Alert archive / Florida / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2001

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 64, NWS Tampa Bay, FL

June 16, 2001Polk County, Florida

NWS Tampa Bay, FL issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 16, 2001, 6:35 PM EDT for Polk County, Florida. It was in force for 40 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jun 16, 2001, 6:35 PM EDT (22:35 UTC)
Expired
Jun 16, 2001, 7:15 PM EDT
In force
40 min
Issued by
NWS Tampa Bay, FL
Area
Whole counties

County Polk County, FL

The radar

The Tampa radar (KTBW), 74 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:39 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Cape Canaveral, FL (KXMR), launched 12:00Z, 10.6 hours before the alert went out and 131 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Cape Canaveral, FL at 12:00Z on 2001-06-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 177 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Cape Canaveral, FL at 12:00Z on 2001-06-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 16 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
177 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-125 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1385 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
13 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
16 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
43 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS52 KTBW 162237
SVRTBW

FLC105-162315-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
635 PM EDT SAT JUN 16 2001

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RUSKIN HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  SOUTHEASTERN POLK COUNTY IN FLORIDA.

* UNTIL 715 PM EDT.

* AT 635 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED   
  A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WITH LARGE HAIL...OVER INDIAN LAKE           
  ESTATES...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT...
  RURAL SOUTHEASTERN POLK COUNTY.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CONTAIN WIND GUSTS OF 60 MPH OR HIGHER...AND
HAIL THE SIZE OF DIMES OR LARGER. MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY.

$$

LAT...LON 2783 8149 2770 8135 2791 8106 2807 8124

13
NNNN

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tampa Bay, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 16, 1:30 PM EDT, 5 hours 5 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 16, 1:30 PM EDT, 5 hours 5 minutes before
WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
130 PM EDT SAT JUN 16 2001

CURRENT FCST PACKAGE IN GOOD SHAPE AS SYNOPTIC TRENDS REMAIN
CONSISTENT.  MEAN N TO NW FLOW WILL TURN NE...THEN E...IN THE LOWER
LAYERS WITH TIME.  THIS COMBINED WITH REMNANT UPPER LEVEL ENERGY
SHOULD BOOST PCPN CHANCES FOR MORE FOLKS...MOST IMPORTANTLY TOWARD
THE NORTH SUNCOAST WHERE SUBSTANTIAL RAIN HAS NOT FALLEN IN NEARLY
10 DAYS.

MODELS ARE IN REMARKABLE AGREEMENT THROUGH THE SUNDAY...AS ALL NOW
DEPICT EMBEDDED ENERGY IN THE FORM OF SHEAR AXES BOTH SUNDAY AND
MONDAY.  NGM PERHAPS A TAD DRY...BUT NO SIGNIFICANTLY SO.

SHORT TERM:
FIRST CELL DEVELOPED ALONG WCSB/TAMPA BAY BREEZE AND IS WEAKENING AS
IT SLIDES SE.  OTHERWISE...DRY AIR IS OVERTAKING THE LOWER LEVELS
ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND N CWFA IN NW FLOW...AND EXPECT LITTLE
DEVELOPMENT EARLY ON.  HOWEVER...WE'RE WATCHING BLOSSOMING
CONVECTION S OF TLH...AND BOUNDARIES FROM THAT MAY CAUSE SOME
DEVELOPMENT ACROSS THE NATURE COAST.  FARTHER S...WILL HOLD ONTO
SCT EARLY EVENING PCPN.

FOR TONIGHT...W FLOW AHEAD OF SHEAR AXIS ON TRACK TO DEVELOP ISOLD
TO PERHAPS SCT CONVECTION IN THE N AND CENTRAL WATERS...PERHAPS
REACHING THE SHORELINE LATE.  AFOREMENTIONED BOUNDARY MAY HELP THE
CAUSE...SO WILL ROLL ISOLD SHWRS/TSTMS AS CURR FCST.

SUNDAY STILL LOOKS TO BE A BIT MORE ACTIVE AS SFC TROUGH SETS UP CAMP
UNDERNEATH NNW FLOW ALOFT.  SHEAR AXIS WILL ENHANCE VERTICAL
MOTION...AND MODEL SOUNDINGS REMAIN QUITE UNSTABLE WITH MAX CAPE
BETWEEN 3500 AND 4K. HIGHEST CHC WILL BE INLAND.  POOLED MOISTURE
COMBINED WITH A RETURN TO NE FLOW MON SHOULD KILL THE LATE NIGHT
COASTAL PCPN AND RETURN AREA TO AFTN/EVE PROSPECTS.

EXTENDED:
NO CHANGES TO CURR FCST.  MRF SHOWS YET ANOTHER DEEPENING TROUGH
(FOR THE 2ND CONSECUTIVE RUN) MOVING INTO THE E U.S. BY LATE WEEK...
AND POSSIBLE SW FLOW NEAR SFC MAY ALTER PCPN TIMING A BIT BY NEXT
SAT.  UNCERTAINTY LOOMS HOWEVER...SO SEE NO REASON TO GET CUTE.

MARINE:  LIGHT GRADIENT MEANS NO HIGHLIGHTS.

FIRE WX:  RH FALLING TO 40 OR JUST BELOW THIS AFTN...BUT SHOULD
BE A BIT HIGHER SUN-MON AS DWPTS RETbURN TO MORE SEASONABLE LEVELS.
NO HIGHLIGHTS.

PRELIM NUMBERS:
TPA BB 077/092/074/091 1314
FMY BB 074/092/073/092 2424

.TBW...NONE.

88/GOLDSMITH

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 16, 3:03 PM EDT, 3 hours 32 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
303 PM EDT SAT JUN 16 2001

TIME(EDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0210 PM    CAPE CORAL                FL   .75 INCH HAIL
06/16/01   LEE                            SEVERAL REPORTS OF DIME
                                          SIZE HAIL.  EVENT
                                          DURAT:ION 4 MINUTES.
                                          REPORTED BY STORM
                                          SPOTTERS.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tampa Bay, FL issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 16, 1:59 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTBWLee31 min
Jun 16, 3:00 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTBWCharlotte30 min
Jun 16, 4:15 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTBWDeSoto30 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Florida, 2001Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2001

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.