Alert archive / Oklahoma / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2001

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 43, NWS Tulsa, OK

April 2, 2001Craig County, Ottawa County, Oklahoma

NWS Tulsa, OK issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Apr 2, 2001, 8:54 AM CDT for Craig County, Ottawa County, Oklahoma. It was in force for 66 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline the Iowa Environmental Mesonet reconstructed for it; the warning itself named whole counties.

The facts

Issued
Apr 2, 2001, 8:54 AM CDT (13:54 UTC)
Expired
Apr 2, 2001, 10:00 AM CDT
In force
66 min
Issued by
NWS Tulsa, OK
Area
Whole counties; the outline is the Mesonet’s reconstruction

Counties Craig County, OK, Ottawa County, OK

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Apr 2, 6:45 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC5 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 1.9 hours before the alert went out and 108 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2001-04-02Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2001-04-02The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 324 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1012 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
52 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
324 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
297 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS54 KTSA 021355
SVRTUL
OKC035-115-021500-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
854 AM CDT MON APR 2 2001

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  NORTHEASTERN CRAIG COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
  NORTHERN OTTAWA COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA

* UNTIL 1000 AM CDT

* AT 854 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 12
  MILES NORTHWEST OF WELCH...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

* SOME LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...WELCH...  
PICHER...QUAPAW...COMMERCE AND MIAMI. 

HAIL TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS AND WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED IN
THE WARNED AREA.

LAT...LON 3700 9532 3683 9520 3682 9462 3701 9463

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tulsa, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Apr 2, 2:20 AM CDT, 6 hours 34 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 2, 2:20 AM CDT, 6 hours 34 minutes before
EASTERN OKLAHOMA/NORTHWEST ARKANSAS FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
220 AM CDT MON APR 2 2001

LOOK AT 00Z RAOBS SHOWS PRETTY DECENT CAPPING TO OVERCOME AT KOUN
FOR ELEVATED CONVECTION THIS MORNING HOWEVER NO SOUNDING WAS
AVAILABLE ON AWIPS FOR KDDC WHERE CAP MAY BE WEAKER. WOULD BE
SURPRISED IF SOME STORMS DON'T FORM SOMEWHERE NEAR US OR FURTHER
NORTH SOON. MOISTURE SURGES LIKE THIS USUALLY PRODUCE INTERESTING
WEATHER. NICE DIFFERENCE IN SFC TEMPS/DEW POINTS SEEN BETWEEN KTUL
AND KBVO AND SE KS NOW.

OBVIOUSLY CLOUD AND POP FORECAST FOR TODAY WILL DEPEND ON WHERE AND
IF CONVECTION FORMS IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS. TEMPS SHOULD BE VERY WARM
TODAY SOUTH OF THE EXPECTED WARM FRONT POSITION THIS AFTERNOON...
ALONG A KTUL TO KFYV LINE. WARM FRONT SHOULD LIFT NORTH SOME TONIGHT
TAKING MUCH OF THE THREAT OF PRECIP WITH IT. MODELS SHOWING
MODERATELY STRONG WESTERLY WINDS AT 850 AND 900 MB TONIGHT AND
TUESDAY SOUTH OF THE FRONT...SO DRYLINE SHOULD MOVE WELL INTO OK.
NOT MUCH CHANCE OF PRECIP SOUTH OF THE FRONT.

MESO-ETA GOES STARK-RAVING MAD WITH SFC DEW POINTS AND SFC-BASED LI
TUES AFTERNOON WITH DEW POINT VALUES NEAR 75F IN SE OK AND ERN TX
PRODUCING 5000+ J/KG CAPES AND SFC BASED LI'S OF -13C. THATS PRETTY
FUNNY. OBSERVED DEW POINTS IN SRN TX ARE IN THE UPPER 60S. BY TUES
NIGHT...FRONT GOES STATIONARY ACROSS NW OK INTO SE KS. AGAIN PRECIP
CHCS WILL BE SLIM SOUTH OF THE FRONT WITH STRONG CAPPING INVERSION
AND NO DEEP LOW LEVEL MOISTURE. NO SYNOPTIC LIFT TO BREAK CAP OR
MOISTEN THE DRY LAYER EITHER.

IN LATER PERIODS...ALSO HARD TO SEE HOW ANY CONVECTION WILL FORM
WITH NO LIFT OR GOOD BOUNDARY. MAY SEE SOME STORMS TO OUR WEST THURS
NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. SATURDAY STILL LOOKS LIKE THE BIG DAY.
WILL LOOK AT THE NEW MRF BEFORE MAKING ANY CHANGES TO EXTENDED. WILL
LIKELY BE REMOVING POPS FOR MOST AREAS BEFORE FRIDAY.

FCSTID = 26
TUL   75  63  83  63 /  30  10  10  10
FSM   73  59  85  60 /  20  20  10  20
MLC   77  65  85  64 /  20  10  10  20
BVO   72  59  82  60 /  30  10  10  10
FYV   70  57  79  57 /  40  20  10  10
BYV   69  57  79  57 /  40  20  10  10
MIO  t 72  59  80  58 /  40  20  10  10
MKO   75  62  84  62 /  30  10  10  10
F10   76  64  84  63 /  30  10  10  10
HHW   78  66  85  66 /  20  10  10  20

.TSA...
AR...NONE.
OK...NONE.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Apr 2, 5:00 AM CDT, 3 hours 54 minutes before
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-031200-

SPECIAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
500 AM CDT MON APR 2 2001

...STORMY WEATHER EXPECTED BY THE END OF THE WEEK...

SPRINGTIME WEATHER HAS RETURNED TO THE AREA THIS WEEK. WARM
SOUTHERLY WINDS HAVE BROUGHT INCREASING MOISTURE TO EASTERN OKLAHOMA
AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. THIS WARM AND WINDY PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK.

A VERY STRONG UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM IS DEVELOPING OFF THE PACIFIC
COAST. COMPUTER MODEL FORECASTS HAVE BEEN CONSISTENT RECENTLY IN
FORECASTING THIS UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM TO MOVE INTO THE
SOUTHCENTRAL U.S. ON FRIDAY. WITH THE WARM AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS IN
PLACE AT THIS TIME...STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE LIKELY
ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AS THE SYSTEM MOVES
THROUGH BY THE END OF THE WEEK.

WHILE IT IS TOO SOON TO PREDICT THE EXACT TIMING AND STR<ENGTH OF THE
STORM SYSTEM...RESIDENTS AND EMERGENCY MANAGERS SHOULD BE PREPARED
FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF A PERIOD OF SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER ON
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.
Special weather statement, Apr 2, 6:00 AM CDT, 2 hours 54 minutes before
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-031200-

EASTERN OKLAHOMA/NORTHWEST ARKANSAS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
600 AM CDT MON APR 2 2001

...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS MORNING INTO EARLY
THIS AFTERNOON...

EARLY THIS MORNING A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WAS LOCATED OVER
THE NORTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE WITH A WARM FRONT STRETCHING ACROSS
NORTHERN OKLAHOMA INTO THE EASTERN PART OF THE STATE.  SCATTERED
SHOWERS HAVE DEVELOPED NORTH OF THE FRONT ACROSS KANSAS OVERNIGHT
AND ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE DOWN
INTO NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA THROUGH THE MORNING.  IF STORMS DEVELOP...A
FEW WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME SEVERE THIS MORNING WITH LARGE
HAIL THE PRIMARY THREAT.  THE POTENTIAL FOR A FEW SEVERE STORMS WILL
ALSO CONTINUE INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS AS ANY STORMS THAT
DEVELOP MOVE FROM NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA INTO NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.

.SPOTTER ACTIVATION...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED LATER THIS MORNING INTO THE EARLY
AFTERNOON HOURS IN PARTS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
THE MOST LIKELY AREAS FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE GENERALLY TO THE
NORTH OF A LINE FROM BRISTOW TO FORT SMITH.  EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT
AGENCIES...STORM SPOTTER ORGANIZATIONS AND OTHER CONCERNED INTERESTS
SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE WEATHER FOR LATER UPDATES.

.DISCUSSION...
A STRONG LOW-LEVEL JET OF 40 TO 50 KNOTS EARLY THIS MORNING WAS
CONTINUING TO TRANSPORT MOISTURE NORTHWARD AND PROVIDE LIFT OVER
THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY.  AN AXIS OF ELEVATED INSTABILITY IS PRESENT
NORTH OF THE FRONT NEAR THE KANSAS STATE LINE DOWN INTO NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA.  ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP NEAR THE AXIS OF INSTABILITY WILL
MOVE ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA THIS MORNING AND INTO NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS.  THE ELEVATED INSTABILITY WILL LIKELY BE SUFFICIENT FOR A
FEW OF THE STORMS TO BECOME SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL THE PRIMARY
THREAT.

BY LATER TODAY THE WARM FRONT IS EXPECTED TO LIFT TO THE NORTH OF
THE AREA.  A STRONG MID LEVEL CAP WILL EXIST TO THE SOUTH OF THE
BOUNDARY AND SHOULD PREVENT THE DEVELOPMENT OF THUNDERSTORMS OVER
EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THROUGH THE NIGHT TONIGHT.

THREAT TABLE
VALID THROUGH 1200 UTC TUESDAY

THREAT AREA 1...ALONG AND NORTH OF A BRISTOW TO FORT SMITH LINE.
THUNDERSTORM PROBABILITY...30
SEVERE PROBABILITY IF STORMS OCCUR...40
SIGNIFICANT SEVERE PROBABILITY IF STORMS OCCUR...10

THREAT AREAS DEFINE THE GREATEST RISK.  PROBABILITIES ARE IN
PERCENT.  SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER IS DEFINED AS F1 OR GREATER
WIND/TORNADO DAMAGE AND/OR GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL OR LARGER.

$|$

RELATED GRAPHICAL INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND AT WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA

AN UPDATED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 1 PM
TODAY.
Special weather statement, Apr 2, 7:53 AM CDT, 1 hour 1 minute before
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
753 AM CDT MON APR 2 2001

OKZ056>058-021400-
CRAIG-NOWATA-OTTAWA-
753 AM CDT MON APR 2 2001

.NOW...
AT 753 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 4 MILES
NORTH OF WANN...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH. THIS STORM WILL MOVE ALONG
THE OKLAHOMA AND KANSAS STATE LINE AND WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH.

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Oklahoma, 2001Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2001

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.