Severe Thunderstorm Warning 92, NWS Springfield, MO

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
200 PM CDT SUN APR 22 2001

MAIN FOCUS WILL BE WITH WINDS AND THUNDERSTORM/SEVERE CHANCES
TONIGHT.

CURRENTLY...SQUALL LINE HAS FORMED AHEAD OF DRY LINE IN WESTERN
OKLAHOMA/CENTRAL KS/CENTRAL TX.  SURFACE LOW WAS LOCATED ACROSS SE
COLORADO WITH DRY LINE THROUGH TX PANHANDLE.  CLOUDS ACROSS S MO
HAVE KEPT HEATING TO A MINIMUM THUS FAR WITH DEW POINTS ONLY IN THE
UPPER 50S TO LOW 60S.  WINDS HAVE CONTINUED TO INCREASE AT THE
SURFACE AND WERE JUST UNDER THE CRITERIA FOR WIND ADVISORY IN JLN
AREA...WHERE ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT INTO THE EVENING.  WILL LIKELY
EXTEND THIS ADVISORY SEVERAL MORE HOURS INTO THE EVENING.

WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS UPR LOW BEGINNING TO LIFT NE AND WAS NOW
LOCATED IN EASTERN COLORADO.  THIS FEATURE SHOULD CONTINUE LIFTING
NE TONIGHT INTO THE N PLAINS...WITH SFC LOW LIFTING NE INTO
NORTHEAST MN BY MONDAY MORNING.  TRAILING COLD FRONT SHOULD ENTER
WESTERN MISSOURI BY MORNING WITH PRE-FRONTAL SQUALL LINE EXPECTED
TO MOVE WEST TO EAST ACROSS THE AREA THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MAIN THREAT WITH THIS FEATURE WILL BE STRAIGHT LINE DAMAGING WINDS.

FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA ON MONDAY WITH DRY AIR PUSHING IN
BEHIND SQUALL LINE.  WRAP AROUND 850 MOISTURE MOVES INTO THE AREA
DURING THE AFTERNOON ON MONDAY ALONG WITH COLD POOL OF AIR.  WILL
GO WITH MOSTLY CLOUDY CONDITIONS MONDAY AND NOT MUCH OF A
TEMPERATURE RISE WITH CAA AND CLOUD COVER.

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE AREA AT THE SURFACE ON MONDAY NIGHT
ALONG WITH DRIER AIR.  SHOULD SEE LOWS INTO THE MID TO UPPER 30S
MOST LOCATIONS...DONT THINK TEMPS WILL BE COOL ENOUGH FOR FROST
ADVISORY AT THIS TIME...BUT NEXT COUPLE OF FORECAST SHIFTS WILL
NEED TO KEEP AN EYE ON THIS.

ANOTHER COLD FRONT LOOKS TO PUSH INTO THE AREA ON TUESDAY NIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY...WITH SOME MOISTURE CONVERGING ALONG THE FRONT...BUT
DOESNT LOOK SIGNIFICANT ENOUGH FOR POPS AT THE MOMENT.  REMAINDER
OF WEEK LOOKS TO BE DRY...WITH UPPER LEVEL RIDGE TO THE WEST.  850
RIDGE OVERHEAD AND WILL KEEP GULF MOISTURE SHUT OFF.

FCSTID = 5
SGF   57  64  37  68 /  70  30   0   0
JLN   56  64  40  70 /  80  10   0   0
UNO   60  67  39  68 /  40  60   0   0
VIH   59  65  37  64 /  60  50   0   0

.SGF...
MO...WIND ADVISORY FOR THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING FOR ZONES MOZ066...
MOZ077...MOZ088...MOZ093...MOZ101.

KS...WIND ADVISORY FOR THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING FOR ZONES KSZ073...
KSZ097...KSZ101.

LINDENBERG