Alert archive / Arizona / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2001

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 24, NWS Tucson, AZ

July 31, 2001Pima County, Arizona

NWS Tucson, AZ issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 31, 2001, 12:20 PM MST for Pima County, Arizona. It was in force for 40 min. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline the Iowa Environmental Mesonet reconstructed for it; the warning itself named whole counties, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Jul 31, 2001, 12:20 PM MST (19:20 UTC)
Expired
Jul 31, 2001, 1:00 PM MST
In force
40 min
Issued by
NWS Tucson, AZ
Area
Whole counties; the outline is the Mesonet’s reconstruction

County Pima County, AZ

The radar

The Tucson radar (KEMX), 46 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:21 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Jul 31, 12:30 PM MSTThunderstorm Wind 50 MTucson, AZAt 1230 MST, pima county dispatch reported a 8 inch diamter tree blown down in a residental area. A spotter reported a measured wind gust of 58 mph at 1240 MST.

NCEI Storm Data entries that began inside the alert's area while it was in force. Before 2003 the local storm report archive is thin, so this is the record of what happened rather than what was phoned in.

The nearest sounding before it

Tuscon, AZ (KTUS), launched 12:00Z, 7.3 hours before the alert went out and 6 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Tuscon, AZ at 12:00Z on 2001-07-31Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 473 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Tuscon, AZ at 12:00Z on 2001-07-31The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -6 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
473 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-80 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1545 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
13 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-6 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
64 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS55 KTWC 311918
SVRTUS

AZC019-312000-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
1220 PM MST TUE JUL 31 2001

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TUCSON HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  NORTHEASTERN PIMA COUNTY IN ARIZONA
  THIS INCLUDES...CATALINA...ORO VALLEY...TUCSON

* UNTIL 100 PM MST

* AT 1220 PM MST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM OVER TUCSON...OR ABOUT 5 MILES SOUTHEAST OF        
  TUCSON...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 15 MPH.

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAN PRODUCE LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 58 MPH...DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND HEAVY RAIN.

LAT...LON 3196 11104 3215 11050 3253 11075 3249 11133

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tucson, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 31, 8:45 AM MST, 3 hours 35 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 31, 8:45 AM MST, 3 hours 35 minutes before
SOUTHEAST ARIZONA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
845 AM MST TUE JUL 31 2001

SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRESSURE FROM NEW MEXICO TO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
WILL REMAIN STATIONARY WHILE A WEAK TROUGH REMAINS ON THE WEST
COAST. PLENTY OF MOISTURE REMAINS IN SOUTHEAST ARIZONA AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE AREA TODAY...WITH
MORE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AGAIN WEDNESDAY.

DISCUSSION...SATELLITE PICS SHOWING GENERALLY PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES
ACROSS THE CWA ATTM...WITH A LITTLE MORE WIDESPREAD CLOUDINESS OVER
THE PHOENIX AREA AND PORTIONS OF COCHISE COUNTY. ALREADY SEEING
STORM DEVELOPMENT OVER EXTREME SOUTHEAST COCHISE COUNTY...OUT AHEAD
OF STRONG EASTERLY WAVE SOUTH OF THE TEXAS BIG BEND. THIS AREA OF
MODERATE TO STRONG STORMS (ALREADY!!!) IS IN AREA OF UPPER
DIVERGENCE AHEAD OF THE EASTERLY WAVE. WITH DEVELOPMENT OCCURRING
THIS EARLY...THIS TELLS ME THAT THERE IS GOOD DYNAMICS WITH THIS
SYSTEM...SINCE IT'S TO EARLY FOR THE STORMS TO BE FEEDING OFF OF
DAYTIME HEATING. WITH ALMOST NO DEVELOPMENT ACROSS THE CWA
YESTERDAY...THERE WILL BE PLENTY OF CAPE TO WORK WITH.

12Z TUS SOUNDING AND GOES TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY BOTH
INDICATE PLENTY OF MOISTURE ACROSS SOUTHEAST ARIZONA...WITH VALUES
IN THE 1.2 TO 2.0 INCH CATEGORY. SOME DRYING IS NOTED OVER FAR
WESTERN ARIZONA AND IN THE WHITE MOUNTAINS...HOWEVER SOUTH TO
SOUTHEAST FLOW AHEAD OF EASTERLY WAVE SHOULD MOISTEN WHITES BACK UP
TODAY. FORECAST LOOKS ON TRACK WITH STORMS DEVELOPING IN COCHISE AND
SANTA CRUZ COUNTIES EARLY...SPREADING INTO THE REST OF THE CWA BY
THIS AFTERNOON. NO UPDATES TO CURRENT FORECAST PACKAGE AT THIS TIME.
ZELL

.TWC...NONE.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 31, 11:01 AM MST, 1 hour 19 minutes before
AZZ019-029>035-010700-

SOUTHEAST ARIZONA HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
1200 PM MST TUE JUL 31 2001

.SYNOPSIS...ABUNDANT MOISTURE IN COMBINATION WITH A STRONG UPPER
LEVEL SYSTEM OVER NORTHERN MEXICO WILL PROVIDE A NEAR
CLIMATOLOGICAL THREAT OF FLASH FLOODING ACROSS THE REGION. THE
THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IS LOW ALTHOUGH BRIEF WIND GUSTS AND
SMALL HAIL MAY ACCOMPANY THE STRONGER STORMS.

.DISCUSSION...A DEEP INVERTED TROUGH MOVING TO THE WEST OVER
NORTHERN MEXICO WILL PROVIDE THE LIFT NECESSARY FOR THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT ACROSS SOUTHEAST ARIZONA THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. 12Z
TUS SOUNDING AND GOES TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY INDICATE
PLENTY OF MOISTURE ACROSS SOUTHEAST ARIZONA...WITH VALUES IN THE 1.2
TO 2.0 INCH CATEGORY. SOME DRYING IS NOTED OVER FAR WESTERN ARIZONA
AND ACROSS THE WHITE MOUNTAINS. HOWEVER INCREASING SOUTHEAST FLOW AHEAD
OF THE INVERTED TROUGH SHOULD INCREASE MOISTURE OVER THE WHITES
TODAY. THE THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IS LOW...ALTHOUGH BRIEF
WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH AND SMALL HAIL MAY OCCUR WITH THE
STRONGER STORMS. THE FLASH FLOOD THREAT WILL BE NEAR CLIMATOLOGY
ACROSS THE ENTIRE OUTLOOK AREA DUE TO THE AMPLE MOISTURE AND
WIDESPREAD COVERAGE OF STORMS.

STORM MOVEMENT WILL BE TO THE NORTHWEST AT 15 MPH.
Special weather statement, Jul 31, 12:00 PM MST, 20 minutes before
AZZ019-029>035-010700-

SOUTHEAST ARIZONA HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
1200 PM MST TUE JUL 31 2001

.SYNOPSIS...ABUNDANT MOISTURE IN COMBINATION WITH A STRONG UPPER
LEVEL SYSTEM OVER NORTHERN MEXICO WILL PROVIDE A NEAR
CLIMATOLOGICAL THREAT OF FLASH FLOODING ACROSS THE REGION. THE
THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IS LOW ALTHOUGH BRIEF WIND GUSTS AND
SMALL HAIL MAY ACCOMPANY THE STRONGER STORMS.

.DISCUSSION...A DEEP INVERTED TROUGH MOVING TO THE WEST OVER
NORTHERN MEXICO WILL PROVIDE THE LIFT NECESSARY FOR THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT ACROSS SOUTHEAST ARIZONA THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. 12Z
TUS SOUNDING AND GOES TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY INDICATE
PLENTY OF MOISTURE ACROSS SOUTHEAST ARIZONA...WITH VALUES IN THE 1.2
TO 2.0 INCH CATEGORY. SOME DRYING IS NOTED OVER FAR WESTERN ARIZONA
AND ACROSS THE WHITE MOUNTAINS. HOWEVER INCREASING SOUTHEAST FLOW AHEAD
OF THE INVERTED TROUGH SHOULD INCREASE MOISTURE OVER THE WHITES
TODAY. THE THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IS LOW...ALTHOUGH BRIEF
WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH AND SMALL HAIL MAY OCCUR WITH THE
STRONGER STORMS. THE FLASH FLOOD THREAT WILL BE NEAR CLIMATOLOGY
ACROSS THE ENTIRE OUTLOOK AREA DUE TO THE AMPLE MOISTURE AND
WIDESPREAD COVERAGE OF STORMS.

STORM MOVEMENT WILL BE TO THE NORTHWEST AT 15 MPH.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tucson, AZ issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 31, 12:05 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningTWCPima
Jul 31, 1:05 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningTWCPima24 hr
Jul 31, 1:25 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningTWCPima5 min
Jul 31, 1:40 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningTWCPinal

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Arizona, 2001Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2001

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; verification from NCEI's Storm Data; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.