Severe Thunderstorm Warning 447, NWS Tulsa, OK

EASTERN OKLAHOMA/NORTHWEST ARKANSAS FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
910 PM CST FRI NOV 23 2001

CONVECTIVE SITUATION MOVING ALONG PRETTY MUCH AS PLANNED THIS
EVENING.  LATEST MODELS ALSO SUGGEST CURRENT FORECAST THINKING IS ON
TRACK.  LINE OF STORMS EXTENDING NORTH SOUTH ACROSS ENTIRE CWA WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE TO THE EAST THROUGH THE AREA BY MIDNIGHT.  WILL
UPDATE ZONES SHORTLY TO ACCOUNT FOR CURRENT TRENDS AND BEGIN
REMOVING PORTIONS OF THE TORNADO WATCH.  ADDITIONAL UPDATES LIKELY
THIS EVENING.

HOWIESON
FCSTID = 44

.TSA...
AR...NONE.
OK...NONE.

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-241200-

EASTERN OKLAHOMA/NORTHWEST ARKANSAS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
535 PM CST FRI NOV 23 2001

...UPDATE...

AN OUTBREAK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IS STILL EXPECTED ACROSS FAR
EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT.

A POWERFUL STORM SYSTEM WAS MOVING SLOWLY ACROSS THE CENTRAL
PLAINS.  THIS SYSTEM SLOWED ITS PROGRESS TODAY AS IT CONTINUED TO
STRENGTHEN.  HOWEVER IT WILL ACCELERATE EAST TONIGHT AS STRONG
JET STREAM WINDS PUNCH INTO THE CENTRAL U.S.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP IN EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND
EXTREME WESTERN ARKANSAS BETWEEN 6PM AND 8PM AND QUICKLY BECOME
SEVERE. THE STORMS WILL FORM A LINE AND RACE ACROSS NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS...WITH THE THREAT DIMINISHING AFTER 2AM AS THE LINE EXITS
THE AREA.

VERY STRONG WIND FIELDS AND INCREASING INSTABILITY WILL PROMOTE STORM
ROTATION AND SUPERCELLS. THERE WILL BE A THREAT FOR TORNADOES AND
VERY LARGE HAIL FOR THE FIRST SEVERAL HOURS OF THE EVENT...WITH THE
THREAT TRANSITIONING TO DAMAGING WINDS AS THE STORMS FORM INTO A
LINE.

GIVEN THE FAST WINDS ALOFT THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR
STRUCTURAL DAMAGE IN THE MOST SEVERE STORMS.  PERSONS IN EASTERN
OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS SHOULD PAY CLOSE ATTENTION TO THE
WEATHER TONIGHT AND BE READY TO ACT.

STAY TUNED TO THIS STATION FOR FURTHER INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
652 PM CST FRI NOV 23 2001

TIME(CST)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0629 PM    MANSFIELD                 AR   0.75 INCH HAIL
11/23/01   SEBASTIAN                      SPOTTER RPT

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ057-058-063-069-072-076-240500-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
915 PM CST FRI NOV 23 2001

...TORNADO WATCH 163 HAS BEEN REMOVED FROM THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN EASTERN OKLAHOMA:
  OSAGE           WASHINGTON      NOWATA          ROGERS
  PAWNEE          MAYES           TULSA           CHEROKEE
  CREEK           WAGONER         MUSKOGEE        OKMULGEE
  OKFUSKEE        MCINTOSH        HASKELL         PITTSBURG
  LATIMER         PUSHMATAHA      CHOCTAW

...TORNADO WATCH 163 REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CST FOR THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA THIS WATCH INCLUDES:
  OTTAWA          CRAIG           DELAWARE        ADAIR

IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA THIS WATCH INCLUDES:
  SEQUOYAH

IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA THIS WATCH INCLUDES:
  LE FLORE

IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THIS WATCH INCLUDES:
  CARROLL         BENTON          MADISON         WASHINGTON
  CRAWFORD

IN WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS THIS WATCH INCLUDES:
  FRANKLIN        SEBASTIAN

A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT. TORNADOES CAN DEVELOP SUDDENLY FROM
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. BE ALERT FOR RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER
CONDITIONS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...COMMERCIAL RADIO OR TELEVISION FOR
THE LATEST ON THIS SEVERE WEATHER EVENT. ADDITIONAL WEATHER
INFORMATION...INCLUDING RELATED GRAPHICS CAN BE FOUND AT:
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA.

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE WATCH AREA.
RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD MONITOR THIS SITUATION CLOSELY AND BE
PREPARED IN CASE WARNINGS ARE ISSUED.