Alert archive / Montana / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2001

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 27, NWS Great Falls, MT

July 12, 2001Cascade County, Montana

NWS Great Falls, MT issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 12, 2001, 4:36 PM MDT for Cascade County, Montana. It was in force for 39 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline the Iowa Environmental Mesonet reconstructed for it; the warning itself named whole counties.

The facts

Issued
Jul 12, 2001, 4:36 PM MDT (22:36 UTC)
Expired
Jul 12, 2001, 5:15 PM MDT
In force
39 min
Issued by
NWS Great Falls, MT
Area
Whole counties; the outline is the Mesonet’s reconstruction

County Cascade County, MT

The radar

The Great Falls radar (KTFX), 43 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:37 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Great_falls, MT (KTFX), launched 12:00Z, 10.6 hours before the alert went out and 89 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Great_falls, MT at 12:00Z on 2001-07-12Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Great_falls, MT at 12:00Z on 2001-07-12The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -5 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
2375 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
16 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-5 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
7 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS55 KTFX 122236
SVRGTF

MTC013-122315-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
436 PM MDT THU JUL 12 2001

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREAT FALLS HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  SOUTHWESTERN AND SOUTH CENTRAL CASCADE COUNTY IN CENTRAL MONTANA

* UNTIL 515 PM MDT

* AT 430 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM OVER SOUTHWESTERN CASCADE COUNTY...OR ABOUT 12
  MILES SOUTH OF CASCADE...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE LOCATED...
  15 MILES SOUTHEAST OF CASCADE AT 515 PM MDT.

VERY LARGE HAIL IS POSSIBLE WITH THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM. IF YOU ARE
IN THE PATH OF THE STORM...PUT YOUR CAR IN A GARAGE AND MOVE TO A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER.

REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY. THEY
WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST
OFFICE IN GREAT FALLS.

LAT...LON 4716 11191 4714 11188 4713 11180 4701 11180
          4702 11143 4704 11128 4735 11142

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Great Falls, MT wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 12, 2:37 PM MDT, 1 hour 59 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 12, 2:37 PM MDT, 1 hour 59 minutes before
SOUTHWEST AND NORTH CENTRAL MONTANA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
237 PM MDT THU JUL 12 2001

SYNOPSIS...LITTLE CHANGE EXPECTED. WARM TEMPERATURES TO CONTINUE
COUPLED WITH AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

DISCUSSION...PERSISTENT PATTERN REMAINS IN PLACE...UPPER LEVEL HIGH
PRESSURE RIDGE CENTERED OVER TX/NM BORDER WITH LOW PRESSURE TROUGH
OFF WEST COAST. SOUTHWEST FLOW CONTINUES TO FEED MOIST...UNSTABLE AIR
INTO CWA. SEVERAL EMBEDDED DISTURBANCES IN THE SOUTHWEST FLOW...
THOUGH MODELS APPEAR TO BE HAVING SOME DIFFICULTY IN RESOLUTION OF
LOCATION AND TRACKING. DYNAMICALLY...HAVE LI/S SLIGHTLY BELOW ZERO
ACROSS THE CWA WITH ISOLATED AREAS AT OR BELOW -5 ACCORDING TO GOES
IMAGER...AREAS OF LOWER LEVEL CONVERGENCE AND UPPER LEVEL
CONVERGENCE...COOL AIR BOUNDARY STRETCHED ACROSS THE NORTHERN CWA...
AND A DEEP MOISTURE LAYER WITH DEW POINTS IN THE MID 50S. SEVERAL
STORMS WERE DEVELOPING OVER THE CWA AT 20Z...MAINLY ALONG LEADING
EDGE OF DRY SLOT WORKING INTO CWA FROM THE SOUTHWEST. SOUTHWEST AND
NORTHEAST CWA SEEM MOSTLY LIKELY TO SEE SHOWERS AND/OR THUNDERSTORMS
TONIGHT...AND THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY THAT SOME COULD BE SEVERE.
DYNAMICS INCREASE SOME TOMORROW...AVN AND NGM DROP LI/S AS FAR AND
-8...BELIEVE THIS MAY BE OVERDONE BUT DO EXPECT AN ACTIVE DAY. WILL
KEEP TEMPERATURES NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE THOSE TODAY MOST AREAS...AND
WILL PUT POPS IN HIGHER SCATTERED CATEGORY.

.EXTENDED...MRF AND ECMF IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH THE PERIOD
WITH KEEPING THE UPPER RIDGE ANCHORED OVER THE MIDWEST AND A TROUGH
OVER THE NORTHWEST. LITTLE HEIGHT CHANGE OVER US DESPITE UPPER LOW
MOVING NORTHEAST INTO ALBERTA. THIS REGIME OF MOIST/UNSTABLE
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL KEEP US IN UNSETTLED PERIOD RESULTING IN
LITTLE CHANGE TO EXTENDED. SCHMIDT

CCF NUMBERS
GTF TB 058/086 055/087 054 03533
CTB TB 055/082 052/084 052 03533
HLN TB 058/088 055/090 055 03554
BZN TB 055/086 054/087 054 03433
WEY TB 048/077 047/080 047 03434
DLN TB 053/083 053/085 054 03433
HVR EB 055/093 057/095 057 03534
LWT TB 055/085 054/086 055 03535

The office that day

Everything else NWS Great Falls, MT issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 12, 3:08 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXLewis and Clark67 min
Jul 12, 3:45 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXJudith Basin45 min
Jul 12, 4:24 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXBroadwater, Lewis and Clark36 min
Jul 12, 5:02 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXBroadwater, Meagher43 min
Jul 12, 5:47 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXFergus28 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Montana, 2001Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2001

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.