN 1985.

SBY   77  52  59  45 /  70  70  20  80
OXB   77  53  58  47 /  70  70  40  80
ECG   80  58  59  50 /  70  70  40  80
ORF   79  57  59  50 /  70  70  40  80
PHF   77  53  56  44 /  70  60  20  80
AKQ   78  54  57  45 /  70  60  30  80
RIC   74  51  56  43 /  70  40  20  80
FVX   74  52  56  43 /  70  40  20  80

.AKQ...
MD...TORNADO WATCH UNTIL 1100 AM EST MONDAY FOR ZONE MDZ021. SMALL
CRAFT ADVSY FENWICK ISLAND TO CHINCOTEAGUE.
NC...TORNAD0 WATCH UNTIL 300 PM MONDAY FOR ZONES
NCZ012>017...NCZ030>032 AND NCZ102. SMALL CRAFT ADVSY VA/NC BRDR TO
CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT AND CURRITUCK SOUND.
VA...TORNADO WATCH UNTIL 1100 AM EST MONDAY FOR ZONES
VAZ048>049...VAZ060>085...VAZ087>090...VAZ092.
SMALL CRAFT ADVSY ATLC WTRS FROM CHINCOTEAGUE TO VA/NC BRDR
AND CHES BAY FROM SMITH PT TO CAPE HENRY.

GINGRICH

MDZ021>025-NCZ012>017-030>032-102-VAZ048-049-060>100-121100-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
450 AM EST MON NOV 11 2002

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL AND EASTERN VIRGINIA...
NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA AND THE LOWER MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE.

.DAY ONE...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE WITH DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE
HAIL...AND ISOLATED TORNADOES.  WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 60 AND 70 MPH
WILL BE THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER THREAT. FOR MORE INFORMATION
REGARDING THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT... PLEASE REFER TO THE DAY 1
CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM
PREDICTION CENTER. THIS PRODUCT CAN BE RETRIEVED FROM THE SPC
WEBSITE AT WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN IS POSSIBLE AS AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE TRACKS
OFFSHORE TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.

NS

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...AND
STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
WAKEFIELD, VA CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT THE FOLLOWING
(LOWER CASE): HTTP://WWW.ERH.NOAA.GOV/AKQ.

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED FOR EST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
1020 AM EST MON NOV 11 2002

TIME(EST)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0705 AM    COUNTYWIDE                VA   58 MPH TSTM GUST
11/11/02   CAROLINE                       SCATTERED TREES DOWN
                                          COUNTYWIDE. REPORTED BY
                                          COUNTY EOC.

1000 AM    CAMBRIDGE                 MD   0.50 IN HAIL
11/11/02   DORCHESTER                     PEA-SIZED HAIL REPORTED
                                          BY COUNTY EOC.

VAZ063-070>074-076>083-085-088-111630-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
1038 AM EST MON NOV 11 2002

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE ACROSS CENTRAL VIRGINIA...

AT 1035 AM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM THE NORTHERN NECK
SOUTHWEST TO WESTERN DINWIDDIE COUNTY. THE LINE WAS MOVING EAST
AROUND 20 MPH...WHILE THE INDIVIDUAL STORMS WERE TRACKING NORTHEAST
AROUND 45 MPH.

OVER THE NEXT HOUR...SOME LOCATIONS IN THE STORMS PATH INCLUDE...
   KENNARD AND WARSAW AROUND 1045 AM
   BOTTOMS BRIDGE AND STEVENSVILLE AROUND 1050 AM
   HAYNESVILLE AND MATOACA AROUND 1055 AM
   ROXBURY AND MCKENNEY AROUND 1100 AM

THE STRONGEST STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 40 AND 50
MPH...ALONG WITH DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND BRIEF HEAVY
RAINS.

A TORNADO WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT OVER THIS AREA. REMEMBER...A
TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES AND
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS CONTAIN DAMAGING WIND IN EXCESS OF 55 MPH AND HAIL
THREE QUARTER INCH OR GREATER IN DIAMETER. FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND
VERY HEAVY RAIN MAY ALSO ACCOMPANY ANY THUNDERSTORMS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES.

FOR ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION...CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT
HTTP://WEATHER.NOAA.GOV/AKQ.

HURLEY