Alert archive / New Mexico / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2002

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 16, NWS Albuquerque, NM

June 4, 2002Guadalupe County, New Mexico

NWS Albuquerque, NM issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 4, 2002, 1:18 PM MDT for Guadalupe County, New Mexico. It was in force for 27 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jun 4, 2002, 1:18 PM MDT (19:18 UTC)
Expired: Jun 4, 2002, 1:45 PM MDT
In force: 27 min
Issued by: NWS Albuquerque, NM
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Guadalupe County, NM

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Albuquerq/Krtlnd, NM (KABQ), launched 12:00Z, 7.3 hours before the alert went out and 136 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL: 3185 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 57 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: -30 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 26 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

892 
WUUS55 KABQ 041918
SVRABQ
NMC019-041945-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
118 PM MDT TUE JUN 4 2002

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  NORTHWESTERN GUADALUPE COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL NEW MEXICO

* UNTIL 145 PM MDT

* AT 116 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 12 MILES SOUTH OF DILIA...OR ABOUT 24 MILES
  WEST OF SANTA ROSA...MOVING NORTH AT 10 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE...
  6 MILES SOUTH OF DILIA...7 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ANTON CHICO AT 145 PM
  MDT

SEVERE STORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS OF AT LEAST 60 MPH AND LARGE
HAIL. MOVE INDOORS AND AVOID WINDOWS.

LAT...LON 3495 10521 3493 10499 3520 10489 3521 10523

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Albuquerque, NM wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 4, 3:12 AM MDT, 10 hours 6 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 4, 3:12 AM MDT, 10 hours 6 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
312 AM MDT TUE JUN 4 2002

UPPER LOW TAKING SHAPE OVER SE AZ PER LATEST WV IMAGERY. COLD FRONT
HEADED DOWN THE EASTERN PLAINS OF CO...NOW NOSING INTO NE NM. LATEST
DATA POINTS TO THIS FRONT BANKING UP AGAINST THE EAST SLOPES OF THE
SANGRES...SANDIAS AND MANZANOS TODAY AND MAKING SOUTHWARD PROGRESS TO
NEAR DE BACA AND ROOSEVELT COUNTIES...STALLING OUT FOR A SHORT PERIOD
AND THEN HEADING FURTHER SOUTH AND WEST TONIGHT. TEMPS ACROSS NE NM
WILL BE 15-25 DEGREES COOLER THAN YESTERDAY. THIS COOLER AIR WILL
SPREAD SOUTH AND WEST TONIGHT AND TOMORROW...BRINGING COOLER TEMPS TO
MOST OF THE STATE BY WEDNESDAY. MODELS AGREE ON THE CURRENT CLOSED
CIRCULATION OVER SE AZ OPENING UP LATER TODAY AND MOVING OUT OVER NM.
INSTABILITY WILL BE GREATEST ALONG AND JUST AHEAD OF THE
FRONT...WHERE SOME STORMS WILL LIKELY BECOME SEVERE. STORMS BEHIND
THE FRONT WONT BE AS DEEP...BUT GIVEN THE COOL SURFACE
AIRMASS...LARGE HAIL SHOULD BE ABLE TO REACH THE SURFACE. HIGHEST
POPS TODAY AND TONIGHT WILL BE OVER THE NORTHEAST QUARTER...WHERE
WETTING RAINS AND HIGHER RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL HELP OUT FIRE
FIGHTERS. EAST WINDS WILL BLOW THROUGH THE GAPS ALONG THE CENTRAL
MOUNTAIN CHAIN LATER TODAY...BUT HOW EARLY? THIS LARGELY DEPENDS ON
CONVECTION EAST OF THE MOUNTAINS...BUT GIVEN THE WELL DEFINED
CIRCULATION TO OUR SW...WHICH THE MODELS MAY BE OPENING UP TOO
FAST...WILL FAVOR THE EAST WINDS BREAKING THROUGH SOONER THAN MOS
GUIDANCE INDICATES...SO SOMETIME BETWEEN 3-6PM TODAY. THIS WILL HELP
DEEPEN EXISTING CONVECTION ALONG AND WEST OF THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY
AND GIVE US A DECENT SHOT AT WETTING RAIN THIS EVENING.

MODELS SHOW A SECOND LOW FORMING OVER SE AZ TONIGHT AND SINKING SOUTH
TO OVER NW MEXICO AND HANGING AROUND TIL FRIDAY...WHEN IT WILL OPEN
UP AND GET PUSHED NE OVER NM BY A BIG-OL TROUGH PUSHING INTO THE WEST
COAST. WILL STRETCH OUT SLIGHT CHANCE POPS THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY
BASED ON LATEST ECMWF/NOGAPS AND THEN TREND TOWARD CLIMO. CA

ABQ BE 085/058 078/057 084 50232
SAF EE 083/052 076/050 081 50353
TCC EE 076/056 066/055 076 50363

.ABQ...NONE.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Albuquerque, NM issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 4, 12:33 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Guadalupe	42 min
Jun 4, 1:50 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Guadalupe	40 min
Jun 4, 2:07 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Mora	53 min
Jun 4, 2:26 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Torrance	49 min
Jun 4, 2:34 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Guadalupe, San Miguel	56 min
Jun 4, 2:39 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Guadalupe, Torrance	66 min
Jun 4, 2:51 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Curry	54 min
Jun 4, 3:03 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Guadalupe, San Miguel	42 min
Jun 4, 3:13 PM MDT	Tornado Warning	ABQ	Guadalupe	32 min
Jun 4, 3:46 PM MDT	Tornado Warning	ABQ	Guadalupe, Quay, San Miguel	29 min
Jun 4, 4:11 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Guadalupe, San Miguel	49 min
Jun 4, 4:14 PM MDT	Tornado Warning	ABQ	San Miguel	31 min
Jun 4, 4:45 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Harding, Quay, San Miguel	45 min
Jun 4, 5:02 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Guadalupe, Harding, Quay, San Miguel	58 min
Jun 4, 5:15 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Harding, Quay	45 min
Jun 4, 5:39 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Curry, Quay	51 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in New Mexico, 2002 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2002

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.