Severe Thunderstorm Warning 178, NWS Nashville, TN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
250 AM CDT THU JUL 5 2001

CURRENT...CLEAR MUGGY NITE W/ TEMPS MAINLY IN 60S.

FORECAST...AGREE W/ MRX THAT ANOTHER CONVECTIVE EVENT COULD BE
SHAPING UP FOR THIS AFTN AND EVE...AS LONG AS WE REMAIN IN NW FLOW
ALOFT AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS LO LEVELS. CONVECTION SHOWING UP ALREADY
TO N OVER SRN IN AND SRN IL. THIS WILL MAKE ITS WAY DOWN AS THE
FRONT PUSHES SLOWLY S TDA. ANOTHER LINE OF TSRA W/ A FEW CELLS
POSSIBLY SEVERE. HI CHC POPS FOR TODAY. HAVE TO KEEP POPS IN EARLY
THIS EVE UNTIL FRONT PUSHES THRU.  AFTER THIS EVE...HI PRES AND
DRIER AIR SPILLS IN.

AS FOR TEMPS...HARD TO ARGUE W/ FWC NUMBERS.

BNA BB s89/64/88/66 5300
CSV BB 85/60/84/61 5300

.BNA...NONE.

MAG

TNZ005>011-022>034-056>066-075>080-093>097-061030-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
530 AM CDT THU JUL 5 2001

MIDDLE TENNESSEE WILL HAVE ANOTHER SHOT AT THUNDERSTORMS TODAY...AND
POSSIBLY THIS EVENING. A WEAK COOL FRONT CONTINUES TO DROP SOUTH OUT
OF SOUTHERN ILLINOIS AND INDIANA. AHEAD OF THIS FRONT...MOISTURE WILL
BE PLENTIFUL IN THE LOW LEVELS. ALSO...DRY AIR MOVING IN ALOFT...AND
AFTERNOON HEATING WILL ALLOW FOR INCREASING INSTABILITY THROUGHOUT
THE DAY.

THE COMBINATION OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE...INSTABILITY...AND THE
APPROACHING FRONT...WILL PROVIDE THE NECESSARY INGREDIENTS FOR
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT.

THE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR MAINLY DURING THE AFTERNOON
HOURS. THE CHANCE FOR SEVERE WEATHER IS MINIMAL...HOWEVER...DAMAGING
WINDS AND SOME HAIL ARE POSSIBLE IN THE STRONGER STORMS.

ACTIVATION OF EMERGENCY MANAGERS AND SPOTTERS MAY BE NEEDED THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

DICKSON 15