Alert archive / New Mexico / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2002

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 156, NWS Albuquerque, NM

September 12, 2002De Baca County, New Mexico

NWS Albuquerque, NM issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Sep 12, 2002, 5:19 PM MDT for De Baca County, New Mexico. It was in force for 41 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Sep 12, 2002, 5:19 PM MDT (23:19 UTC)
Expired: Sep 12, 2002, 6:00 PM MDT
In force: 41 min
Issued by: NWS Albuquerque, NM
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County De Baca County, NM

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Albuquerq/Krtlnd, NM (KABQ), launched 12:00Z, 11.3 hours before the alert went out and 213 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 643 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -29 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 761 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 24 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 84 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 116 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

084 
WUUS55 KABQ 122319
SVRABQ
NMC011-130000-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
519 PM MDT THU SEP 12 2002

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  NORTH CENTRAL DE BACA COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL NEW MEXICO

* UNTIL 600 PM MDT

* AT 517 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM OVER SUMNER LAKE...OR ABOUT 15 MILES NORTHWEST
  OF FORT SUMNER...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE...
  OVER RURAL NORTHERN DE BACA COUNTY 

SEVERE STORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS OF AT LEAST 60 MPH AND LARGE
HAIL. MOVE INDOORS AND AVOID WINDOWS.

HEAVY RAINS FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN PRODUCE SUDDEN AND
DANGEROUS FLOWS IN ARROYOS...DITCHES AND OVER LOW WATER CROSSINGS. DO
NOT ATTEMPT TO DRIVE THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY.

LAT...LON 3468 10443 3455 10443 3456 10413 3475 10414
          3473 10431 3468 10431

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Albuquerque, NM wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Sep 12, 3:15 PM MDT, 2 hours 4 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 12, 3:15 PM MDT, 2 hours 4 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
315 PM MDT THU SEP 12 2002

SFC DEWPTS HAVE DROPPED ACROSS THE NORTHWEST PRECLUDING CONVECTION
THERE. I THINK THE CHANCE OF TSTMS THERE WILL INCREASE THOUGH AS
COLDER AIR ALOFT SPREADS OVER CWA DESTABILIZING THE ATMOSPHERE. WITH
THE UPPER TROF MOVING IN AS WELL AS THE SURFACE FRONT...
THUNDERSTORMS COULD GO ALL NIGHT. RECEIVED A REPORT OF QUARTER SIZE
HAIL FROM MAGDELENA AREA AND THINK WE COULD SEE SOME MORE THESE
REPORTS THE REST OF THE AFTN AND EVENING.

MINUS 10C TO -12C AT H5 TOMMORROW AFTN BASED ON MODEL FCSTS AND THIS
MORNINGS H5 UPPER AIR CHART. DEWPTS STILL IN THE 40S AND 50S ACROSS
UT AND AZ. THUS...EVEN THOUGH IT WILL DRY OUT A LITTLE AT THE
SURFACE...ATMOSPHERE WILL STILL BE QUITE UNSTABLE TOMMORROW.

FOR FRIDAY NIGHT...BACKDOOR WINDSHIFT/FRONT FCST BY ETA. MAKES GOOD
SENSE WITH TROF MOVING SOUTH AND EAST THROUGH THE CENTRAL PLAINS AND
UPPER RIDGE MOVING INTO THE MTNOUS WEST. SFC CHARTS SHOW 40S AND 50S
DEWPTS ALL THE WAY UP INTO SW CANADA THIS AFTN. THINK MNTN OF TSTMS
IN EAST SAT IS GOOD IDEA AND WILL KEEP IT GOING. BY SAT NIGHT...
SUBSIDENCE SPREADS IN FROM THE NW SHUTTING OFF ANY FURTHER SHOT OF
PRECIP. UPPER RIDGE TO DOMINATE SUN...THEN DRY WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT
MON THRU THURS. JWS

ABQ BB 056/076 054/078 055 46332
SAF BB 047/071 045/072 047 46433
TCC BB 057/081 054/076 053 46543

.ABQ...NONE.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Sep 12, 4:12 PM MDT, 1 hour 7 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED TIME
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE, NM
412 PM MDT THU SEP 12 2002

TIME(MDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

230 PM     SOCORRO                   NM   1.00 INCH HAIL
09/12/02   SOCORRO

KJ

Local storm report, Sep 12, 4:12 PM MDT, 1 hour 7 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE, NM
412 PM MDT THU SEP 12 2002

TIME(MDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0230 AM    SOCORRO                   NM   1.00 INCH HAIL
09/12/02   SOCORRO

KJ

Local storm report, Sep 12, 4:29 PM MDT, 50 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE, NM
429 PM MDT THU SEP 12 2002

TIME(MDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0410 AM    9 NE SAN YSIDRO           NM   WIND DAMAGE
09/12/02   SANDOVAL                       SOME STRUCTURE DAMAGE.
                                          EXTENT UNKOWN.

KJ

Local storm report, Sep 12, 4:57 PM MDT, 22 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED TIME
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE, NM
457 PM MDT THU SEP 12 2002

TIME(MDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0405 PM    9 NE SAN YSIDRO           NM   FUNNEL CLOUD
09/12/02   SANDOVAL                       FUNNEL CLOUDS OBSERVED AT
                                          PONDEROSA.

0405 PM    9 NE SAN YSIDRO           NM   1.00 INCH HAIL
09/12/02   SANDOVAL                       DAMAGE REPORTED AT THE
                                          PONDEROSA WINERY

KJ

The office that day

Everything else NWS Albuquerque, NM issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Sep 12, 1:32 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Guadalupe	28 min
Sep 12, 2:18 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Socorro	42 min
Sep 12, 3:02 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Guadalupe	43 min
Sep 12, 3:15 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Sandoval	45 min
Sep 12, 3:36 PM MDT	Tornado Warning	ABQ	Sandoval	39 min
Sep 12, 4:10 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Bernalillo, Valencia	35 min
Sep 12, 4:18 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Sandoval	42 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in New Mexico, 2002 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2002

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.